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Hogsbo W vs Brahe W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-70
19-17 19-18 23-14 25-21
Position#3
Record8-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game71.8
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Brahe W
Sweden
Position#11
Record4-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game72.4
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Brahe W
07 Nov 2026
HOGS72
BRAH67
20 Dec 2025
HOGS86
BRAH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brahe W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 83
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-46
105
46
+59
105avg 83
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 83
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
107-63
107
63
+44
113avg 83
H25/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 83
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
87avg 83
A08/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
61-53
61
53
+8
58avg 83
H22/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
86-45
86
45
+41
88avg 83
H28/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
95-83
95
83
+12
97avg 83
H30/11
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
105-70
105
70
+35
99avg 83
H13/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
21-12
26-26
19-20
18-3
33-17
31-14
23-12
16-21
15-13
16-11
25-20
36-22
21-14
26-17
24-10
18-18
20-26
16-14
19-19
36-20
17-26
21-15
11-29
13-8
9-11
17-18
22-16
21-14
22-15
25-8
18-8
23-23
25-17
26-17
21-26
25-21
26-15
29-20
25-14
155.2Avg total
87.9Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.771.8158.4+14.967%
Season at home (6)88.268.5156.7+19.783%
Season away (6)85.275.0160.2+10.250%
Last 10 (10)87.967.3155.2+20.680%
Last 5 (5)86.468.2154.6+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.884.2156.0-12.420%
vs Similar (10)79.073.1152.1+5.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.369.0162.3+24.387%
This opponent (Brahe W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brahe WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 66
A11/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
54-77
54
77
-23
44avg 66
H18/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
66-69
66
69
-3
62avg 66
H22/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
90-78
90
78
+12
95avg 66
H25/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
67-63
67
63
+4
61avg 66
H01/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
74-77
74
77
-3
65avg 66
A08/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
54-70
54
70
-16
44avg 66
A22/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
81-39
81
39
+42
79avg 66
H29/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
61-78
61
78
-17
53avg 66
H06/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
67avg 66
A13/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
16-21
23-15
15-12
9-28
15-22
12-10
18-17
24-20
8-15
19-21
15-13
20-20
22-23
25-10
23-25
22-17
12-19
17-11
16-16
27-15
16-18
19-18
12-26
8-25
19-10
20-23
7-12
20-9
18-15
22-8
21-7
14-18
20-26
13-19
14-15
16-18
17-14
18-16
16-19
140.3Avg total
69.5Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.272.4142.6-2.233%
Season at home (8)70.870.6141.4+0.150%
Season away (4)69.076.0145.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)69.570.8140.3-1.330%
Last 5 (5)69.669.6139.2+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.676.3142.9-9.720%
vs Similar (2)64.058.5122.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (18)77.747.7125.4+29.994%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
Hogsbo WBrahe W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
51-20
51
20
+31
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H25/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A08/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
22-19
22
19
+3
H22/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H28/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/11
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H13/12
Basketligan W
77.8Avg total
43.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.878.9+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.136.779.7+6.473%-
Last 30 away (15)41.336.978.1+4.453%-
Last 10 (10)43.933.977.8+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.077.4+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.840.675.4-5.820%-
vs Similar (10)37.937.975.8+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.534.782.2+12.787%-
This opponent (Brahe W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brahe WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A11/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
24-50
24
50
-26
H18/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H22/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A08/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A22/11
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H29/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H06/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A13/12
Basketligan W
71.7Avg total
33.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.229.764.9+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.432.468.8+3.950%-
Last 30 away (14)33.926.660.5+7.479%-
Last 10 (10)33.937.871.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.668.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.639.472.0-6.820%-
vs Similar (2)24.028.552.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (18)37.924.462.4+13.589%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.318.9
46.9%
46.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.511.0
38.6%
31.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.016.1
73.2%
72.5%16.1
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brahe Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brahe W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.016.9
44.5%
46.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.7
29.1%
31.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.715.1
80.7%
72.5%15.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WWWWLLWWWW
Brahe W
LLWLLWWLLL
#3
League position
#11
+25.7
Net rating
-1.0
108.4
Offensive rating
85.9
82.7
Defensive rating
86.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
44.2%
39.6%
Opp. effective FG%
40.2%
21.5%
Turnover %
26.1%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.6%
3-point %
29.1%
70.2%
Assist %
61.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 85.9Defence82.7 · 86.9Shooting51.5% · 44.2%3-point %38.6% · 29.1%Ball care21.5% · 26.1%Off. rebounds37.4% · 27.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Brahe W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo W wins
0
Brahe W wins
No previous meetings.
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HMalbas Malmo W105-70
30/11/25HLund W95-83
28/11/25HRIG Lulea W86-45
22/11/25HSodertalje W61-53
08/11/25AUppsala W85-90
01/11/25AAIK Basket W73-77
25/10/25HOstersund W107-63
18/10/25AOstersund W72-65
12/10/25ARIG Lulea W105-46
10/10/25ALulea W90-81
Brahe Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ALund W78-84 OT
06/12/25HUppsala W61-78
29/11/25HRIG Lulea W81-39
22/11/25AOstersund W54-70
08/11/25AAlvik W74-77
01/11/25HLund W67-63
25/10/25HSodertalje W90-78
22/10/25HNorrkoping W66-69
18/10/25HLulea W54-77
11/10/25AMalbas Malmo W70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game86.788.285.2
Allowed / game71.868.575.0
Point differential+14.9+19.7+10.2
Avg total158.4156.7160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Brahe W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game70.270.869.0
Allowed / game72.470.676.0
Point differential-2.2+0.1-7.0
Avg total142.6141.4145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W1211192%90.263.4+26.8
2 Uppsala W1513287%82.471.5+10.9
3 AIK Basket W139469%80.273.7+6.5
4 Hogsbo W128467%86.771.8+14.9
5 Sodertalje W137654%77.568.4+9.2
6 Norrkoping W137654%81.876.0+5.8
7 Malbas Malmo W137654%76.880.7-3.8
8 Ostersund W126650%80.075.2+4.8
9 Alvik W125742%73.574.8-1.2
10 Brahe W124833%70.272.4-2.2
11 Lund W134931%76.280.3-4.1
12 Visby W131128%57.984.5-26.6
13 RIG Lulea W131128%48.587.6-39.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W1919232586
Brahe W1718142170
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