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Hokkaido vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 84-79
18-18 23-29 20-14 23-18
Position#19
Record13-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#20
Record13-26
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.0
JapanB League· Hokkai Kita-yale
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hokkaido v Koshigaya Alphas
01 Feb 2026
HOKK80
KOSH81
31 Jan 2026
HOKK88
KOSH81
05 Mar 2025
HOKK84
KOSH79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hokkaido winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
L
68-84
68
84
-16
53avg 66
H12/01
B League
Alvark
#4
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
80avg 66
H25/01
B League
Alvark
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
66avg 66
H26/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-66
70
66
+4
65avg 66
A29/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
67-64
67
64
+3
66avg 66
H01/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 66
H02/02
B League
Gunma
#6
L
55-70
55
70
-15
48avg 66
A08/02
B League
Gunma
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
59avg 66
A09/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
46avg 66
A01/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
91-98
91
98
-7
83avg 66
A02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
15-17
22-28
19-22
13-19
17-19
24-15
17-18
12-17
23-26
16-15
21-20
16-16
15-13
22-19
17-18
13-14
16-17
19-15
19-18
18-26
18-22
20-18
30-26
12-17
18-29
8-12
17-12
17-18
29-13
11-25
11-17
18-19
13-25
15-21
18-16
24-19
15-28
25-23
27-28
151.4Avg total
72.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)73.579.3152.7-5.833%
Season at home (18)74.878.3153.2-3.539%
Season away (21)72.380.1152.4-7.829%
Last 10 (10)72.778.7151.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)72.882.8155.6-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.781.9154.6-9.316%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.873.0148.8+2.870%
vs Weaker (1)97.088.0185.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
82avg 75
H12/01
B League
Saga
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
75avg 75
A25/01
B League
Saga
#18
W
90-75
90
75
+15
95avg 75
A26/01
B League
Gunma
#6
L
67-87
67
87
-20
64avg 75
H29/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 75
H01/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
65-76
65
76
-11
57avg 75
H02/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
76avg 75
A08/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
70-77
70
77
-7
61avg 75
A09/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 75
A01/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
64-59
64
59
+5
55avg 75
A02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
13-17
20-21
27-26
24-19
18-23
16-17
24-15
24-17
21-24
19-18
26-16
18-21
24-17
9-26
16-23
25-26
23-18
27-30
15-26
21-20
21-22
11-23
12-11
24-15
19-21
20-24
14-20
25-14
14-33
12-15
19-15
11-19
22-24
27-23
27-14
14-15
13-14
15-8
22-22
158.0Avg total
78.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)77.281.0158.2-3.833%
Season at home (20)79.383.2162.5-3.830%
Season away (19)74.978.7153.6-3.737%
Last 10 (10)78.379.7158.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)72.674.4147.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.883.9160.7-7.112%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.076.5158.5+5.573%
vs Weaker (2)88.570.0158.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
HokkaidoKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H12/01
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H25/01
B League
Alvark
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H26/01
B League
Akita
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A29/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H01/02
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H02/02
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/02
B League
Gunma
#6
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A09/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A01/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A02/03
B League
72.5Avg total
33.4Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.140.776.8-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.641.376.9-5.725%-
Last 30 away (14)36.640.076.6-3.443%-
Last 10 (10)33.439.172.5-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.279.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.142.278.2-6.126%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.137.173.2-1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)37.049.086.0-12.00%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#5
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/01
B League
Saga
#18
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/01
B League
Saga
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A26/01
B League
Gunma
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H01/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/02
B League
Osaka
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A09/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A01/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A02/03
B League
78.7Avg total
39.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.982.4+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.440.483.8+3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.441.480.9-2.036%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.478.7-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.476.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.841.680.4-2.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.439.583.8+4.955%-
vs Weaker (2)49.542.592.0+7.050%-
This opponent (Hokkaido) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hokkaido: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.617.5
45.3%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.2
33.7%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws11.69.3
80.2%
72.7%9.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.5
47.4%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.3
41.5%
33.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.611.8
71.1%
72.7%11.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hokkaido
LLLLLWWLWL
Koshigaya Alphas
WWLLLLLWWW
#19
League position
#20
-8.5
Net rating
-1.6
101.8
Offensive rating
105.7
110.3
Defensive rating
107.3
47.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
20.4%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.7%
3-point %
41.5%
58.4%
Assist %
66.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 105.7Defence110.3 · 107.3Shooting47.5% · 53.4%3-point %33.7% · 41.5%Ball care15.7% · 20.4%Off. rebounds29.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.18 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Hokkaido   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hokkaido wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
No previous meetings.
Hokkaidolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AUtsunomiya Brex91-98
01/03/25AUtsunomiya Brex64-81
09/02/25AGunma68-73
08/02/25AGunma55-70
02/02/25HSun Rockers Shibuya86-92
01/02/25HSun Rockers Shibuya67-64
29/01/25AAkita70-66
26/01/25HAlvark72-78
25/01/25HAlvark86-81 OT
12/01/25HKyoto68-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AIbaraki Robots64-59
01/03/25AIbaraki Robots87-80
09/02/25AOsaka70-77
08/02/25AOsaka77-80
02/02/25HHiroshima D.65-76
01/02/25HHiroshima D.90-100
29/01/25HGunma67-87
26/01/25ASaga90-75
25/01/25ASaga82-74
12/01/25HChiba91-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hokkaido
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWLWL39%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %33%39%29%
Points / game73.574.872.3
Allowed / game79.378.380.1
Point differential-5.8-3.5-7.8
Avg total152.7153.2152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%6%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayWLLWW37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %33%30%37%
Points / game77.279.374.9
Allowed / game81.083.278.7
Point differential-3.8-3.8-3.7
Avg total158.2162.5153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)20% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3834489%92.978.3+14.6
2 Utsunomiya Brex3933685%86.876.1+10.7
3 Gunma39291074%79.371.3+8.0
4 Alvark39281172%77.070.7+6.3
5 SeaHorses Mikawa39271269%82.174.6+7.5
6 Ryukyu39271269%83.776.4+7.3
7 Shimane39251464%79.974.4+5.5
8 Chiba39251464%81.477.9+3.5
9 Diamond Dolphins39221756%82.381.1+1.2
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya39211854%74.671.6+2.9
11 Kyoto39201951%80.779.1+1.5
12 Osaka39201951%81.681.8-0.2
13 Akita39182146%73.274.4-1.3
14 Hiroshima D.39182146%78.482.1-3.7
15 Nagasaki39172244%75.478.0-2.6
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles39172244%77.881.0-3.2
17 Yokohama39162341%74.979.1-4.2
18 Koshigaya Alphas39132633%77.281.0-3.8
19 Hokkaido39132633%73.579.3-5.8
20 Brave Thunders39132633%77.185.0-7.9
21 Saga39112828%73.678.5-4.8
22 Ibaraki Robots3983121%73.081.6-8.6
23 Sendai3983121%73.082.5-9.5
24 Shiga3843411%76.089.3-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hokkaido1823202384
Koshigaya Alphas1829141879
← all games of the day
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