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Koshigaya Alphas vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 91-89 (OT)
19-15 13-17 20-21 27-26 12-10
Position#20
Record8-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#5
Record19-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game75.6
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba
12 Nov 2025
KOSH89
CHIB90
12 Jan 2025
KOSH91
CHIB89
11 Jan 2025
KOSH70
CHIB72
11 Dec 2024
KOSH82
CHIB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
73avg 76
A14/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
86-89
86
89
-3
85avg 76
A15/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
60avg 76
H18/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
84-92
84
92
-8
70avg 76
H21/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
80-96
80
96
-16
72avg 76
H22/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
89-62
89
62
+27
85avg 76
A29/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
88-78
88
78
+10
86avg 76
A30/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
54-89
54
89
-35
49avg 76
A04/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 76
A05/01
B League
Chiba
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 76
H11/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
18-23
25-23
11-22
25-29
26-18
19-13
16-29
15-19
12-23
25-19
17-10
21-12
15-37
29-16
19-27
24-21
16-26
18-25
22-24
21-18
26-29
17-4
25-11
22-21
30-17
15-21
21-19
9-23
9-25
21-16
15-25
8-14
27-23
21-20
21-22
19-20
24-17
16-20
11-15
159.3Avg total
77.5Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.881.4158.2-4.628%
Season at home (16)79.681.9161.6-2.331%
Season away (13)73.480.8154.2-7.423%
Last 10 (10)77.581.8159.3-4.320%
Last 5 (5)75.676.0151.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.384.2158.5-9.910%
vs Similar (6)85.277.7162.8+7.567%
vs Weaker (4)79.575.0154.5+4.550%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 74
H14/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
53-71
53
71
-18
42avg 74
H15/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 74
H18/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 74
A21/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
89-81
89
81
+8
82avg 74
A22/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
75avg 74
H28/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
79avg 74
H29/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
75-67
75
67
+8
67avg 74
H04/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
64-70
64
70
-6
47avg 74
H05/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
72-70
72
70
+2
63avg 74
A11/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-17
14-24
22-17
12-17
21-16
5-18
14-12
13-25
18-14
14-20
13-18
15-16
11-28
27-19
15-19
23-22
34-12
24-23
16-23
15-23
14-17
15-13
21-15
9-14
19-24
21-18
18-19
20-25
22-20
10-19
15-12
28-16
14-30
20-15
11-10
19-15
20-19
17-24
20-16
15-11
149.1Avg total
73.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.975.6155.6+4.366%
Season at home (16)79.874.1153.8+5.769%
Season away (13)80.277.5157.7+2.662%
Last 10 (10)73.076.1149.1-3.140%
Last 5 (5)74.075.6149.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.593.0174.5-11.50%
vs Similar (14)81.775.9157.6+5.871%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)77.073.4150.4+3.664%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
Koshigaya AlphasChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A14/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A15/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H18/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H21/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H22/12
B League
Shiga
#24
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A30/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A04/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A05/01
B League
Chiba
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/01
B League
82.8Avg total
39.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.081.9-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.241.782.9-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)38.442.380.7-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.782.8-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.542.979.3-6.420%-
vs Similar (6)49.740.890.5+8.867%-
vs Weaker (4)42.839.282.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H14/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H15/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H18/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A21/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A22/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H28/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H05/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/01
B League
76.4Avg total
37.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.479.9+1.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.538.177.6+1.431%-
Last 30 away (14)41.540.982.4+0.636%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.076.4-1.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.874.2-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.554.094.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (14)40.438.478.8+1.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.538.478.9+2.136%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.5
52.7%
51.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.3
30.0%
33.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.7
73.7%
72.7%13.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.4
49.9%
51.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.2
30.5%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.110.6
62.0%
72.7%10.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLWWLLLLL
Chiba
WLWLLWLLLW
#20
League position
#5
-6.4
Net rating
-2.9
101.7
Offensive rating
101.0
108.1
Defensive rating
103.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
47.9%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.0%
3-point %
30.5%
66.5%
Assist %
62.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 101.0Defence108.1 · 103.9Shooting49.8% · 47.9%3-point %30.0% · 30.5%Ball care18.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.1% · 28.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
2
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba70-72
11/12/24Koshigaya Alphas v Chiba82-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HChiba70-72
05/01/25ASeaHorses Mikawa77-79
04/01/25ASeaHorses Mikawa54-89
30/12/24AShiga88-78
29/12/24AShiga89-62
22/12/24HKyoto80-96
21/12/24HKyoto84-92
18/12/24HUtsunomiya Brex69-71
15/12/24ANeoPhoenix86-89
14/12/24ANeoPhoenix78-90
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AKoshigaya Alphas72-70
05/01/25HHokkaido64-70
04/01/25HHokkaido75-67
29/12/24HShimane78-86
28/12/24HShimane81-85 OT
22/12/24AOsaka89-81
21/12/24AOsaka76-88
18/12/24HSendai60-68
15/12/24HGunma53-71
14/12/24HGunma82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL28%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayLWWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %28%31%23%
Points / game76.879.673.4
Allowed / game81.481.980.8
Point differential-4.6-2.3-7.4
Avg total158.2161.6154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Chiba
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW66%
HomeLLLWL69%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %66%69%62%
Points / game79.979.880.2
Allowed / game75.674.177.5
Point differential+4.3+5.7+2.6
Avg total155.6153.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)0% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2824486%92.079.4+12.5
2 Utsunomiya Brex2924583%84.975.0+9.9
3 Ryukyu3023777%83.975.0+8.9
4 Gunma3022873%78.771.2+7.5
5 SeaHorses Mikawa3021970%80.573.9+6.6
6 Alvark2920969%76.270.7+5.6
7 Chiba29191066%79.975.6+4.3
8 Shimane30191163%80.774.2+6.5
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya30181260%75.971.2+4.7
10 Diamond Dolphins29161355%81.981.4+0.5
11 Kyoto30161453%81.980.3+1.6
12 Osaka30151550%81.080.1+0.8
13 Akita29141548%71.973.2-1.4
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles29141548%75.679.5-3.9
15 Nagasaki30131743%73.576.0-2.5
16 Hiroshima D.30131743%77.281.9-4.8
17 Yokohama30111937%76.580.6-4.1
18 Saga29101934%74.176.2-2.1
19 Hokkaido30102033%73.579.6-6.1
20 Koshigaya Alphas2982128%76.881.4-4.6
21 Sendai2972224%73.080.0-6.9
22 Ibaraki Robots2972224%73.782.6-8.9
23 Brave Thunders2972224%75.685.8-10.2
24 Shiga292277%73.787.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Koshigaya Alphas191320271291
Chiba151721261089
← all games of the day
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