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Koshigaya Alphas vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 90-100
25-26 23-18 27-30 15-26
Position#20
Record11-22
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#15
Record15-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game81.5
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Hiroshima D.
02 Feb 2025
KOSH65
HIRO76
01 Feb 2025
KOSH90
HIRO100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
L
80-96
80
96
-16
72avg 76
H22/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
89-62
89
62
+27
85avg 76
A29/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
88-78
88
78
+10
86avg 76
A30/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
54-89
54
89
-35
49avg 76
A04/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 76
A05/01
B League
Chiba
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 76
H11/01
B League
Chiba
#5
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
82avg 76
H12/01
B League
Saga
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
75avg 76
A25/01
B League
Saga
#18
W
90-75
90
75
+15
95avg 76
A26/01
B League
Gunma
#6
L
67-87
67
87
-20
64avg 76
H29/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
16-26
18-25
22-24
21-18
26-29
17-4
25-11
22-21
30-17
15-21
21-19
9-23
9-25
21-16
15-25
8-14
27-23
21-20
21-22
19-20
24-17
16-20
11-15
19-15
13-17
20-21
27-26
24-19
18-23
16-17
24-15
24-17
21-24
19-18
26-16
18-21
24-17
9-26
16-23
158.9Avg total
78.8Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.581.4158.9-3.933%
Season at home (18)79.682.6162.2-3.133%
Season away (15)75.179.9155.0-4.933%
Last 10 (10)78.880.1158.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)80.079.4159.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.384.6160.9-8.316%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.175.1160.3+10.086%
vs Weaker (4)79.575.0154.5+4.550%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
90avg 72
H29/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
74-72
74
72
+2
73avg 72
H04/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
60-69
60
69
-9
49avg 72
H05/01
B League
San Miguel Beermen
#10
W
94-63
94
63
+31
95avg 72
H08/01
EASL
Nagasaki
#16
W
78-71
78
71
+7
71avg 72
H10/01
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
82-70
82
70
+12
80avg 72
H11/01
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
W
95-92
95
92
+3
94avg 72
H22/01
EASL
Kyoto
#10
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
87avg 72
A25/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
71-57
71
57
+14
66avg 72
A26/01
B League
Shimane
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
59avg 72
A29/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
20-17
24-15
18-28
18-23
22-17
17-16
17-16
20-18
13-15
10-18
17-18
30-18
22-19
16-14
26-12
20-31
7-16
24-12
27-12
21-23
23-14
15-18
23-15
30-18
30-29
16-18
19-27
20-15
22-17
8-21
25-22
16-10
21-14
20-13
14-20
16-24
16-16
20-23
17-27
157.6Avg total
80.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.181.5158.6-4.445%
Season at home (14)80.180.1160.2+0.157%
Season away (19)74.982.6157.5-7.737%
Last 10 (10)80.776.9157.6+3.870%
Last 5 (5)81.478.8160.2+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.185.7161.8-9.618%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.278.6160.8+3.681%
vs Weaker (3)86.772.7159.3+14.067%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
Koshigaya AlphasHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H22/12
B League
Shiga
#24
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A30/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A04/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A05/01
B League
Chiba
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/01
B League
Chiba
#5
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/01
B League
Saga
#18
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/01
B League
Saga
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A26/01
B League
Gunma
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/01
B League
80.3Avg total
39.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.182.1-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.740.882.5+0.941%-
Last 30 away (13)39.941.581.5-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.780.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.078.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.842.280.0-4.326%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)48.339.487.7+8.971%-
vs Weaker (4)42.839.282.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/12
B League
Akita
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H04/01
B League
Akita
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H05/01
B League
San Miguel Beermen
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H08/01
EASL
Nagasaki
#16
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H10/01
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H11/01
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H22/01
EASL
Kyoto
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A25/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A26/01
B League
Shimane
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A29/01
B League
79.5Avg total
41.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.583.0+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.641.884.4+0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)40.641.381.9-0.641%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.279.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.079.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.640.878.5-3.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.042.486.4+1.656%-
vs Weaker (3)42.339.081.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.1
50.0%
51.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.2
36.7%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.3
73.7%
72.7%14.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.9
50.3%
51.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.2
33.8%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.213.2
81.5%
72.7%13.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LWWWLLLWWL
Hiroshima D.
LWWWWWWLWL
#20
League position
#15
-2.1
Net rating
-2.3
104.3
Offensive rating
104.1
106.5
Defensive rating
106.4
52.0%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.2%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.7%
3-point %
33.8%
68.5%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 104.1Defence106.5 · 106.4Shooting52.0% · 50.5%3-point %36.7% · 33.8%Ball care18.7% · 17.2%Off. rebounds26.1% · 25.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
0
Hiroshima D. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25HGunma67-87
26/01/25ASaga90-75
25/01/25ASaga82-74
12/01/25HChiba91-89 OT
11/01/25HChiba70-72
05/01/25ASeaHorses Mikawa77-79
04/01/25ASeaHorses Mikawa54-89
30/12/24AShiga88-78
29/12/24AShiga89-62
22/12/24HKyoto80-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25AShimane69-90
26/01/25AKyoto71-57
25/01/25AKyoto90-85 OT
22/01/25HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots95-92
11/01/25HNagasaki82-70
10/01/25HNagasaki78-71
08/01/25HSan Miguel Beermen94-63
05/01/25HAkita60-69
04/01/25HAkita74-72
29/12/24HUtsunomiya Brex94-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL33%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game77.579.675.1
Allowed / game81.482.679.9
Point differential-3.9-3.1-4.9
Avg total158.9162.2155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL45%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWLWWL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331419
Win %45%57%37%
Points / game77.180.174.9
Allowed / game81.580.182.6
Point differential-4.4+0.1-7.7
Avg total158.6160.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %6%7%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3228488%92.678.6+14.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex3327682%86.176.3+9.8
3 Gunma3324973%78.971.1+7.8
4 Ryukyu3324973%84.777.0+7.7
5 Alvark33231070%76.870.9+5.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa33221167%80.274.6+5.6
7 Shimane33211264%80.874.5+6.3
8 Chiba34211362%80.577.0+3.5
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya34191556%75.271.2+4.0
10 Kyoto34181653%81.180.1+1.0
11 Osaka33171652%82.882.1+0.6
12 Diamond Dolphins33171652%82.382.7-0.4
13 Akita34161847%72.673.3-0.7
14 Hiroshima D.33151845%77.181.5-4.4
15 Nagasaki33141942%74.576.7-2.2
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles33141942%76.681.0-4.4
17 Yokohama34142041%75.879.4-3.6
18 Hokkaido34132138%73.678.8-5.2
19 Saga33112233%74.276.8-2.6
20 Koshigaya Alphas33112233%77.581.4-3.9
21 Brave Thunders33102330%75.584.3-8.8
22 Ibaraki Robots3382524%73.681.9-8.4
23 Sendai3382524%73.882.2-8.4
24 Shiga323299%74.888.1-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas2523271590
Hiroshima D.26183026100
← all games of the day
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