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Saga vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 75-90
17-24 24-21 18-19 16-26
Position#18
Record11-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#20
Record10-21
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game81.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Koshigaya Alphas
26 Oct 2025
SAGA76
KOSH73
25 Oct 2025
SAGA78
KOSH94
26 Jan 2025
SAGA75
KOSH90
25 Jan 2025
SAGA74
KOSH82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 66
A18/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
85-72
85
72
+13
75avg 66
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 66
A22/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
43avg 66
H28/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
74-79
74
79
-5
70avg 66
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
71avg 66
H04/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
51-81
51
81
-30
42avg 66
H05/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
82-54
82
54
+28
66avg 66
A11/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
73-72
73
72
+1
69avg 66
A12/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 66
H25/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
15-17
13-21
17-18
22-26
17-20
23-17
23-9
15-20
23-21
26-19
23-9
16-20
20-12
9-17
16-19
12-13
21-17
10-32
31-17
19-27
26-24
12-30
23-17
19-25
11-15
14-15
7-26
25-12
24-18
13-10
20-14
16-16
20-22
19-17
18-17
19-24
23-18
17-16
15-24
148.7Avg total
73.5Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.176.3150.4-2.235%
Season at home (14)74.479.9154.2-5.514%
Season away (17)73.873.4147.2+0.553%
Last 10 (10)73.575.2148.7-1.740%
Last 5 (5)72.077.4149.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.181.7150.8-12.69%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.175.3151.4+0.833%
vs Weaker (7)82.170.3152.4+11.986%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-71
69
71
-2
60avg 76
H18/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
84-92
84
92
-8
70avg 76
H21/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
80-96
80
96
-16
72avg 76
H22/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
89-62
89
62
+27
85avg 76
A29/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
88-78
88
78
+10
86avg 76
A30/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
54-89
54
89
-35
49avg 76
A04/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 76
A05/01
B League
Chiba
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 76
H11/01
B League
Chiba
#5
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
82avg 76
H12/01
B League
Saga
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
75avg 76
A25/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
12-23
25-19
17-10
21-12
15-37
29-16
19-27
24-21
16-26
18-25
22-24
21-18
26-29
17-4
25-11
22-21
30-17
15-21
21-19
9-23
9-25
21-16
15-25
8-14
27-23
21-20
21-22
19-20
24-17
16-20
11-15
19-15
13-17
20-21
27-26
24-19
18-23
16-17
24-15
158.6Avg total
78.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.581.4158.9-4.032%
Season at home (17)80.382.4162.6-2.135%
Season away (14)74.080.3154.3-6.329%
Last 10 (10)78.480.2158.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)74.880.6155.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.084.9160.9-8.915%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.375.2159.5+9.283%
vs Weaker (4)79.575.0154.5+4.550%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
SagaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H29/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H05/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A11/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/01
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/01
B League
77.4Avg total
38.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.877.2-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.440.178.4-1.729%-
Last 30 away (16)38.537.776.2+0.844%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.877.4-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.741.477.1-5.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.936.676.5+3.350%-
vs Weaker (7)40.138.678.7+1.643%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H18/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H21/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H22/12
B League
Shiga
#24
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A30/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A04/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A05/01
B League
Chiba
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/01
B League
Chiba
#5
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/01
B League
Saga
#18
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/01
B League
79.1Avg total
37.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.781.8-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.741.181.8-0.435%-
Last 30 away (13)39.342.481.7-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)37.241.979.1-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.273.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.042.979.8-5.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)48.839.288.0+9.767%-
vs Weaker (4)42.839.282.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.0
50.0%
51.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.7
29.8%
33.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
72.7%13.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.0
50.1%
51.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.5
32.3%
33.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.2
72.8%
72.7%14.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWWLLLLWWL
Koshigaya Alphas
WWLLLWWLLL
#18
League position
#20
-2.4
Net rating
-2.5
101.4
Offensive rating
102.0
103.7
Defensive rating
104.5
48.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.8%
3-point %
32.3%
63.3%
Assist %
68.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 102.0Defence103.7 · 104.5Shooting48.1% · 49.5%3-point %29.8% · 32.3%Ball care19.5% · 17.7%Off. rebounds31.2% · 26.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Saga   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Saga v Koshigaya Alphas74-82
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HKoshigaya Alphas74-82
12/01/25AIbaraki Robots73-72
11/01/25AIbaraki Robots82-54
05/01/25HUtsunomiya Brex51-81
04/01/25HUtsunomiya Brex80-98
29/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles74-79
28/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles61-68
22/12/24ASendai87-69
21/12/24ASendai85-72
18/12/24AOsaka68-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ASaga82-74
12/01/25HChiba91-89 OT
11/01/25HChiba70-72
05/01/25ASeaHorses Mikawa77-79
04/01/25ASeaHorses Mikawa54-89
30/12/24AShiga88-78
29/12/24AShiga89-62
22/12/24HKyoto80-96
21/12/24HKyoto84-92
18/12/24HUtsunomiya Brex69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %35%14%53%
Points / game74.174.473.8
Allowed / game76.379.973.4
Point differential-2.2-5.5+0.5
Avg total150.4154.2147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW32%
HomeLLLLW35%
AwayWWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %32%35%29%
Points / game77.580.374.0
Allowed / game81.482.480.3
Point differential-4.0-2.1-6.3
Avg total158.9162.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%24%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3026487%92.978.5+14.4
2 Utsunomiya Brex3126584%85.975.7+10.2
3 Ryukyu3123874%84.076.0+8.0
4 Gunma3122971%78.571.4+7.2
5 SeaHorses Mikawa32221069%80.674.2+6.4
6 Alvark31211068%76.471.1+5.3
7 Chiba31201165%81.076.9+4.2
8 Shimane32201262%80.674.7+5.8
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya31181358%75.671.5+4.0
10 Kyoto31161552%82.080.6+1.4
11 Osaka31161552%81.981.1+0.9
12 Diamond Dolphins31161552%82.482.2+0.2
13 Akita31151648%72.373.8-1.5
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles31141745%76.080.1-4.1
15 Hiroshima D.31141745%77.682.0-4.5
16 Nagasaki31131842%73.676.1-2.5
17 Yokohama31121939%76.580.4-3.9
18 Saga31112035%74.176.3-2.2
19 Hokkaido31112035%73.979.7-5.7
20 Koshigaya Alphas31102132%77.581.4-4.0
21 Brave Thunders3192229%75.684.8-9.2
22 Sendai3182326%73.681.9-8.3
23 Ibaraki Robots3172423%73.481.9-8.5
24 Shiga302287%74.288.1-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1724181675
Koshigaya Alphas2421192690
← all games of the day
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