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Holy Cross vs Brown Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 74-69
Projected total 143.0
Scheduled
Position#409
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game92.7
Vs
66%
34%
■ HOLY 66%■ BROW 34%
Pythia win probability
Position#319
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Holy Cross faces Brown on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the Crusaders at 66% to 34% and projecting a 74-69 win for the home side, a total of 143 points and a 5% chance of overtime. Holy Cross is 0-3 this season, averaging 64.0 points and allowing 92.7, while Brown is 1-3, 67.0 points for and 68.0 against. At home Holy Cross has a 0-1 record, 67.0 points scored and 80.0 allowed, and has lost its last five games, including a 67-80 defeat to Furman on 11 November 2026. Brown's road record is 1-0, 65.0 points scored and 55.0 allowed, but it has also gone 1-4 in its last five, with a recent 65-55 win over Lehigh on 8 November 2026. The teams have met three times, Holy Cross winning twice; the last encounter on 18 November 2025 saw Brown defeat Holy Cross 68-49. The projected score of 74-69 reflects the model's view that Holy Cross will edge Brown by five points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holy Cross win
65.8%fair 1.52
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brown win
34.2%fair 2.92
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holy CrossUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H28/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A04/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#52
L
59-103
59
103
-44
A04/11
NCAA
Villanova
#146
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A07/11
NCAA
Furman
#37
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-30
46-53
49-33
34-53
31-30
41-33
33-38
30-40
24-37
38-39
34-39
48-38
26-31
40-38
27-58
32-45
28-44
38-51
28-42
39-38
150.3Avg total
69.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.092.7156.7-28.70%
Season at home (1)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
Season away (2)62.599.0161.5-36.50%
Last 10 (10)69.381.0150.3-11.720%
Last 5 (5)68.084.8152.8-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.978.5144.4-12.617%
vs Similar (10)71.872.0143.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (1)77.053.0130.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Brown) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrownUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harvard
#133
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A28/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H07/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#108
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H03/11
NCAA
Boston University
#115
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#293
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A08/11
NCAA
Canisius
#229
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-31
31-25
30-38
49-38
42-37
38-34
32-31
30-49
45-46
35-40
34-44
27-38
27-20
28-39
37-31
30-41
27-25
38-30
30-44
51-42
140.6Avg total
68.3Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.068.0135.0-1.025%
Season at home (3)67.772.3140.0-4.70%
Season away (1)65.055.0120.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.372.3140.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)65.870.8136.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.278.4147.7-9.211%
vs Similar (14)68.175.4143.5-7.214%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.948.7126.6+29.1100%
This opponent (Holy Cross) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
39.5%
Under 147
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
28.3%
Under 152
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
19.1%
Under 157
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Holy Cross total 80.5
Over 80.5
25.3%
Under 80.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holy Cross total 84.5
Over 84.5
14.5%
Under 84.5
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holy Cross total 88.5
Over 88.5
7.4%
Under 88.5
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown total 64
Over 64
69.7%
Under 64
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown total 68
Over 68
54.4%
Under 68
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown total 72
Over 72
38.5%
Under 72
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Holy Cross -3
HOLY -3
57.3%
BROW +3
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
HOLY
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.
Spread Holy Cross 0
HOLY 0
65.8%
BROW 0
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
HOLY
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.
Spread Holy Cross +3
HOLY +3
73.9%
BROW -3
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
HOLY
No market prices yet.
BROW
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.5-7.51st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: -1.9-1.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.5-7.51st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: -1.9-1.9
Holy CrossBrown
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Holy CrossLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Boston University
#211
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H28/02
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#52
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A04/11
NCAA
Villanova
#146
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A07/11
NCAA
Furman
#37
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H12/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
30.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.735.165.8-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.531.262.7+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)30.038.668.6-8.612%-
Last 10 (10)30.738.268.9-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)28.642.871.4-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)28.438.366.7-9.96%-
vs Similar (10)35.633.068.6+2.650%-
vs Weaker (1)28.020.048.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Brown) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrownLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harvard
#133
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H07/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#108
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Boston University
#115
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#293
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A08/11
NCAA
Canisius
#229
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H13/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
32.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.467.5+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.531.867.3+3.756%-
Last 30 away (14)32.635.267.8-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)32.634.767.3-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.863.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.733.266.9+0.467%-
vs Similar (14)31.238.169.4-6.97%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.624.164.7+16.4100%-
This opponent (Holy Cross) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Holy Cross wins
1
Brown wins
DateGameScore
19/11/25Brown v Holy Cross68-49
17/11/24Brown v Holy Cross65-73
17/03/14Brown v Holy Cross65-68
Holy Crosslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HFurman67-80
07/11/26AVillanova66-95
04/11/26ARhode Island59-103
06/03/26ALehigh66-69
04/03/26ALafayette82-77
28/02/26HLoyola Maryland62-76
26/02/26ABoston University63-78
22/02/26ABucknell72-63
18/02/26HLafayette83-86
15/02/26ALoyola Maryland73-83
Brownlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCanisius81-86
08/11/26ALehigh65-55
07/11/26HBoston University67-72
03/11/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats55-59
07/03/26HPenn61-82
28/02/26ACornell80-86
28/02/26AColumbia62-80
21/02/26HPrinceton80-71
14/02/26ADartmouth79-76
14/02/26AHarvard53-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holy Cross
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.067.062.5
Allowed / game92.780.099.0
Point differential-28.7-13.0-36.5
Avg total156.7147.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brown
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%0%100%
Points / game67.067.765.0
Allowed / game68.072.355.0
Point differential-1.0-4.7+10.0
Avg total135.0140.0120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston University43175%80.074.5+5.5
2 Navy43175%72.068.2+3.8
3 Lafayette53260%79.864.4+15.4
4 Army31233%74.362.7+11.7
5 Lehigh31233%64.373.7-9.3
6 American University31233%64.075.0-11.0
7 Loyola Maryland41325%70.275.5-5.2
8 Colgate3030%69.785.7-16.0
9 Bucknell3030%63.391.0-27.7
10 Holy Cross3030%64.092.7-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
2 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
3 Columbia32167%88.765.7+23.0
4 Harvard32167%68.755.3+13.3
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Yale31233%69.379.7-10.3
7 Penn31233%74.786.0-11.3
8 Brown41325%67.068.0-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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