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Falcon W vs BMS Herlev W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 96-65
30-11 19-19 17-19 30-16
Position#1
Record10-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game62.3
vs
Position#5
Record2-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game75.3
DenmarkDameligaen W· Bülowshallen
Women2024-25
Meetings · Falcon W v BMS Herlev W
18 Apr 2026
FALC48
BMS 60
28 Mar 2026
FALC54
BMS 45
15 Feb 2026
FALC49
BMS 47
18 Dec 2025
FALC71
BMS 60
23 Feb 2025
FALC96
BMS 65
26 Oct 2024
FALC58
BMS 48
04 Feb 2024
FALC76
BMS 73
08 Oct 2023
FALC98
BMS 59
26 Jan 2023
FALC70
BMS 62
22 Jan 2023
FALC62
BMS 70
28 Oct 2022
FALC72
BMS 77
29 Mar 2022
FALC70
BMS 57
18 Mar 2022
FALC82
BMS 68
29 Oct 2021
FALC75
BMS 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Falcon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
89-50
89
50
+39
78avg 66
H16/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 66
A23/11
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
80-71
80
71
+9
63avg 66
H05/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
96-45
96
45
+51
91avg 66
A07/12
Dameligaen W
Hobas W
#4
W
70-51
70
51
+19
no box
A11/12
Denmark Cup Women
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
91-67
91
67
+24
86avg 66
A21/12
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H11/01
Denmark Cup Women
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
63-67
63
67
-4
52avg 66
H19/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
76-46
76
46
+30
63avg 66
H23/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
74-64
74
64
+10
71avg 66
A20/02
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
14-13
21-12
25-8
21-20
18-21
13-18
10-8
26-15
19-25
24-11
11-20
23-16
30-9
23-11
20-9
17-20
20-15
19-6
14-10
30-16
25-21
21-11
15-19
24-14
28-18
15-23
18-11
21-21
10-15
15-21
17-10
24-8
17-9
16-15
19-14
17-7
18-20
24-9
15-28
138.0Avg total
78.6Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.862.3141.2+16.583%
Season at home (6)73.256.5129.7+16.783%
Season away (6)84.568.2152.7+16.383%
Last 10 (10)78.659.4138.0+19.280%
Last 5 (5)77.862.0139.8+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)70.864.2135.0+6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)75.963.0138.9+13.092%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
69-61
69
61
+8
63avg 50
A04/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
46-82
46
82
-36
38avg 50
H12/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
51-84
51
84
-33
44avg 50
H19/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
48-58
48
58
-10
33avg 50
A26/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
68-97
68
97
-29
45avg 50
A24/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
49-75
49
75
-26
no box
A30/11
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
85-56
85
56
+29
78avg 50
H03/12
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
49avg 50
H21/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
55-73
55
73
-18
35avg 50
H19/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
53-84
53
84
-31
37avg 50
A15/02
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
18-10
17-15
14-27
20-19
10-26
8-13
8-24
15-22
15-24
10-20
11-18
14-13
12-13
10-17
12-15
8-15
18-16
16-35
26-31
11-16
14-24
15-26
9-9
21-12
27-15
12-19
25-10
16-30
21-25
11-21
19-15
16-19
9-21
16-19
14-14
16-30
8-22
12-12
17-20
135.2Avg total
59.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)61.575.3136.8-13.718%
Season at home (7)62.775.4138.1-12.714%
Season away (4)59.575.0134.5-15.525%
Last 10 (10)59.176.1135.2-17.020%
Last 5 (5)61.875.8137.6-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)60.476.7137.1-16.49%
vs Similar (11)67.468.8136.2-1.536%
vs Weaker (6)68.756.7125.3+12.0100%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -7.0-7.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
Falcon WBMS Herlev W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H16/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A23/11
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
53-25
53
25
+28
A07/12
Dameligaen W
Hobas W
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A11/12
Denmark Cup Women
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A21/12
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H11/01
Denmark Cup Women
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H19/01
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H23/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A20/02
Dameligaen W
75.1Avg total
43.1Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.433.371.7+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.132.468.5+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.634.274.8+6.467%-
Last 10 (10)43.132.075.1+11.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.829.872.6+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)38.034.272.2+3.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)38.433.271.6+5.365%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A04/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H19/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A26/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A24/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A30/11
Denmark Cup Women
Amager W
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H03/12
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H21/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H19/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A15/02
Dameligaen W
69.0Avg total
30.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.533.766.2-1.248%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.433.966.3-1.657%-
Last 30 away (15)32.633.566.1-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)30.938.169.0-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)31.842.874.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.037.967.9-7.927%-
vs Similar (11)30.833.063.8-2.245%-
vs Weaker (5)38.023.261.2+14.8100%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.323.7
46.2%
41.3%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.86.3
24.4%
26.2%18.9
🏀 Free throws14.911.4
76.5%
68.0%11.4
They take 77.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 58.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.615.3
38.6%
41.3%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.05.9
24.6%
26.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws16.610.5
63.3%
68.0%10.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Falcon W
WWLWWWWWLW
BMS Herlev W
LLLWLLLLLW
#1
League position
#5
+21.4
Net rating
-17.9
96.2
Offensive rating
73.0
74.8
Defensive rating
90.9
43.0%
Effective FG%
38.0%
39.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
26.6%
38.3%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.26
24.4%
3-point %
24.6%
60.3%
Assist %
45.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 73.0Defence74.8 · 90.9Shooting43.0% · 38.0%3-point %24.4% · 24.6%Ball care18.7% · 26.6%Off. rebounds38.3% · 25.7%Free throws0.19 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Falcon W   ■ BMS Herlev W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Falcon W wins
3
BMS Herlev W wins
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/25ASisu W74-64
23/01/25HAmager W76-46
19/01/25HAabyhoj W63-67
11/01/25HAabyhoj W85-66
21/12/24ABMS Herlev W91-67
11/12/24AHobas W70-51
07/12/24AAmager W96-45
05/12/24HSisu W80-71
23/11/24AAabyhoj W62-67
16/11/24HAmager W89-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25AAabyhoj W53-84
19/01/25HSisu W55-73
21/12/24HFalcon W67-91
03/12/24HAmager W85-56
30/11/24AAabyhoj W49-75
24/11/24ASisu W68-97
26/10/24AFalcon W48-58
19/10/24HAabyhoj W51-84
12/10/24HAabyhoj W46-82
04/10/24AAmager W69-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%83%83%
Points / game78.873.284.5
Allowed / game62.356.568.2
Point differential+16.5+16.7+16.3
Avg total141.2129.7152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL18%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %18%14%25%
Points / game61.562.759.5
Allowed / game75.375.475.0
Point differential-13.7-12.7-15.5
Avg total136.8138.1134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aabyhoj W1311285%72.557.2+15.3
2 Falcon W1210283%78.862.3+16.5
3 Sisu W127558%69.267.9+1.2
4 BMS Herlev W112918%61.575.3-13.7
5 Amager W120120%54.876.5-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Falcon W3019173096
BMS Herlev W1119191665
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