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BMS Herlev W vs Aabyhoj W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 37-78
16-20 2-20 6-23 13-15
Position#5
Record2-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game74.5
BMS Herlev W
Denmark
vs
Aabyhoj W 🏆
Denmark
Position#2
Record15-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game56.8
DenmarkDameligaen WKvindebasketligaen Women - Semi-finals· Rosenlund Ny Hal
Women2024-25
Meetings · BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W
29 Nov 2025
BMS 72
AABY65
12 Oct 2025
BMS 55
AABY65
26 Mar 2025
BMS 37
AABY78
19 Oct 2024
BMS 51
AABY84
12 Oct 2024
BMS 46
AABY82
07 Apr 2024
BMS 56
AABY61
02 Mar 2024
BMS 60
AABY69
09 Dec 2023
BMS 71
AABY66
18 Feb 2023
BMS 63
AABY53
05 Nov 2022
BMS 72
AABY71
26 Feb 2022
BMS 69
AABY60
20 Nov 2021
BMS 118
AABY73
26 Jan 2021
BMS 85
AABY80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aabyhoj W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
85-56
85
56
+29
78avg 49
H03/12
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
49avg 49
H21/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
55-73
55
73
-18
35avg 49
H19/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
53-84
53
84
-31
37avg 49
A15/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
65-96
65
96
-31
50avg 49
A23/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
34avg 49
A01/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
63avg 49
A06/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
55avg 49
A09/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
54-56
54
56
-2
41avg 49
H12/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
53-68
53
68
-15
43avg 49
A22/03
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
27-15
12-19
25-10
16-30
21-25
11-21
19-15
16-19
9-21
16-19
14-14
16-30
8-22
12-12
17-20
11-30
19-19
19-17
16-30
17-20
8-16
13-10
9-11
17-19
14-17
15-15
25-20
20-19
19-19
16-28
16-14
11-17
13-16
16-7
14-16
12-16
16-22
10-17
15-13
137.0Avg total
62.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)61.574.5135.9-13.012%
Season at home (8)61.673.0134.6-11.412%
Season away (9)61.375.8137.1-14.411%
Last 10 (10)62.874.2137.0-11.410%
Last 5 (5)60.668.4129.0-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)60.076.3136.3-16.37%
vs Similar (7)63.967.0130.9-3.129%
vs Weaker (7)69.161.0130.1+8.171%
This opponent (Aabyhoj W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aabyhoj WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
72-55
72
55
+17
59avg 59
A21/12
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
A11/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
W
67-63
67
63
+4
60avg 59
A19/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
70avg 59
H25/01
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
84-53
84
53
+31
81avg 59
H15/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
96-63
96
63
+33
91avg 59
H22/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
57-47
57
47
+10
48avg 59
H01/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
78-60
78
60
+18
70avg 59
H08/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
71-61
71
61
+10
74avg 59
A16/03
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
68-53
68
53
+15
61avg 59
H22/03
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
22-14
13-11
11-17
14-24
18-28
23-15
11-18
21-21
15-10
21-15
10-17
21-11
18-15
21-21
18-19
30-16
22-8
12-12
20-17
27-17
18-10
33-19
18-17
20-17
16-8
10-13
11-9
30-19
22-15
18-14
8-12
18-13
20-10
25-18
8-20
16-12
22-16
17-10
13-15
134.3Avg total
73.7Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.656.8128.4+14.888%
Season at home (9)73.154.8127.9+18.3100%
Season away (8)69.959.0128.9+10.975%
Last 10 (10)73.760.6134.3+13.190%
Last 5 (5)74.056.8130.8+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.069.8130.8-8.80%
vs Similar (10)66.366.2132.5+0.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)72.653.6126.2+19.093%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
BMS Herlev WAabyhoj W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H03/12
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H21/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H19/01
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A15/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A23/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A01/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A09/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H12/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/03
Dameligaen W
71.5Avg total
31.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.135.066.1-3.938%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.034.366.3-2.350%-
Last 30 away (15)30.235.765.9-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)31.140.471.5-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)29.436.265.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.138.568.7-8.427%-
vs Similar (7)30.332.963.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker (6)35.327.863.2+7.567%-
This opponent (Aabyhoj W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aabyhoj WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A21/12
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A11/01
Denmark Cup Women
Falcon W
#1
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A19/01
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H25/01
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H15/02
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H22/02
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H01/03
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H08/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A16/03
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#5
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H22/03
Dameligaen W
71.3Avg total
41.6Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.928.865.8+8.179%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.328.266.5+10.193%-
Last 30 away (14)35.529.565.0+6.064%-
Last 10 (10)41.629.771.3+11.990%-
Last 5 (5)41.827.469.2+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.530.062.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (10)34.533.167.6+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.725.765.4+14.0100%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 61.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.217.1
39.6%
41.3%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.5
24.8%
26.2%16.5
🏀 Free throws15.710.9
69.4%
68.0%10.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aabyhoj Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aabyhoj W: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.9 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.019.9
43.3%
41.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.65.8
25.7%
26.2%17.4
🏀 Free throws15.312.3
80.4%
68.0%12.3
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev W
LLLLLLLLLW
Aabyhoj W
WWWWWWWWLW
#5
League position
#2
-15.1
Net rating
+16.1
79.1
Offensive rating
91.1
94.2
Defensive rating
74.9
38.8%
Effective FG%
41.7%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
37.3%
23.9%
Turnover %
19.9%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
24.8%
3-point %
25.7%
41.6%
Assist %
66.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence79.1 · 91.1Defence94.2 · 74.9Shooting38.8% · 41.7%3-point %24.8% · 25.7%Ball care23.9% · 19.9%Off. rebounds29.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ BMS Herlev W   ■ Aabyhoj W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BMS Herlev W wins
9
Aabyhoj W wins
DateGameScore
22/03/25Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W68-53
01/03/25Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W57-47
15/02/25Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W84-53
30/11/24Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W75-49
19/10/24BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W51-84
12/10/24BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W46-82
10/04/24Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W70-59
07/04/24BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W56-61
02/03/24BMS Herlev W v Aabyhoj W60-69
17/02/24Aabyhoj W v BMS Herlev W68-78
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AAabyhoj W53-68
12/03/25HAmager W54-56
09/03/25ASisu W71-80
06/03/25AAmager W78-81 OT
01/03/25AAabyhoj W47-57
23/02/25AFalcon W65-96
15/02/25AAabyhoj W53-84
19/01/25HSisu W55-73
21/12/24HFalcon W67-91
03/12/24HAmager W85-56
Aabyhoj Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HBMS Herlev W68-53
16/03/25ASisu W71-61
08/03/25HFalcon W78-60
01/03/25HBMS Herlev W57-47
22/02/25HAmager W96-63
15/02/25HBMS Herlev W84-53
25/01/25HSisu W78-66
19/01/25AFalcon W67-63
11/01/25AFalcon W66-85
21/12/24AAmager W72-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %12%12%11%
Points / game61.561.661.3
Allowed / game74.573.075.8
Point differential-13.0-11.4-14.4
Avg total135.9134.6137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Aabyhoj W
Dameligaen W 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game71.673.169.9
Allowed / game56.854.859.0
Point differential+14.8+18.3+10.9
Avg total128.4127.9128.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%89%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aabyhoj W1715288%71.656.8+14.8
2 Falcon W1714382%80.263.7+16.5
3 Sisu W179853%70.470.6-0.2
4 Amager W1621412%57.176.4-19.3
5 BMS Herlev W1721512%61.574.5-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BMS Herlev W16261337
Aabyhoj W2020231578
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