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Hottur vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 103-95
30-28 32-30 13-26 28-11
Position#11
Record4-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game93.0
Hottur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#9
Record9-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game94.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 20· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hottur v Thorl
06 Mar 2025
HOTT103
THOR95
26 Oct 2023
HOTT83
THOR84
28 Jan 2023
HOTT83
THOR86
03 May 2021
HOTT85
THOR100
01 Dec 2017
HOTT71
THOR80
06 Mar 2016
HOTT93
THOR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 69
H12/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
92-89
92
89
+3
80avg 69
A19/12
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
70avg 69
H03/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
98-112
98
112
-14
86avg 69
A09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
63-64
63
64
-1
48avg 69
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
101-110
101
110
-9
93avg 69
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
77avg 69
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
58-92
58
92
-34
41avg 69
A07/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
72avg 69
H13/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
57avg 69
A01/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
19-24
25-28
20-17
8-28
34-26
23-19
27-16
12-22
27-16
23-26
24-25
29-23
24-37
23-33
22-19
20-22
20-14
9-11
14-17
23-30
18-15
31-31
29-34
26-23
22-28
17-29
20-17
19-17
15-33
15-26
9-16
17-18
30-28
19-19
17-21
19-15
19-26
23-19
14-37
173.8Avg total
82.0Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.293.0177.2-8.821%
Season at home (9)84.486.9171.3-2.422%
Season away (10)83.998.5182.4-14.620%
Last 10 (10)82.091.8173.8-9.810%
Last 5 (5)80.496.4176.8-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)82.294.3176.5-12.119%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.882.2162.0-2.333%
vs Weaker (2)97.084.5181.5+12.550%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
93avg 87
H13/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
86-105
86
105
-19
80avg 87
A19/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
104-106
104
106
-2
89avg 87
A02/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
98avg 87
H10/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
99-102
99
102
-3
99avg 87
A16/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
94-95
94
95
-1
93avg 87
H24/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
100-99
100
99
+1
95avg 87
A02/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
95-104
95
104
-9
84avg 87
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
96-109
96
109
-13
96avg 87
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
95avg 87
H28/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
16-21
22-24
24-16
31-31
19-30
19-20
17-24
23-25
30-28
26-35
25-18
23-10
24-17
26-17
21-25
30-24
21-25
20-33
28-20
24-32
27-16
24-28
19-19
25-37
33-15
21-20
21-27
23-21
14-29
33-24
25-30
15-34
30-28
28-18
23-29
23-26
18-18
19-23
18-11
190.9Avg total
95.1Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)91.294.5185.7-3.347%
Season at home (10)91.789.0180.7+2.760%
Season away (9)90.7100.6191.2-9.933%
Last 10 (10)95.195.8190.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)95.899.6195.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)90.198.1188.2-8.040%
vs Similar ◀ (15)93.593.2186.7+0.347%
vs Weaker (4)97.889.5187.2+8.2100%
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
HotturThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A19/12
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A07/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
Premier league
87.4Avg total
41.6Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.985.6-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.542.483.9-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.947.587.3-7.613%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.887.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.688.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)41.147.888.9-6.624%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.739.378.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H13/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A19/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A02/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H10/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A16/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H24/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A02/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H06/02
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H28/02
Premier league
96.0Avg total
47.6Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.448.595.0-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.145.992.1+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)46.751.197.9-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)47.648.496.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.451.297.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.049.093.0-5.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.848.794.5-2.940%-
vs Weaker (4)54.545.299.8+9.275%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.2
47.6%
53.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.3
29.5%
34.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.6%14.7
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 94.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.9
61.0%
53.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.1
36.4%
34.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws17.214.0
81.4%
75.6%14.0
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
LLLLLLLLWL
Thorl
WLLWLLWLLW
#11
League position
#9
-12.2
Net rating
-0.9
99.1
Offensive rating
115.7
111.4
Defensive rating
116.6
46.2%
Effective FG%
58.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.5%
3-point %
36.4%
49.8%
Assist %
65.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 115.7Defence111.4 · 116.6Shooting46.2% · 58.0%3-point %29.5% · 36.4%Ball care15.1% · 16.3%Off. rebounds24.4% · 24.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Hottur   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hottur wins
8
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
05/12/24Thorl v Hottur106-84
25/01/24Thorl v Hottur89-92
26/10/23Hottur v Thorl83-84
28/01/23Hottur v Thorl83-86
20/10/22Thorl v Hottur89-91
03/05/21Hottur v Thorl85-100
07/02/21Thorl v Hottur97-89
02/03/18Thorl v Hottur94-66
01/12/17Hottur v Thorl71-80
06/03/16Hottur v Thorl93-104
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AKR Basket75-97
13/02/25HStjarnan83-86
07/02/25AValur58-92
30/01/25HTindastoll85-97
23/01/25ANjardvik101-110
16/01/25HGrindavik63-64
09/01/25AKeflavik98-112
03/01/25HHaukar86-89
19/12/24AAlftanes92-89
12/12/24HIR Reykjavik79-82
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25HStjarnan94-91 OT
13/02/25ATindastoll96-109
06/02/25HGrindavik95-104
02/02/25AHaukar100-99
24/01/25HIR Reykjavik94-95
16/01/25AKR Basket99-102
10/01/25HValur94-69
02/01/25ANjardvik104-106
19/12/24AKeflavik86-105
13/12/24HAlftanes89-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %21%22%20%
Points / game84.284.483.9
Allowed / game93.086.998.5
Point differential-8.8-2.4-14.6
Avg total177.2171.3182.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)17% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Thorl
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game91.291.790.7
Allowed / game94.589.0100.6
Point differential-3.3+2.7-9.9
Avg total185.7180.7191.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1914574%97.387.1+10.2
2 Tindastoll1914574%96.888.4+8.5
3 Njardvik1913668%93.288.9+4.2
4 Valur1911858%88.786.7+2.1
5 Grindavik1910953%93.590.5+3.0
6 Alftanes1910953%91.390.6+0.7
7 KR Basket1991047%92.794.3-1.6
8 Thorl1991047%91.294.5-3.3
9 Keflavik1981142%97.094.9+2.1
10 IR Reykjavik1981142%88.193.2-5.1
11 Hottur1941521%84.293.0-8.8
12 Haukar1941521%86.398.3-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hottur30321328103
Thorl2830261195
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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