PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Keflavik vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 112-99
35-28 25-29 18-17 34-25
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game103.3
vs
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game101.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 4· Blue-hollin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Keflavik v Hottur
29 Oct 2026
KEFL112
HOTT99
09 Jan 2025
KEFL112
HOTT98
11 Mar 2024
KEFL110
HOTT71
08 Dec 2022
KEFL71
HOTT62
01 Mar 2021
KEFL93
HOTT73
12 Feb 2018
KEFL93
HOTT95
30 Oct 2015
KEFL99
HOTT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H19/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A26/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A02/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#1
L
110-130
110
130
-20
A23/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
16-31
26-20
23-21
27-21
15-27
22-18
22-16
14-21
18-21
25-19
21-14
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
32-29
29-34
32-32
17-35
178.9Avg total
89.7Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)108.0103.3211.3+4.767%
Season at home (1)106.090.0196.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)109.0110.0219.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)89.789.2178.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)97.696.2193.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.0109.0211.0-7.033%
vs Similar (17)92.192.1184.2-0.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)97.388.2185.6+9.167%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
58-92
58
92
-34
A07/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H13/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H27/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#1
L
77-111
77
111
-34
A08/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
W
103-98
103
98
+5
A16/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#9
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H22/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
22-28
17-29
20-17
19-17
15-33
15-26
9-16
17-18
30-28
19-19
17-21
19-15
19-26
23-19
14-37
30-28
32-30
13-26
28-11
18-22
16-17
26-30
23-15
26-24
22-20
19-24
32-27
26-26
17-31
15-24
19-30
23-18
27-28
31-20
22-32
28-25
27-29
27-18
26-24
182.5Avg total
87.4Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)96.0101.7197.7-5.767%
Season at home (1)108.096.0204.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)90.0104.5194.5-14.550%
Last 10 (10)87.495.1182.5-7.740%
Last 5 (5)94.096.8190.8-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)83.294.5177.7-11.224%
vs Similar (6)93.393.5186.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)97.084.5181.5+12.550%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
KeflavikHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H19/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A26/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A02/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#1
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A23/10
Premier league
92.3Avg total
45.3Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.847.494.2-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.245.691.8+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)47.248.896.1-1.635%-
Last 10 (10)45.347.092.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)52.850.4103.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.756.3109.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (17)43.546.089.5-2.529%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)50.848.499.2+2.367%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A07/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H27/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#1
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A08/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#9
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H22/10
Premier league
94.5Avg total
45.9Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.546.488.9-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.344.889.1-0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)40.748.088.7-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)45.948.694.5-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.094.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)41.347.488.7-6.124%-
vs Similar (6)47.247.895.0-0.750%-
vs Weaker (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.1 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.4
51.9%
56.3%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.8
30.7%
32.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.220.1
79.8%
73.7%20.1
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.1 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.3
50.9%
56.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.4
32.0%
32.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.617.0
78.7%
73.7%17.0
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWLWLLWWL
Hottur
WWLWLWLLLL
#5
League position
#7
+0.4
Net rating
-8.7
96.1
Offensive rating
101.2
95.7
Defensive rating
110.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
12.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.7%
3-point %
32.0%
57.6%
Assist %
54.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 101.2Defence95.7 · 110.0Shooting49.5% · 49.6%3-point %30.7% · 32.0%Ball care12.6% · 15.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Keflavik   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Keflavik wins
3
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
09/01/25Keflavik v Hottur112-98
10/10/24Hottur v Keflavik120-115 OT
11/03/24Keflavik v Hottur110-71
21/01/24Hottur v Keflavik93-123
09/11/23Hottur v Keflavik83-75
16/03/23Hottur v Keflavik84-89
08/12/22Keflavik v Hottur71-62
10/05/21Hottur v Keflavik62-74
01/03/21Keflavik v Hottur93-73
12/02/18Keflavik v Hottur93-95
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AAlftanes110-130
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87
02/04/26AValur78-75
26/03/26ANjardvik86-82
19/03/26HValur85-88
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26HIR Reykjavik108-96
16/10/26AStjarnan103-98
08/10/26AAlftanes77-111
27/03/25HAlftanes99-95
14/03/25AIR Reykjavik83-84
06/03/25HThorl103-95
01/03/25AKR Basket75-97
13/02/25HStjarnan83-86
07/02/25AValur58-92
30/01/25HTindastoll85-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game108.0106.0109.0
Allowed / game103.390.0110.0
Point differential+4.7+16.0-1.0
Avg total211.3196.0219.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hottur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game96.0108.090.0
Allowed / game101.796.0104.5
Point differential-5.7+12.0-14.5
Avg total197.7204.0194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alftanes330100%120.091.7+28.3
2 KR Basket330100%94.375.7+18.7
3 Tindastoll330100%90.778.0+12.7
4 Valur330100%88.078.7+9.3
5 Keflavik32167%108.0103.3+4.7
6 Hottur32167%96.0101.7-5.7
7 Grindavik31233%84.088.0-4.0
8 IR Reykjavik31233%93.7106.0-12.3
9 Stjarnan3030%89.097.0-8.0
10 Njardvik3030%78.387.3-9.0
11 Sindri3030%84.093.7-9.7
12 Armann3030%83.3108.3-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik35251834112
Hottur2829172599
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.