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Hottur vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 83-86
17-18 30-28 19-19 17-21
Position#11
Record4-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game93.2
vs
Position#2
Record13-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game86.9
IcelandPremier leagueRound 18· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hottur v Stjarnan
14 Jan 2027
HOTT v STJA
upcoming
13 Feb 2025
HOTT83
STJA86
23 Nov 2023
HOTT89
STJA72
21 Nov 2022
HOTT89
STJA92
07 Mar 2021
HOTT93
STJA94
05 Oct 2017
HOTT66
STJA92
03 Dec 2015
HOTT64
STJA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Thorl
#9
L
84-106
84
106
-22
70avg 70
A05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
58avg 70
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 70
H12/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
92-89
92
89
+3
80avg 70
A19/12
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
70avg 70
H03/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
98-112
98
112
-14
86avg 70
A09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
63-64
63
64
-1
48avg 70
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
101-110
101
110
-9
93avg 70
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
77avg 70
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
58-92
58
92
-34
41avg 70
A07/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
28-24
15-29
21-24
23-13
15-22
23-13
11-25
15-13
19-24
25-28
20-17
8-28
34-26
23-19
27-16
12-22
27-16
23-26
24-25
29-23
24-37
23-33
22-19
20-22
20-14
9-11
14-17
23-30
18-15
31-31
29-34
26-23
22-28
17-29
20-17
19-17
15-33
15-26
9-16
173.2Avg total
81.8Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.893.2177.9-8.424%
Season at home (8)84.687.0171.6-2.425%
Season away (9)84.998.7183.6-13.822%
Last 10 (10)81.891.4173.2-9.610%
Last 5 (5)81.095.0176.0-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)82.594.6177.1-12.121%
vs Similar (7)81.683.1164.7-1.643%
vs Weaker (3)95.783.0178.7+12.767%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Thorl
#13
W
108-81
108
81
+27
106avg 91
A09/12
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
W
97-93
97
93
+4
103avg 91
H12/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
90avg 91
A19/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 91
A05/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
86avg 91
H10/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
88avg 91
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#5
W
100-88
100
88
+12
101avg 91
A19/01
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#12
W
99-75
99
75
+24
100avg 91
H23/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
108-87
108
87
+21
114avg 91
A30/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 91
H02/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
27-26
24-23
30-10
20-28
30-22
22-17
25-26
22-23
29-23
26-24
23-20
18-19
31-23
13-23
17-18
20-17
30-24
18-19
26-26
24-22
26-16
14-32
24-18
27-24
26-22
28-17
19-25
22-19
26-29
26-13
25-14
20-20
28-15
29-19
31-33
20-21
17-25
20-24
25-20
184.4Avg total
96.8Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)98.486.9185.3+11.476%
Season at home (9)99.985.9185.8+14.089%
Season away (8)96.688.1184.8+8.562%
Last 10 (10)96.887.6184.4+9.270%
Last 5 (5)98.088.6186.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.591.8179.2-4.250%
vs Similar (8)87.287.6174.9-0.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)99.086.0185.0+13.082%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
HotturStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A19/12
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H30/01
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A07/02
Premier league
87.6Avg total
41.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.686.0-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.641.583.1+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.788.9-6.620%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.987.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.248.491.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)41.048.289.2-7.221%-
vs Similar (7)41.340.181.4+1.143%-
vs Weaker (3)45.035.780.7+9.3100%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A09/12
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H12/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A19/12
Premier league
Valur
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H10/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A16/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#5
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
Icelandic Cup
Haukar
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H23/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A30/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H02/02
Premier league
93.0Avg total
49.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.143.993.0+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.942.791.6+6.256%-
Last 30 away (14)49.445.394.7+4.171%-
Last 10 (10)49.044.093.0+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)47.242.689.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.546.891.2-2.225%-
vs Similar (8)45.847.593.2-1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)51.541.392.8+10.282%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.920.0
47.7%
53.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.78.8
28.7%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.6
76.8%
75.6%14.6
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.1
52.4%
53.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.6
37.4%
34.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.016.8
80.0%
75.6%16.8
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
LLLLLLWLLL
Stjarnan
LWWWLWLWWW
#11
League position
#2
-11.7
Net rating
+10.9
98.9
Offensive rating
116.3
110.6
Defensive rating
105.4
45.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.7%
3-point %
37.4%
50.3%
Assist %
66.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 116.3Defence110.6 · 105.4Shooting45.7% · 54.0%3-point %28.7% · 37.4%Ball care15.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds26.5% · 32.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Hottur   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hottur wins
8
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
14/11/24Stjarnan v Hottur87-80
07/03/24Stjarnan v Hottur92-82
23/11/23Hottur v Stjarnan89-72
17/02/23Stjarnan v Hottur75-89 OT
21/11/22Hottur v Stjarnan89-92 OT
07/03/21Hottur v Stjarnan93-94
14/01/21Stjarnan v Hottur97-70
04/01/18Stjarnan v Hottur102-69
05/10/17Hottur v Stjarnan66-92
03/03/16Stjarnan v Hottur90-72
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25AValur58-92
30/01/25HTindastoll85-97
23/01/25ANjardvik101-110
16/01/25HGrindavik63-64
09/01/25AKeflavik98-112
03/01/25HHaukar86-89
19/12/24AAlftanes92-89
12/12/24HIR Reykjavik79-82
08/12/24HKR Basket72-73
05/12/24AThorl84-106
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HTindastoll82-90
30/01/25AGrindavik108-87
23/01/25HHaukar99-75
19/01/25AAlftanes100-88
16/01/25AIR Reykjavik101-103 OT
10/01/25HKR Basket94-86
05/01/25AValur79-83
19/12/24ANjardvik100-90
12/12/24HKeflavik97-93
09/12/24AThorl108-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%25%22%
Points / game84.884.684.9
Allowed / game93.287.098.7
Point differential-8.4-2.4-13.8
Avg total177.9171.6183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)20% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL76%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%89%62%
Points / game98.499.996.6
Allowed / game86.985.988.1
Point differential+11.4+14.0+8.5
Avg total185.3185.8184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1713476%98.486.9+11.4
2 Tindastoll1713476%96.687.1+9.5
3 Njardvik1711665%92.589.3+3.2
4 Valur179853%88.286.5+1.7
5 Grindavik189950%93.190.4+2.6
6 Alftanes189950%90.790.7+0.1
7 KR Basket178947%92.795.4-2.6
8 Thorl178947%90.893.8-3.1
9 IR Reykjavik178947%88.093.2-5.2
10 Keflavik1771041%96.994.6+2.4
11 Hottur1741324%84.893.2-8.4
12 Haukar1741324%86.197.6-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hottur1730191783
Stjarnan1828192186
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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