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Hottur vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 83-70
30-11 15-32 22-14 16-13
Position#11
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game99.6
Hottur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#5
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game94.2
IcelandPremier leagueRound 6· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hottur v Valur
19 Nov 2026
HOTT v VALU
upcoming
08 Nov 2024
HOTT83
VALU70
22 Apr 2024
HOTT97
VALU103
14 Apr 2024
HOTT84
VALU77
15 Feb 2024
HOTT83
VALU92
05 Mar 2023
HOTT81
VALU90
11 Jan 2023
HOTT47
VALU74
22 Apr 2021
HOTT91
VALU95
19 Oct 2017
HOTT93
VALU99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
L
54-63
54
63
-9
34avg 72
A04/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
58avg 72
A10/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 72
H14/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
54avg 72
A18/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
75avg 72
H22/04
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
108-80
108
80
+28
109avg 72
A03/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
120-115 OT
120
115
+5
114avg 72
H10/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
84-113
84
113
-29
61avg 72
A17/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
76-91
76
91
-15
62avg 72
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
59-99
59
99
-40
38avg 72
A31/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
11-12
10-20
19-17
19-23
18-22
18-22
20-27
28-21
22-15
18-15
16-26
17-20
25-23
16-22
16-29
15-28
18-19
30-30
24-10
24-17
24-19
28-16
32-28
32-27
20-31
20-21
31-24
9-31
24-25
20-25
31-32
12-26
26-21
18-24
20-20
17-29
13-26
15-24
14-20
176.0Avg total
83.1Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.499.6189.0-10.240%
Season at home (2)98.0103.0201.0-5.050%
Season away (3)83.797.3181.0-13.733%
Last 10 (10)83.192.9176.0-9.830%
Last 5 (5)89.499.6189.0-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.695.5177.1-13.920%
vs Similar (10)81.479.9161.3+1.550%
vs Weaker (4)99.085.0184.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#2
W
89-79
89
79
+10
88avg 81
H17/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
84avg 81
A20/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
80-62
80
62
+18
72avg 81
H23/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 81
A26/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 81
H29/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
63avg 81
A04/10
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
78avg 81
H10/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
94avg 81
A17/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
104-80
104
80
+24
91avg 81
H24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 81
A31/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
16-15
32-21
20-21
29-20
23-25
21-21
16-27
21-19
16-18
27-11
16-14
25-23
18-21
15-14
20-22
27-22
22-18
19-17
12-16
18-17
16-23
31-26
16-29
14-25
27-12
20-31
20-13
20-19
17-21
19-27
32-21
25-21
19-21
27-25
33-13
20-27
13-28
28-25
33-21
174.4Avg total
88.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.094.2188.2-0.240%
Season at home (2)96.087.5183.5+8.550%
Season away (3)92.798.7191.3-6.033%
Last 10 (10)88.685.8174.4+2.850%
Last 5 (5)94.094.2188.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.095.0176.0-14.00%
vs Similar (15)86.785.7172.5+1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.582.9175.4+9.679%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
HotturValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A04/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H22/04
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H10/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A17/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H24/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A31/10
Premier league
83.7Avg total
38.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.685.2-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.443.184.5-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.085.9-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.983.7-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.250.490.6-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.748.589.1-7.827%-
vs Similar (10)39.740.279.9-0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)50.235.085.2+15.2100%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A20/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H29/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/10
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A17/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A31/10
Premier league
82.4Avg total
40.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.486.4+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.040.584.5+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.944.388.2-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.782.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.880.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.040.074.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (15)42.943.986.9-1.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.741.086.7+4.764%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.417.9
43.2%
53.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.2
32.6%
34.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.616.0
77.7%
75.6%16.0
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.2
51.6%
53.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.111.7
33.3%
34.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws21.616.3
75.5%
75.6%16.3
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
LLLWWLLWLL
Valur
LWWLLWLWLW
#11
League position
#5
-11.8
Net rating
+3.4
98.2
Offensive rating
106.7
110.0
Defensive rating
103.3
45.7%
Effective FG%
50.8%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.6%
3-point %
33.3%
48.8%
Assist %
60.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 106.7Defence110.0 · 103.3Shooting45.7% · 50.8%3-point %32.6% · 33.3%Ball care16.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds26.3% · 23.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Hottur   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hottur wins
9
Valur wins
DateGameScore
22/04/24Hottur v Valur97-103 OT
18/04/24Valur v Hottur94-74
14/04/24Hottur v Valur84-77
10/04/24Valur v Hottur94-75
15/02/24Hottur v Valur83-92
17/11/23Valur v Hottur80-69
05/03/23Hottur v Valur81-90
11/01/23Hottur v Valur47-74
25/11/22Valur v Hottur82-79
22/04/21Hottur v Valur91-95
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/24ATindastoll59-99
24/10/24HNjardvik76-91
17/10/24AGrindavik84-113
10/10/24HKeflavik120-115 OT
03/10/24AHaukar108-80
22/04/24HValur97-103 OT
18/04/24AValur74-94
14/04/24HValur84-77
10/04/24AValur75-94
04/04/24AAlftanes54-63
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/24ANjardvik94-101
24/10/24HKeflavik104-80
17/10/24AAlftanes103-100 OT
10/10/24HThorl88-95 OT
04/10/24AStjarnan81-95
29/05/24HGrindavik80-73
26/05/24AGrindavik78-80
23/05/24HGrindavik80-62
20/05/24AGrindavik89-93
17/05/24HGrindavik89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game89.498.083.7
Allowed / game99.6103.097.3
Point differential-10.2-5.0-13.7
Avg total189.0201.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%50%0%
Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game94.096.092.7
Allowed / game94.287.598.7
Point differential-0.2+8.5-6.0
Avg total188.2183.5191.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %40%50%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll65183%94.781.7+13.0
2 Stjarnan65183%100.788.7+12.0
3 Njardvik54180%92.086.2+5.8
4 Thorl54180%89.285.8+3.4
5 Grindavik53260%98.688.4+10.2
6 Alftanes52340%91.691.8-0.2
7 Valur52340%94.094.2-0.2
8 KR Basket52340%87.488.4-1.0
9 Keflavik52340%97.0100.4-3.4
10 Hottur52340%89.499.6-10.2
11 IR Reykjavik5050%82.297.4-15.2
12 Haukar5050%81.2100.4-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hottur3015221683
Valur1132141370
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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