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Hottur vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 83-92
26-23 23-23 16-24 18-22
Position#8
Record9-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#1
Record14-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game82.3
IcelandPremier leagueRound 18· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hottur v Valur
19 Nov 2026
HOTT v VALU
upcoming
08 Nov 2024
HOTT83
VALU70
22 Apr 2024
HOTT97
VALU103
14 Apr 2024
HOTT84
VALU77
15 Feb 2024
HOTT83
VALU92
05 Mar 2023
HOTT81
VALU90
11 Jan 2023
HOTT47
VALU74
22 Apr 2021
HOTT91
VALU95
19 Oct 2017
HOTT93
VALU99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 77
A30/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
71-83
71
83
-12
56avg 77
A07/12
Premier league
Hamar
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
74avg 77
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 77
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
67avg 77
H04/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
86-78
86
78
+8
78avg 77
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 77
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
93-123
93
123
-30
85avg 77
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
W
92-89
92
89
+3
84avg 77
A25/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 77
H01/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
23-30
23-15
23-28
18-20
12-25
22-16
19-22
22-14
19-24
26-24
17-20
22-14
22-25
17-13
17-21
13-22
14-25
25-18
19-13
22-12
27-15
19-14
18-37
24-21
28-35
11-13
22-19
21-29
15-25
31-37
26-32
33-23
24-22
13-22
22-22
22-20
26-13
22-20
23-27
170.5Avg total
83.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.383.9168.2+0.456%
Season at home (8)82.877.9160.6+4.962%
Season away (8)85.989.9175.8-4.050%
Last 10 (10)83.886.7170.5-2.950%
Last 5 (5)89.891.6181.4-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.492.2172.6-11.817%
vs Similar (9)83.883.9167.7-0.144%
vs Weaker (8)89.183.2172.4+5.975%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Breidablik
#11
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 83
A07/12
Premier league
KV mfl.kk.
#16
W
128-89
128
89
+39
no box
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
85avg 83
H14/12
Premier league
Thorl
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
82avg 83
H04/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
111-89
111
89
+22
100avg 83
A11/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
105-82
105
82
+23
100avg 83
H18/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 83
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 83
H25/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
70avg 83
A02/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
80avg 83
H08/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
27-26
25-25
29-15
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-26
22-16
23-23
15-18
19-21
27-24
29-19
26-23
28-20
29-26
28-20
28-14
24-20
32-28
21-20
19-24
23-19
22-20
15-21
25-18
25-20
27-25
13-16
20-17
26-29
16-24
23-11
24-10
17-17
19-23
22-22
180.1Avg total
97.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.882.3175.1+10.582%
Season at home (9)90.178.2168.3+11.989%
Season away (8)95.886.9182.6+8.975%
Last 10 (10)97.183.0180.1+14.190%
Last 5 (5)88.279.6167.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)88.884.2172.9+4.658%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.881.2172.0+9.576%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +4.0+4.0
HotturValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#10
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/12
Premier league
Hamar
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A11/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H18/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#1
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H21/01
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A25/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H01/02
Premier league
85.7Avg total
42.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.484.3-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.142.481.4-3.338%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.687.5-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.485.7-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.091.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.246.385.6-7.125%-
vs Similar (9)41.844.986.7-3.133%-
vs Weaker (8)42.138.180.2+4.062%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breidablik
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A07/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A11/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H18/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H25/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H08/02
Premier league
87.1Avg total
46.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.641.287.8+5.366%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.039.984.9+5.167%-
Last 30 away (14)48.242.690.9+5.664%-
Last 10 (9)46.840.387.1+6.456%-
Last 5 (5)46.237.683.8+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)46.844.290.9+2.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.439.185.5+7.371%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.0
49.2%
51.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.4
35.4%
34.2%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.6
74.1%
74.4%12.6
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 94.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.2
50.0%
51.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.912.0
37.6%
34.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.417.7
75.6%
74.4%17.7
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
WWLLWLWWLL
Valur
WWWLWWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
-4.4
Net rating
+14.5
103.1
Offensive rating
113.5
107.5
Defensive rating
99.0
51.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
37.6%
53.7%
Assist %
58.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 113.5Defence107.5 · 99.0Shooting51.0% · 52.8%3-point %35.4% · 37.6%Ball care19.7% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.8% · 30.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Hottur   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hottur wins
8
Valur wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Valur v Hottur80-69
05/03/23Hottur v Valur81-90
11/01/23Hottur v Valur47-74
25/11/22Valur v Hottur82-79
22/04/21Hottur v Valur91-95
28/01/21Valur v Hottur88-81
19/01/18Valur v Hottur102-94
19/10/17Hottur v Valur93-99 OT
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24HHamar93-80
25/01/24AThorl92-89
21/01/24HKeflavik93-123
18/01/24HNjardvik85-88
11/01/24ABreidablik86-78
04/01/24HGrindavik71-78
14/12/23HAlftanes78-73
10/12/23AHamar84-82
07/12/23ATindastoll71-83
30/11/23AHaukar85-93
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HHaukar82-72
02/02/24AStjarnan85-81
25/01/24HTindastoll90-79
21/01/24AStjarnan79-84
18/01/24HKeflavik105-82
11/01/24AHamar111-89
04/01/24HThorl90-82
14/12/23HNjardvik91-87
10/12/23AKV mfl.kk.128-89
07/12/23ABreidablik110-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game84.382.885.9
Allowed / game83.977.989.9
Point differential+0.4+4.9-4.0
Avg total168.2160.6175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %82%89%75%
Points / game92.890.195.8
Allowed / game82.378.286.9
Point differential+10.5+11.9+8.9
Avg total175.1168.3182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1714382%92.882.3+10.5
2 Keflavik1611569%95.490.1+5.2
3 Njardvik1611569%92.487.4+5.0
4 Grindavik1711665%93.488.6+4.8
5 Thorl1711665%90.489.5+0.9
6 Alftanes1710759%83.580.6+2.9
7 Hottur169756%84.383.9+0.4
8 Tindastoll179853%86.484.8+1.6
9 Stjarnan1881044%86.385.7+0.7
10 Haukar1851328%87.990.1-2.2
11 Breidablik1621412%85.298.7-13.4
12 Hamar170170%82.498.8-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hottur2623161883
Valur2323242292
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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