PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hottur vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-103 (OT)
15-28 18-19 30-30 24-10 10-16
Position#8
Record12-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#1
Record20-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game83.4
IcelandPremier leaguePremier League - Quarter-finals· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hottur v Valur
19 Nov 2026
HOTT v VALU
upcoming
08 Nov 2024
HOTT83
VALU70
22 Apr 2024
HOTT97
VALU103
14 Apr 2024
HOTT84
VALU77
15 Feb 2024
HOTT83
VALU92
05 Mar 2023
HOTT81
VALU90
11 Jan 2023
HOTT47
VALU74
22 Apr 2021
HOTT91
VALU95
19 Oct 2017
HOTT93
VALU99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Hamar
#12
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 73
H01/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 73
H15/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
82-92
82
92
-10
70avg 73
A07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
71-110
71
110
-39
59avg 73
A11/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
93-68
93
68
+25
83avg 73
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
87-82
87
82
+5
71avg 73
H28/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
54-63
54
63
-9
34avg 73
A04/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
58avg 73
A10/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 73
H14/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
54avg 73
A18/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
26-13
22-20
23-27
26-23
23-23
16-24
18-22
18-24
32-22
14-25
18-21
16-35
23-27
17-22
15-26
19-17
26-19
28-18
20-14
13-18
17-20
29-26
28-18
14-14
11-12
10-20
19-17
19-23
18-22
18-22
20-27
28-21
22-15
18-15
16-26
17-20
25-23
16-22
16-29
164.8Avg total
79.6Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.184.6166.6-2.548%
Season at home (12)84.178.5162.6+5.667%
Season away (13)80.290.2170.4-9.931%
Last 10 (10)79.685.2164.8-5.640%
Last 5 (5)74.882.0156.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)80.292.1172.3-11.825%
vs Similar (11)81.680.7162.4+0.945%
vs Weaker (6)90.883.0173.8+7.883%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
70avg 83
A02/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
80avg 83
H08/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
87avg 83
A15/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
89-71
89
71
+18
84avg 83
H07/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
53avg 83
A15/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
106-94
106
94
+12
101avg 83
H28/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
114-106 OT
114
106
+8
100avg 83
A04/04
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
93avg 83
H10/04
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
52avg 83
A14/04
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
90avg 83
H18/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
26-29
16-24
23-11
24-10
17-17
19-23
22-22
23-26
23-23
24-16
22-18
25-27
21-15
21-14
22-15
19-22
21-26
16-29
11-21
27-31
24-22
38-17
17-24
18-19
38-26
20-33
19-17
23-19
22-18
22-18
27-20
21-28
15-22
15-18
26-16
20-17
23-25
22-16
29-16
173.8Avg total
90.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)92.483.4175.8+9.080%
Season at home (13)91.878.3170.2+13.592%
Season away (12)93.088.8181.8+4.267%
Last 10 (10)90.083.8173.8+6.280%
Last 5 (5)97.086.6183.6+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)87.187.9175.0-0.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.981.5173.4+10.377%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
HotturValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamar
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H01/02
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A11/03
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H28/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A04/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/04
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/04
Premier league
82.6Avg total
41.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.484.3-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.982.0+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.886.5-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.182.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.674.4-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.746.889.5-4.242%-
vs Similar (11)40.441.281.5-0.845%-
vs Weaker (6)43.336.379.7+7.067%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H08/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A15/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H07/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H28/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A04/04
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/04
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A14/04
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/04
Premier league
88.9Avg total
45.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.642.088.6+4.662%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.386.7+6.073%-
Last 30 away (14)46.943.890.6+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.988.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.491.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)46.744.491.1+2.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.541.287.8+5.364%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.816.5
43.7%
51.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.4
33.3%
34.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.214.6
80.2%
74.4%14.6
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.6
50.4%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.5
33.7%
34.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws28.218.7
66.3%
74.4%18.7
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
LWLLWWLLLW
Valur
WLWWWLWWWW
#8
League position
#1
-7.3
Net rating
+8.3
99.1
Offensive rating
109.2
106.4
Defensive rating
100.8
46.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.3%
3-point %
33.7%
49.1%
Assist %
59.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 109.2Defence106.4 · 100.8Shooting46.5% · 50.5%3-point %33.3% · 33.7%Ball care16.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds24.8% · 30.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Hottur   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hottur wins
9
Valur wins
DateGameScore
18/04/24Valur v Hottur94-74
14/04/24Hottur v Valur84-77
10/04/24Valur v Hottur94-75
15/02/24Hottur v Valur83-92
17/11/23Valur v Hottur80-69
05/03/23Hottur v Valur81-90
11/01/23Hottur v Valur47-74
25/11/22Valur v Hottur82-79
22/04/21Hottur v Valur91-95
28/01/21Valur v Hottur88-81
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/24AValur74-94
14/04/24HValur84-77
10/04/24AValur75-94
04/04/24AAlftanes54-63
28/03/24HTindastoll87-82
14/03/24HHaukar93-68
11/03/24AKeflavik71-110
07/03/24AStjarnan82-92
15/02/24HValur83-92
01/02/24HHamar93-80
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/24HHottur94-74
14/04/24AHottur77-84
10/04/24HHottur94-75
04/04/24ANjardvik114-106 OT
28/03/24HBreidablik106-94
15/03/24AGrindavik67-98
07/03/24HAlftanes89-71
15/02/24AHottur92-83
08/02/24HHaukar82-72
02/02/24AStjarnan85-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL48%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%67%31%
Points / game82.184.180.2
Allowed / game84.678.590.2
Point differential-2.5+5.6-9.9
Avg total166.6162.6170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%92%67%
Points / game92.491.893.0
Allowed / game83.478.388.8
Point differential+9.0+13.5+4.2
Avg total175.8170.2181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%77%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur2520580%92.483.4+9.0
2 Grindavik2518772%94.987.6+7.2
3 Keflavik2517868%96.190.8+5.2
4 Thorl2517868%92.691.0+1.7
5 Njardvik2516964%95.489.7+5.7
6 Alftanes25141156%84.081.5+2.5
7 Stjarnan22111150%86.885.5+1.4
8 Hottur25121348%82.184.6-2.5
9 Tindastoll25111444%87.186.9+0.2
10 Haukar2251723%87.992.0-4.1
11 Breidablik222209%85.7100.8-15.1
12 Hamar221215%84.299.5-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Hottur151830241097
Valur2819301016103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.