PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Houston Christian faces Georgia Southern on 19 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup where the model rates Houston Christian as the clear favourite, assigning an 80% chance of victory and a projected score of 80-71, with a total of 150.7 points and a 4% overtime probability. Houston Christian enters the game undefeated at 4-0, averaging 94.2 points scored and 65.2 points allowed, and sits 19th in the league; at home they are 2-0, scoring 108.0 points and conceding 59.0, and their last five games include a 108-73 win over CBS Ambassadors, a 87-76 victory over South Dakota Coyotes, and a 74-67 win over Western Illinois. Georgia Southern is 1-3 overall, averaging 77.8 points and 82.8 points allowed, and 0-2 on the road, scoring 76.5 and allowing 89.5; their last five games feature losses to UCF Knights, Mercer, and Georgia Tech. The teams have met twice before, with Georgia Southern winning both encounters, most recently 80-62 on 29 November 2025. Houston Christian's offensive firepower and Georgia Southern's recent struggles give the model an 80% probability that the home team will win, while the 20% chance for Georgia Southern reflects their defensive lapses and road woes.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 94.2 | 65.2 | 159.5 | +29.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 108.0 | 59.0 | 167.0 | +49.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 80.5 | 71.5 | 152.0 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.2 | 67.1 | 143.3 | +9.1 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.4 | 66.8 | 154.2 | +20.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 64.7 | 74.7 | 139.3 | -10.0 | 13% |
| vs Similar (11) | 67.7 | 70.4 | 138.1 | -2.6 | 55% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 89.7 | 72.0 | 161.7 | +17.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 77.8 | 82.8 | 160.5 | -5.0 | 25% |
| Season at home (2) | 79.0 | 76.0 | 155.0 | +3.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 76.5 | 89.5 | 166.0 | -13.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.2 | 80.4 | 161.6 | +0.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.4 | 81.6 | 156.0 | -7.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 72.4 | 83.9 | 156.2 | -11.5 | 12% |
| vs Similar (16) | 84.9 | 81.8 | 166.7 | +3.2 | 69% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 80.7 | 70.2 | 150.8 | +10.5 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.6 | 34.4 | 66.9 | -1.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 34.5 | 33.7 | 68.2 | +0.8 | 46% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 31.1 | 34.9 | 65.9 | -3.8 | 35% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.5 | 30.8 | 67.3 | +5.7 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.8 | 30.6 | 75.4 | +14.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 29.4 | 36.3 | 65.7 | -6.9 | 27% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 31.4 | 33.4 | 64.7 | -2.0 | 36% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 44.3 | 32.7 | 77.0 | +11.7 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.4 | 37.3 | 75.8 | +1.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 40.1 | 36.5 | 76.6 | +3.5 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 37.2 | 37.9 | 75.1 | -0.8 | 41% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.8 | 37.7 | 76.5 | +1.1 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.0 | 37.2 | 73.2 | -1.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 34.0 | 39.5 | 73.5 | -5.5 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 40.6 | 37.2 | 77.8 | +3.4 | 62% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 38.5 | 34.8 | 73.3 | +3.7 | 67% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 | Georgia Southern v Houston Christian | 80-62 |
| 20/11/22 | Houston Christian v Georgia Southern | 77-84 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | CBS Ambassadors | 108-73 |
| 11/11/26 | A | South Dakota Coyotes | 87-76 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Western Illinois | 74-67 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Louisiana Christian | 108-45 |
| 08/03/26 | A | New Orleans | 60-73 |
| 03/03/26 | H | Lamar | 75-53 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Stephen F. Austin | 56-77 |
| 24/02/26 | A | East Texas A&M | 69-68 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Northwestern St. | 53-71 |
| 17/02/26 | H | Nicholls State | 72-68 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | UCF Knights | 70-84 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Mercer | 91-97 OT |
| 07/11/26 | A | Georgia Tech | 83-95 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Ball State | 67-55 |
| 09/03/26 | A | Troy | 61-77 |
| 09/03/26 | A | Marshall | 82-78 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Coastal Carolina | 96-72 |
| 07/03/26 | A | South Alabama | 94-85 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Arkansas State | 80-77 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Old Dominion | 88-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 94.2 | 108.0 | 80.5 |
| Allowed / game | 65.2 | 59.0 | 71.5 |
| Point differential | +29.0 | +49.0 | +9.0 |
| Avg total | 159.5 | 167.0 | 152.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLL | 25% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 77.8 | 79.0 | 76.5 |
| Allowed / game | 82.8 | 76.0 | 89.5 |
| Point differential | -5.0 | +3.0 | -13.0 |
| Avg total | 160.5 | 155.0 | 166.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Christian | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 94.2 | 65.2 | +29.0 |
| 2 |  Stephen F. Austin | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 90.8 | 61.2 | +29.5 |
| 3 |  Lamar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 109.0 | 67.3 | +41.7 |
| 4 |  McNeese State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 100.3 | 80.7 | +19.7 |
| 5 |  UTRGV | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 71.3 | 62.0 | +9.3 |
| 6 |  Texas A&M-CC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 71.0 | 67.2 | +3.8 |
| 7 |  New Orleans | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 73.5 | 82.5 | -9.0 |
| 8 |  Nicholls State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 78.7 | 67.7 | +11.0 |
| 9 |  SE Louisiana | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.3 | 87.3 | -23.0 |
| 10 |  Northwestern St. | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.2 | 77.8 | -13.5 |
| 11 |  Incarnate Word | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 60.8 | 79.2 | -18.5 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Texas State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 89.8 | 62.8 | +27.0 |
| 2 |  Old Dominion | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 77.0 | 58.4 | +18.6 |
| 3 |  Appalachian State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 69.0 | 60.2 | +8.8 |
| 4 |  Southern Miss | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 72.0 | 70.8 | +1.2 |
| 5 |  Coastal Carolina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 72.5 | 73.5 | -1.0 |
| 6 |  South Alabama | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 74.6 | 76.0 | -1.4 |
| 7 |  Louisiana Lafayette | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 59.0 | 60.3 | -1.3 |
| 8 |  James Madison | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.0 | 78.7 | -2.7 |
| 9 |  Arkansas State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.0 | 84.3 | -10.3 |
| 10 |  Georgia State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 85.8 | 77.2 | +8.5 |
| 11 |  Marshall | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 78.2 | 76.0 | +2.2 |
| 12 | Georgia Southern | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 77.8 | 82.8 | -5.0 |
| 13 |  Troy | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 66.0 | 78.0 | -12.0 |
| 14 |  Louisiana Monroe | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 79.6 | 87.6 | -8.0 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
