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Houston vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 82-67
41-33 41-34
Position#18
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game59.1
Houston 🏆
USA
vs
Position#167
Record5-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A06/04
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H08/04
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H04/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
78-45
78
45
+33
H13/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A16/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
91-45
91
45
+46
H21/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
H24/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H25/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-34
42-33
31-28
32-37
44-23
31-34
33-26
32-22
39-17
39-28
39-35
34-37
47-25
44-20
37-34
30-33
39-35
34-41
39-25
27-31
133.7Avg total
73.2Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.959.1134.0+15.888%
Season at home (7)75.157.3132.4+17.986%
Season away (1)73.072.0145.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.260.5133.7+12.780%
Last 5 (5)76.264.6140.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.067.0137.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (5)72.468.6141.0+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)72.859.9132.8+12.996%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
101-64
101
64
+37
H08/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A12/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H21/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
59-95
59
95
-36
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
73-107
73
107
-34
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
43-37
26-30
36-36
58-44
50-32
46-30
55-34
40-37
36-41
43-40
44-33
40-29
58-43
35-24
54-35
24-52
35-43
30-49
43-58
158.8Avg total
82.9Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.478.0164.4+8.462%
Season at home (7)87.978.0165.9+9.971%
Season away (1)76.078.0154.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)82.975.9158.8+7.060%
Last 5 (5)81.281.2162.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.984.2156.1-12.225%
vs Similar (9)75.969.9145.8+6.067%
vs Weaker (9)82.969.2152.1+13.767%
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.4+9.41st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +6.2+6.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.4+9.41st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +6.2+6.2
HoustonFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A06/04
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H08/04
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H13/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A16/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H21/11
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H26/11
NCAA
65.8Avg total
37.6Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.028.264.2+7.877%-
Last 30 at home (21)37.227.364.5+9.986%-
Last 30 away (9)33.230.363.6+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)37.628.265.8+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.871.0+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.034.062.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (5)34.029.663.6+4.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)36.827.764.5+9.079%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A12/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H21/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H26/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H28/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H03/12
NCAA
74.2Avg total
37.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.534.468.0-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.334.468.7-0.158%-
Last 30 away (11)32.234.566.7-2.445%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.774.2+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.873.2-4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.440.573.9-7.133%-
vs Similar (9)30.928.759.6+2.267%-
vs Weaker (9)36.332.168.4+4.267%-
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Houston wins
0
Florida State wins
No previous meetings.
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25HNotre Dame66-56
25/11/25HTennessee73-76
24/11/25HSyracuse78-74 OT
21/11/25HRider91-45
16/11/25AAuburn73-72
13/11/25HOakland78-45
08/11/25HTowson65-48
04/11/25HLehigh75-57
08/04/25HFlorida63-65
06/04/25ADuke70-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25HGeorgia73-107
28/11/25HTexas A&M59-95
26/11/25HCSU Bakersfield89-59
21/11/25HGeorgia Southern98-72
19/11/25HUT Martin87-73
12/11/25AFlorida76-78
08/11/25HAlabama State101-64
05/11/25HAlcorn State108-76
11/03/25HSyracuse62-66
08/03/25HSMU Mustangs76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %88%86%100%
Points / game74.975.173.0
Allowed / game59.157.372.0
Point differential+15.8+17.9+1.0
Avg total134.0132.4145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%14%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %62%71%0%
Points / game86.487.976.0
Allowed / game78.078.078.0
Point differential+8.4+9.9-2.0
Avg total164.4165.9154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona770100%87.367.0+20.3
2 Oklahoma State990100%91.376.4+14.9
3 Iowa State98189%92.866.3+26.4
4 Colorado98189%88.478.4+10.0
5 Brigham Young87188%85.268.0+17.2
6 Houston87188%74.959.1+15.8
7 UCF Knights87188%88.276.9+11.4
8 Texas Tech86275%81.471.5+9.9
9 Baylor86275%87.881.0+6.8
10 Arizona State86275%80.976.6+4.2
11 West Virginia107370%72.658.4+14.2
12 Utah Utes107370%81.478.7+2.7
13 Cincinnati96367%75.365.1+10.2
14 Kansas96367%74.064.1+9.9
15 TCU85362%80.468.5+11.9
16 Kansas State95456%84.380.3+4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke10100100%86.859.6+27.2
2 Louisville98189%93.867.6+26.2
3 SMU Mustangs98189%89.475.6+13.9
4 California98189%81.968.9+13.0
5 North Carolina87188%81.265.5+15.8
6 Stanford87188%82.971.9+11.0
7 Miami (FL)108280%85.665.3+20.3
8 Virginia108280%84.172.1+12.0
9 Virginia Tech108280%82.073.6+8.4
10 Clemson97278%85.166.7+18.4
11 Wake Forest107370%84.272.7+11.5
12 Notre Dame107370%76.669.4+7.2
13 NC State96367%89.275.8+13.4
14 Syracuse85362%73.264.6+8.6
15 Florida State85362%86.478.0+8.4
16 Georgia Tech106460%72.469.2+3.2
17 Pittsburgh95456%71.768.1+3.6
18 Boston College105550%70.066.6+3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston414182
Florida State333467
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