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Houston vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-49
39-22 39-27
Position#9
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game56.4
Houston 🏆
USA
vs
Position#167
Record6-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game77.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HoustonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#32
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H30/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
97-40
97
40
+57
H05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H10/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
91-45
91
45
+46
H14/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
W
80-44
80
44
+36
H23/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
70-73 OT
70
73
-3
H01/12
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
79-51
79
51
+28
H07/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-23
29-31
52-13
45-27
33-28
36-46
51-25
40-20
48-18
32-26
36-34
42-44
39-31
26-23
30-25
35-40
28-18
51-33
33-11
29-31
130.6Avg total
74.4Scored
56.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.056.4133.4+20.667%
Season at home (8)76.652.9129.5+23.875%
Season away (1)80.085.0165.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)74.456.2130.6+18.260%
Last 5 (5)71.261.0132.2+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)58.565.5124.0-7.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)76.359.8136.1+16.488%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#68
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A05/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A09/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A16/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H22/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
45-80
45
80
-35
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
52-85
52
85
-33
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
111-49
111
49
+62
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
45-41
47-41
43-39
41-33
45-44
36-35
46-32
51-35
52-43
34-41
48-39
25-34
20-46
23-34
29-51
55-23
56-26
39-44
48-49
158.5Avg total
81.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.277.3158.5+3.960%
Season at home (6)79.874.8154.7+5.067%
Season away (4)83.281.0164.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)81.277.3158.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)75.477.4152.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.387.7168.0-7.333%
vs Similar (14)77.473.1150.4+4.371%
vs Weaker (10)86.070.2156.2+15.880%
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.6+14.61st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +2.2+2.2
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.6+14.61st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +2.2+2.2
HoustonToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
HoustonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#32
L
22-23
22
23
-1
H30/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
52-13
52
13
+39
H05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H14/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
W
48-18
48
18
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H28/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Butler
#266
W
28-18
28
18
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
33-11
33
11
+22
H11/12
NCAA
59.8Avg total
37.2Scored
22.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.825.461.2+10.483%-
Last 30 at home (22)35.922.458.3+13.591%-
Last 30 away (8)35.533.669.1+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)37.222.659.8+14.690%-
Last 5 (5)33.223.857.0+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)26.526.052.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.225.362.5+11.988%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#68
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A05/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H22/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H23/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
NCAA
74.3Avg total
38.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.371.8+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.132.068.1+4.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.137.076.1+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.374.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.270.4+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.841.578.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (14)36.033.069.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (10)40.031.971.9+8.170%-
This opponent (Houston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Houston wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
Houstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HTroy62-42
07/12/24HButler79-51
01/12/24HSan Diego State70-73 OT
28/11/24HNotre Dame65-54
27/11/24AAlabama80-85 OT
23/11/24HHofstra80-44
14/11/24HLouisiana Lafayette91-45
10/11/24HAuburn69-74
05/11/24HJackson State97-40
30/03/24HDuke51-54
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AYoungstown State87-93
07/12/24HDefiance College111-49
01/12/24HOakland52-85
23/11/24HUC San Diego45-80
22/11/24HJacksonville State82-80
21/11/24HStetson103-78
16/11/24ADetroit82-67
14/11/24HWright State86-77
09/11/24AMarshall90-80
05/11/24ATroy74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %67%75%0%
Points / game77.076.680.0
Allowed / game56.452.985.0
Point differential+20.6+23.8-5.0
Avg total133.4129.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %22%12%100%
Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game81.279.883.2
Allowed / game77.374.881.0
Point differential+3.9+5.0+2.2
Avg total158.5154.7164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State109190%87.464.9+22.5
2 Cincinnati98189%80.459.6+20.9
3 Utah Utes108280%86.664.0+22.6
4 Texas Tech108280%84.863.9+20.9
5 Brigham Young108280%83.965.5+18.4
6 West Virginia108280%78.565.6+12.9
7 Kansas108280%78.467.3+11.1
8 Colorado108280%76.569.7+6.8
9 Arizona State108280%78.672.3+6.3
10 UCF Knights108280%80.374.8+5.5
11 Baylor107370%84.971.3+13.6
12 Houston96367%77.056.4+20.6
13 Oklahoma State96367%79.676.2+3.3
14 Kansas State106460%79.469.7+9.7
15 TCU106460%71.565.4+6.1
16 Arizona94544%83.471.0+12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State108280%69.760.2+9.5
2 Akron96367%85.275.4+9.8
3 Toledo106460%81.277.3+3.9
4 Miami (Ohio)106460%75.471.9+3.5
5 Central Michigan105550%77.371.6+5.7
6 Buffalo105550%76.178.2-2.1
7 Eastern Michigan105550%69.774.2-4.5
8 Ohio115645%77.877.6+0.2
9 UMass125742%75.474.5+0.9
10 Bowling Green104640%78.674.4+4.2
11 Ball State104640%73.772.7+1.0
12 Western Michigan103730%71.073.3-2.3
13 Northern Illinois103730%69.676.2-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston393978
Toledo222749
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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