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Ibar Rozaje vs Tivat Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 108-99
24-12 32-35 24-27 28-25
Position#14
Record8-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#12
Record8-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game94.4
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 23· Dvorana na Bandzovom brdu
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ibar Rozaje v Tivat
16 Mar 2026
IBAR108
TIVA99
15 Mar 2025
IBAR84
TIVA115
09 Dec 2023
IBAR58
TIVA77
05 Apr 2022
IBAR68
TIVA61
25 Mar 2021
IBAR94
TIVA82
21 Oct 2020
IBAR82
TIVA76
21 Dec 2019
IBAR91
TIVA75
24 Mar 2018
IBAR61
TIVA75
29 Mar 2017
IBAR67
TIVA89
27 Dec 2016
IBAR65
TIVA91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ibar Rozaje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tivat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ibar RozajeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRozaje
Date
Competition
Decic
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
82avg 67
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
73avg 67
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
49avg 67
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
65-85
65
85
-20
59avg 67
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
74-108
74
108
-34
63avg 67
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
57avg 67
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
89-81
89
81
+8
90avg 67
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 67
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 67
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
19-15
25-23
22-32
19-22
31-30
15-26
20-15
13-18
21-21
9-23
29-29
20-22
15-14
12-23
11-16
13-17
19-20
18-15
15-33
26-25
21-29
11-26
16-28
17-17
24-18
13-22
13-24
26-17
16-16
23-22
24-26
16-23
20-19
14-15
18-17
19-23
22-16
13-23
14-22
159.1Avg total
73.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.181.0156.2-5.936%
Season at home (11)78.376.2154.5+2.155%
Season away (11)72.085.9157.9-13.918%
Last 10 (10)73.785.4159.1-11.720%
Last 5 (5)73.285.6158.8-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.186.7161.7-11.617%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.175.7151.8+0.456%
vs Weaker (3)72.076.7148.7-4.733%
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 80
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
95-103
95
103
-8
80avg 80
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
107-102
107
102
+5
105avg 80
H25/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
76avg 80
A02/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
84-94
84
94
-10
72avg 80
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
101-89
101
89
+12
98avg 80
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
79avg 80
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 80
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
118-95
118
95
+23
113avg 80
H10/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-22
18-25
27-29
16-25
30-22
18-32
25-21
22-28
26-20
22-19
17-26
17-17
32-24
25-32
23-22
27-24
23-32
18-24
23-15
21-19
27-25
7-27
22-20
28-22
34-23
22-17
20-34
25-15
20-18
17-29
24-26
22-20
28-22
13-25
16-15
16-20
31-26
26-25
38-17
23-27
187.3Avg total
93.1Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)89.494.4183.8-5.036%
Season at home (11)94.892.8187.6+2.055%
Season away (11)84.096.0180.0-12.018%
Last 10 (10)93.194.2187.3-1.130%
Last 5 (5)91.890.6182.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.695.8180.4-11.225%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.389.9177.2-2.636%
vs Weaker (7)99.180.7179.9+18.4100%
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.9-6.9Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.9-6.9Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
Ibar RozajeTivat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ibar RozajeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Decic
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H04/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A11/03
Prva A Liga
79.6Avg total
40.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.077.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.338.576.8-0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)37.141.378.4-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.479.6+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.682.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.243.080.2-5.828%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.736.375.0+2.356%-
vs Weaker (3)37.333.070.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H25/01
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A02/02
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H10/03
Prva A Liga
96.1Avg total
47.2Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.046.790.8-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.445.190.5+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)42.748.491.1-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)47.248.996.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.492.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.149.689.7-9.58%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.845.390.1-0.555%-
vs Weaker (7)49.644.193.7+5.471%-
This opponent (Ibar Rozaje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ibar Rozajetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibar Rozaje: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.816.0
55.5%
58.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.29.3
27.3%
31.5%28.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.1%
69.7%12.5
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.3
55.9%
58.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.2
29.9%
31.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.113.6
64.5%
69.7%13.6
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ibar Rozaje
LLWLLLLLLW
Tivat
WLLWLLWLLL
#14
League position
#12
-13.3
Net rating
-6.1
99.5
Offensive rating
107.3
112.7
Defensive rating
113.4
47.6%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
8.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.3%
3-point %
29.9%
53.9%
Assist %
55.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 107.3Defence112.7 · 113.4Shooting47.6% · 51.3%3-point %27.3% · 29.9%Ball care0.0% · 8.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Ibar Rozaje   ■ Tivat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ibar Rozaje wins
6
Tivat wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Tivat v Ibar Rozaje83-84
15/03/25Ibar Rozaje v Tivat84-115
15/11/24Tivat v Ibar Rozaje100-75
06/03/24Tivat v Ibar Rozaje80-71
09/12/23Ibar Rozaje v Tivat58-77
29/11/22Tivat v Ibar Rozaje20-0
05/04/22Ibar Rozaje v Tivat68-61
12/12/21Tivat v Ibar Rozaje90-101
05/05/21Tivat v Ibar Rozaje109-95
25/03/21Ibar Rozaje v Tivat94-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AVukovi Zeta68-84
07/03/26HDanilovgrad68-74
14/02/26HUlcinj89-81
11/02/26APodgorica67-81
07/02/26ASutjeska74-108
31/01/26AKotor65-85
24/01/26HLovcen Cetinje58-75
17/01/26AMornar Bar72-91
11/01/26HJedinstvo85-93
04/01/26HDecic91-82
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HUlcinj118-95
07/03/26APodgorica73-82
14/02/26HSutjeska83-93
11/02/26AKotor101-89
07/02/26HLovcen Cetinje84-94
02/02/26AMornar Bar85-90
25/01/26HJedinstvo107-102
17/01/26ADecic89-93 OT
11/01/26HPrimorje95-103
03/01/26HStudentski Centar96-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ibar Rozaje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeWLLWL55%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game75.178.372.0
Allowed / game81.076.285.9
Point differential-5.9+2.1-13.9
Avg total156.2154.5157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Tivat
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeLWLLW55%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game89.494.884.0
Allowed / game94.492.896.0
Point differential-5.0+2.0-12.0
Avg total183.8187.6180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2319483%99.081.4+17.7
2 Primorje2317674%91.282.5+8.7
3 Mornar Bar2216673%86.681.5+5.2
4 Lovcen Cetinje2215768%79.576.3+3.2
5 Podgorica23131057%80.777.6+3.1
6 Jedinstvo23131057%86.785.7+1.0
7 Kotor23111248%78.981.0-2.1
8 Studentski Centar2291341%80.583.5-2.9
9 Tivat2281436%89.494.4-5.0
10 Ibar Rozaje2281436%75.181.0-5.9
11 Vukovi Zeta2381535%83.086.5-3.5
12 Decic2381535%86.290.7-4.4
13 Danilovgrad2381535%80.586.7-6.2
14 Ulcinj2251723%77.987.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ibar Rozaje24322428108
Tivat1235272599
← all games of the day
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