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Idaho vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 69-64
30-25 39-39
Position#271
Record5-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game75.5
Idaho 🏆
USA
vs
Position#238
Record5-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Idaho v Montana State
10 Jan 2026
IDAH92
MONT89
02 Jan 2025
IDAH69
MONT64
29 Feb 2024
IDAH48
MONT62
16 Jan 2023
IDAH74
MONT70
06 Jan 2022
IDAH72
MONT92
28 Feb 2021
IDAH61
MONT71
26 Feb 2021
IDAH74
MONT69
09 Jan 2020
IDAH68
MONT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Idaho winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IdahoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
L
71-95
71
95
-24
A16/11
NCAA
Evergreen State
#582
W
101-58
101
58
+43
H20/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A24/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H30/11
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A05/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A07/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
56-80
56
80
-24
H16/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A19/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
95-72
95
72
+23
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
33-54
46-30
55-28
25-42
42-40
25-26
36-42
39-27
41-41
43-31
39-46
30-36
32-42
31-39
25-41
25-32
41-42
47-31
48-41
149.3Avg total
74.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.275.5150.6-0.338%
Season at home (6)78.871.2150.0+7.750%
Season away (7)72.079.1151.1-7.129%
Last 10 (10)74.175.2149.3-1.140%
Last 5 (5)72.276.2148.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.379.2145.5-12.914%
vs Similar ◀ (10)65.169.9135.0-4.830%
vs Weaker (6)82.868.2151.0+14.767%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#320
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A17/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H27/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
H30/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A05/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H08/12
NCAA
USC
#215
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A16/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A19/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
48-82
48
82
-34
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-47
45-32
39-34
30-38
41-26
38-33
47-30
38-29
36-35
28-29
33-29
43-36
34-23
40-39
21-47
42-42
53-41
27-42
25-42
23-40
144.3Avg total
72.1Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.171.2144.2+1.938%
Season at home (5)80.057.4137.4+22.680%
Season away (8)68.879.8148.5-11.012%
Last 10 (10)72.172.2144.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)68.276.2144.4-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.977.9156.8+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.576.4149.8-2.938%
vs Weaker (9)73.964.1138.0+9.856%
This opponent (Idaho) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -0.6-0.6
IdahoMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IdahoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Evergreen State
#582
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H20/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#297
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A24/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H30/11
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#104
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A07/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H16/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A19/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A21/12
NCAA
68.4Avg total
34.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.768.9-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.035.269.2-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)34.534.268.7+0.344%-
Last 10 (10)34.933.568.4+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.869.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.636.470.1-2.829%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.533.164.6-1.650%-
vs Weaker (6)40.333.273.5+7.267%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#320
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H27/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H08/12
NCAA
USC
#215
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A16/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A19/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A22/12
NCAA
71.6Avg total
36.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.233.970.0+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.829.266.9+8.669%-
Last 30 away (17)34.937.572.4-2.553%-
Last 10 (10)36.235.471.6+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.469.6-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.034.266.2-2.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.635.772.3+0.969%-
vs Weaker (9)39.230.970.1+8.367%-
This opponent (Idaho) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Idaho wins
7
Montana State wins
DateGameScore
01/03/24Idaho v Montana State48-62
04/02/24Montana State v Idaho75-81
17/01/23Idaho v Montana State74-70
30/12/22Montana State v Idaho72-58
29/01/22Montana State v Idaho70-64
07/01/22Idaho v Montana State72-92
28/02/21Idaho v Montana State61-71
27/02/21Idaho v Montana State74-69
07/02/20Montana State v Idaho72-50
10/01/20Idaho v Montana State68-71
Idaholast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24APacific95-72
19/12/24AUC Davis66-74
16/12/24HUC San Diego56-80
07/12/24AOregon State62-78
05/12/24AUMKC82-77
30/11/24HUC Riverside80-68
24/11/24ASan Diego Toreros61-68
23/11/24HSouthern Utah67-82
20/11/24HEvergreen State101-58
16/11/24ABrigham Young71-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24ATCU48-82
19/12/24AUC Riverside80-83
16/12/24AUSC63-89
08/12/24HUMKC74-62
05/12/24ANebraska O.76-65
30/11/24HCS Northridge69-72 OT
27/11/24HAbilene Christian85-59
25/11/24HSouthern Miss79-59
20/11/24ANorthwestern69-72
17/11/24ADenver78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Idaho
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%50%29%
Points / game75.278.872.0
Allowed / game75.571.279.1
Point differential-0.3+7.7-7.1
Avg total150.6150.0151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%80%12%
Points / game73.180.068.8
Allowed / game71.257.479.8
Point differential+1.9+22.6-11.0
Avg total144.2137.4148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%80%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Arizona149564%81.871.4+10.4
2 Northern Colorado149564%83.575.0+8.5
3 Portland State138562%83.474.1+9.3
4 Montana137654%76.475.0+1.4
5 Idaho State126650%73.865.0+8.8
6 Weber State156940%76.370.7+5.6
7 Montana State135838%73.171.2+1.9
8 Idaho135838%75.275.5-0.3
9 Sacramento State134931%68.365.2+3.2
10 East. Washington134931%76.178.9-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Idaho303969
Montana State253964
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