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Idaho vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 48-62
27-41 21-21
Position#313
Record11-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#213
Record12-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Idaho v Montana State
10 Jan 2026
IDAH92
MONT89
02 Jan 2025
IDAH69
MONT64
29 Feb 2024
IDAH48
MONT62
16 Jan 2023
IDAH74
MONT70
06 Jan 2022
IDAH72
MONT92
28 Feb 2021
IDAH61
MONT71
26 Feb 2021
IDAH74
MONT69
09 Jan 2020
IDAH68
MONT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Idaho winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IdahoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H26/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
68-89
68
89
-21
H27/01
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A02/02
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
61-45
61
45
+16
A06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A23/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-38
24-37
39-43
29-46
40-37
30-36
31-30
50-45
37-20
24-25
39-40
40-47
30-28
39-42
32-30
23-23
32-37
30-39
42-40
44-36
141.0Avg total
69.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.471.1140.6-1.739%
Season at home (14)71.466.9138.3+4.643%
Season away (14)67.475.4142.9-8.036%
Last 10 (10)69.171.9141.0-2.840%
Last 5 (5)70.272.4142.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.679.5147.2-11.915%
vs Similar (11)63.367.7131.0-4.536%
vs Weaker (4)78.568.5147.0+10.075%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#279
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H23/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A26/01
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A28/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
43-45
40-29
30-33
45-42
46-52
32-25
38-35
30-31
45-50
36-35
34-38
41-36
30-40
30-40
39-48
36-37
36-30
25-29
38-37
146.5Avg total
72.8Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.674.1147.8-0.543%
Season at home (16)76.971.4148.3+5.456%
Season away (12)69.377.7147.0-8.325%
Last 10 (10)72.873.7146.5-0.940%
Last 5 (5)69.074.0143.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.280.2148.3-12.017%
vs Similar (15)72.674.8147.4-2.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.569.6151.1+11.962%
This opponent (Idaho) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -2.9-2.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -2.9-2.9
IdahoMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IdahoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H26/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H27/01
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/02
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A11/02
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A23/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A24/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
35.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.267.9+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.630.365.9+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)33.736.269.9-2.553%-
Last 10 (10)35.834.370.1+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.070.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.536.569.1-4.031%-
vs Similar (11)33.731.765.5+2.073%-
vs Weaker (4)41.033.274.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#279
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H23/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A26/01
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A28/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H02/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A10/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H25/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
34.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.168.7+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.532.367.8+3.259%-
Last 30 away (13)33.536.469.9-2.846%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.967.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.635.469.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.537.568.0-7.017%-
vs Similar (15)34.133.467.5+0.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.532.271.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Idaho) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Idaho wins
6
Montana State wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Montana State v Idaho75-81
17/01/23Idaho v Montana State74-70
30/12/22Montana State v Idaho72-58
29/01/22Montana State v Idaho70-64
07/01/22Idaho v Montana State72-92
28/02/21Idaho v Montana State61-71
27/02/21Idaho v Montana State74-69
07/02/20Montana State v Idaho72-50
10/01/20Idaho v Montana State68-71
Idaholast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24ANorthern Arizona86-76
23/02/24ANorthern Colorado62-76
17/02/24HIdaho State55-53
16/02/24HWeber State69-70
11/02/24AEast. Washington79-87
06/02/24ASacramento State61-45
04/02/24AMontana State81-75
02/02/24AMontana70-73
27/01/24HNorthern Colorado68-89
26/01/24HNorthern Arizona60-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HSacramento State63-66
23/02/24HPortland State72-67
18/02/24AMontana69-88
10/02/24ANorthern Arizona71-76
09/02/24ANorthern Colorado70-73
04/02/24HIdaho75-81
02/02/24HEast. Washington70-60
28/01/24APortland State91-94
26/01/24ASacramento State70-62
23/01/24HIdaho State77-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Idaho
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW39%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%43%36%
Points / game69.471.467.4
Allowed / game71.166.975.4
Point differential-1.7+4.6-8.0
Avg total140.6138.3142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Montana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %43%56%25%
Points / game73.676.969.3
Allowed / game74.171.477.7
Point differential-0.5+5.4-8.3
Avg total147.8148.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana2819968%77.171.4+5.7
2 Weber State28181064%74.966.2+8.7
3 East. Washington28181064%79.673.6+6.0
4 Northern Colorado28171161%80.377.5+2.8
5 Portland State29161355%72.071.8+0.2
6 Northern Arizona29131645%68.376.1-7.8
7 Idaho State28121643%69.968.7+1.2
8 Montana State28121643%73.674.1-0.5
9 Idaho28111739%69.471.1-1.7
10 Sacramento State2972224%65.770.2-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Idaho272148
Montana State412162
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