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Idaho vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 92-89
30-48 62-41
Position#136
Record9-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game72.5
Idaho 🏆
USA
vs
Position#144
Record9-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Idaho v Montana State
10 Jan 2026
IDAH92
MONT89
02 Jan 2025
IDAH69
MONT64
29 Feb 2024
IDAH48
MONT62
16 Jan 2023
IDAH74
MONT70
06 Jan 2022
IDAH72
MONT92
28 Feb 2021
IDAH61
MONT71
26 Feb 2021
IDAH74
MONT69
09 Jan 2020
IDAH68
MONT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Idaho winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IdahoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H27/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
68-94
68
94
-26
H29/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
90-58
90
58
+32
H04/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A11/12
NCAA
Evergreen State
#560
W
109-55
109
55
+54
H14/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A22/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A23/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-37
41-27
40-37
28-57
41-27
49-31
41-44
43-37
33-33
32-47
56-17
53-38
29-26
44-47
23-26
40-38
37-37
47-44
30-44
43-35
153.3Avg total
79.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.872.5153.3+8.360%
Season at home (8)86.668.5155.1+18.175%
Season away (7)74.177.0151.1-2.943%
Last 10 (10)79.773.6153.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)82.471.8154.2+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.377.8149.1-6.530%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.477.2151.6-2.850%
vs Weaker (9)83.171.7154.8+11.467%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#328
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A22/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A29/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A13/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Northwest
#541
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
43-35
34-36
35-33
40-37
42-37
42-22
26-50
27-29
30-38
40-41
43-39
46-20
47-34
39-33
50-42
43-35
34-33
19-23
49-41
148.6Avg total
77.6Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.769.2147.9+9.556%
Season at home (7)88.663.6152.1+25.086%
Season away (9)71.073.6144.6-2.633%
Last 10 (10)77.671.0148.6+6.670%
Last 5 (5)82.068.2150.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.774.2140.8-7.533%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.770.4144.1+3.350%
vs Weaker (13)78.466.4144.8+12.069%
This opponent (Idaho) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +1.7+1.7
IdahoMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IdahoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H27/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H04/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A11/12
NCAA
Evergreen State
#560
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H14/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A22/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A23/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H03/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H09/01
NCAA
69.5Avg total
36.7Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.570.2+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.935.172.0+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.634.168.7+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.869.5+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.030.065.0+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.235.869.0-2.630%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.037.073.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (9)38.031.069.0+7.056%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#328
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
42-22
42
22
+20
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A13/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Northwest
#541
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A09/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
36.5Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.232.468.6+3.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.731.472.1+9.379%-
Last 30 away (16)32.233.265.4-1.125%-
Last 10 (10)36.531.367.8+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.467.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.334.064.3-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.435.071.4+1.450%-
vs Weaker (13)37.930.668.5+7.354%-
This opponent (Idaho) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Idaho wins
6
Montana State wins
DateGameScore
04/03/25Montana State v Idaho75-60
03/01/25Idaho v Montana State69-64
01/03/24Idaho v Montana State48-62
04/02/24Montana State v Idaho75-81
17/01/23Idaho v Montana State74-70
30/12/22Montana State v Idaho72-58
29/01/22Montana State v Idaho70-64
07/01/22Idaho v Montana State72-92
28/02/21Idaho v Montana State61-71
27/02/21Idaho v Montana State74-69
Idaholast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HMontana73-79
03/01/26HEast. Washington84-81
23/12/25ACSU Bakersfield63-64
22/12/25ACal Poly83-80 OT
14/12/25HEvergreen State109-55
11/12/25ANotre Dame65-80
06/12/25ASouth Dakota St.84-81
04/12/25HNorth Dakota90-58
29/11/25HSam Houston St.68-94
27/11/25HCS Northridge78-64
Montana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26AEast. Washington68-64
04/01/26HNorthern Arizona77-68
02/01/26HNorthern Colorado89-75
22/12/25HNorthwest93-54
17/12/25ACal Poly83-80
13/12/25AOregon State57-67
07/12/25AOral Roberts68-72
04/12/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)82-74
29/11/25AUtah State81-84 OT
22/11/25ALong Beach State78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Idaho
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game80.886.674.1
Allowed / game72.568.577.0
Point differential+8.3+18.1-2.9
Avg total153.3155.1151.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%86%33%
Points / game78.788.671.0
Allowed / game69.263.673.6
Point differential+9.5+25.0-2.6
Avg total147.9152.1144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado1611569%85.577.4+8.1
2 Portland State138562%82.373.2+9.1
3 Idaho159660%80.872.5+8.3
4 Montana State169756%78.769.2+9.5
5 Montana169756%81.174.3+6.8
6 Weber State168850%84.375.2+9.1
7 Idaho State168850%77.473.4+4.1
8 Northern Arizona1661038%73.474.3-0.9
9 Sacramento State1441029%77.581.9-4.4
10 East. Washington1521313%77.085.1-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Idaho306292
Montana State484189
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