Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 109-78

26-20 30-24 27-20 26-14

Position#3

Record4-6

FormWLWWL

Points / game85.1

Allowed / game86.2

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

New Zealand Breakers

Position#5

Record6-4

FormWWLWW

Points / game87.8

Allowed / game83.8

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

122-88

122

+34

H07/10

NBL

Sydney

84-88

-4

H13/10

NBL

Melbourne United

83-95

-12

A16/10

NBL

Perth

73-80

-7

A21/10

NBL

Sydney

73-90

-17

A24/10

NBL

Perth

81-76

H28/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

83-98

-15

H30/10

NBL

Melbourne United

82-73

H06/11

NBL

Adelaide

85-74

+11

A12/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

85-100

100

-15

A18/11

NBL

31-22

24-34

34-10

33-22

23-22

27-26

12-23

22-17

25-20

20-26

18-29

20-20

20-17

13-22

21-24

19-17

23-25

22-28

6-25

22-12

24-24

23-21

20-17

14-14

23-27

18-25

24-21

18-25

21-20

20-10

12-20

29-23

24-28

17-18

20-17

24-11

16-33

22-24

31-23

16-20

171.3Avg total

85.1Scored

86.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	85.1	86.2	171.3	-1.1	40%
Season at home (5)	90.4	84.6	175.0	+5.8	60%
Season away (5)	79.8	87.8	167.6	-8.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	86.2	171.3	-1.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	84.2	167.4	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	86.8	86.2	173.1	+0.6	45%
vs Weaker (10)	102.4	89.5	191.9	+12.9	80%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

76-71

H07/10

NBL

Perth

73-75

-2

A14/10

NBL

Sydney

78-92

-14

H20/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

82-88

-6

A22/10

NBL

Adelaide

119-93

119

+26

H29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

98-92 OT

A04/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

86-70

+16

H06/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

79-86

-7

H11/11

NBL

Perth

87-86 OT

A13/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

100-85

100

+15

H18/11

NBL

17-16

23-15

8-21

28-19

25-22

11-25

23-8

14-20

18-23

24-27

20-22

16-20

17-26

20-24

26-14

19-24

35-19

27-24

30-25

27-25

27-17

14-23

21-30

21-13

22-23

27-17

16-21

21-9

22-17

18-22

22-20

17-27

19-21

27-20

17-19

16-19

33-16

24-22

23-31

20-16

171.6Avg total

87.8Scored

83.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	87.8	83.8	171.6	+4.0	60%
Season at home (6)	89.7	82.8	172.5	+6.8	67%
Season away (4)	85.0	85.2	170.2	-0.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	83.8	171.6	+4.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	83.8	173.8	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.0	80.5	160.5	-0.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	85.2	83.0	168.3	+2.2	55%
vs Weaker (8)	82.0	80.2	162.2	+1.8	62%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	22.4	47.3	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.9	22.4	48.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.8	22.5	46.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	23.8	46.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	26.4	48.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	23.1	23.1	46.2	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	28.4	21.1	49.5	+7.3	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	21.2	43.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.7	40.5	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.0	43.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.8	43.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	22.6	20.3	42.9	+2.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	23.2	45.9	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	21.8	45.8	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	24.5	46.0	-3.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	22.1	22.8	44.9	-0.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.9	24.0	47.9	-0.1	30%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	21.3	44.0	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.7	39.2	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.8	22.1	42.9	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.2	38%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

55-56

-1

H07/10

NBL

Sydney

50-48

H13/10

NBL

Melbourne United

45-46

-1

A16/10

NBL

Perth

33-39

-6

A21/10

NBL

Sydney

45-53

-8

A24/10

NBL

Perth

47-45

H28/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

41-52

-11

H30/10

NBL

Melbourne United

41-30

+11

H06/11

NBL

Adelaide

41-46

-5

A12/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-57

-19

A18/11

NBL

90.8Avg total

43.6Scored

47.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.6	45.6	93.2	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.9	44.2	94.1	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.3	47.0	92.3	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	47.2	90.8	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	46.0	87.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	45.2	45.9	91.1	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	52.3	45.1	97.4	+7.2	80%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

40-31

H07/10

NBL

Perth

36-47

-11

A14/10

NBL

Sydney

42-50

-8

H20/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

37-50

-13

A22/10

NBL

Adelaide

62-43

+19

H29/10

NBL

Melbourne United

41-40

A04/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

49-40

H06/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

40-39

H11/11

NBL

Perth

46-41

A13/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

57-38

+19

H18/11

NBL

86.9Avg total

45.0Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	41.9	83.8	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	42.5	87.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	41.3	79.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	41.9	86.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	39.6	86.2	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	43.4	42.4	85.8	+1.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.4	40.4	78.8	-2.0	38%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.3	41.8	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.1	21.2	41.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.1	20.1	43.2	+3.0	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.2	44.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	13.5	33.5	+6.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	18.1	37.8	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.7	43.1	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.1	39.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.3	41.1	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	19.5	34.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.4	19.2	39.5	+1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.0	21.8	45.8	+2.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	40.2	82.6	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.0	39.9	84.9	+5.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	40.4	80.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	39.0	80.5	+2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	38.2	79.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.5	39.6	80.1	+0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	46.5	41.3	87.8	+5.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	38.9	79.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	38.3	79.7	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	39.5	79.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	40.3	80.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	33.0	68.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.3	39.1	79.4	+1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.6	39.9	83.5	+3.8	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
18/11/16	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	100-85
17/01/16	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	96-103 OT
14/01/16	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	87-69
20/12/15	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	83-107
14/10/15	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	96-75
11/01/15	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	84-86
08/01/15	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	98-91 OT
14/11/14	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	71-55
26/10/14	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	77-79
21/02/14	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	88-68

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	85-100
12/11/16	A	Adelaide	85-74
06/11/16	H	Melbourne United	82-73
30/10/16	H	Cairns Taipans	83-98
28/10/16	H	Perth	81-76
24/10/16	A	Sydney	73-90
21/10/16	A	Perth	73-80
16/10/16	A	Melbourne United	83-95
13/10/16	H	Sydney	84-88
07/10/16	H	Adelaide	122-88

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	100-85
13/11/16	A	Perth	87-86 OT
11/11/16	H	Cairns Taipans	79-86
06/11/16	H	Brisbane Bullets	86-70
04/11/16	A	Melbourne United	98-92 OT
29/10/16	H	Adelaide	119-93
22/10/16	A	Brisbane Bullets	82-88
20/10/16	H	Sydney	78-92
14/10/16	A	Perth	73-75
07/10/16	H	Melbourne United	76-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	40%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	40%	60%	20%
Points / game	85.1	90.4	79.8
Allowed / game	86.2	84.6	87.8
Point differential	-1.1	+5.8	-8.0
Avg total	171.3	175.0	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	20%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	60%
Home	LWWLW	67%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	87.8	89.7	85.0
Allowed / game	83.8	82.8	85.2
Point differential	+4.0	+6.8	-0.2
Avg total	171.6	172.5	170.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	20%	0%	50%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	12	8	4	67%	81.8	77.6	+4.2
2	New Zealand Breakers	10	6	4	60%	87.8	83.8	+4.0
3	Brisbane Bullets	10	6	4	60%	82.3	80.3	+2.0
4	Perth	10	6	4	60%	80.9	79.5	+1.4
5	Illawarra Hawks	10	4	6	40%	85.1	86.2	-1.1
6	Cairns Taipans	10	4	6	40%	78.2	80.1	-1.9
7	Melbourne United	11	4	7	36%	80.5	82.2	-1.6
8	Adelaide	9	3	6	33%	88.7	97.1	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	26	30	27	26	109
New Zealand Breakers	20	24	20	14	78

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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