Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 74-91

19-22 24-27 23-19 8-23

Position#4

Record8-9

FormLLLLL

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game72.2

Illawarra Hawks

New Zealand Breakers 🏆

Position#2

Record16-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.1

Allowed / game71.1

NBLRound 16

Other2012-13

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

74-66

A25/11

NBL

Cairns

66-76

-10

A02/12

NBL

Perth

68-80

-12

A07/12

NBL

Perth

78-75

H14/12

NBL

Sydney

63-70 OT

-7

A15/12

NBL

Melbourne United

72-80 OT

-8

H31/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

76-78

-2

H05/01

NBL

Cairns

81-94 OT

-13

H11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

71-72

-1

A17/01

NBL

Townsville

74-82

-8

A19/01

NBL

21-20

18-16

12-17

23-13

22-19

13-23

12-23

19-11

7-19

21-20

27-16

13-25

18-22

10-20

23-9

27-24

13-21

9-12

17-14

17-9

14-21

26-17

15-14

11-14

20-16

22-27

14-19

20-16

16-26

26-14

22-13

15-26

14-14

23-16

16-23

18-19

22-26

16-23

18-18

18-15

149.6Avg total

72.3Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	73.8	72.2	146.0	+1.6	47%
Season at home (8)	80.4	74.4	154.8	+6.0	62%
Season away (9)	68.0	70.2	138.2	-2.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	72.3	77.3	149.6	-5.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	81.2	156.0	-6.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	74.4	77.5	151.9	-3.2	27%
vs Similar (14)	76.8	72.4	149.2	+4.4	64%
vs Weaker (5)	70.2	71.8	142.0	-1.6	40%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

94-64

+30

H30/11

NBL

Sydney

62-75

-13

A08/12

NBL

Cairns

97-76

+21

H13/12

NBL

Adelaide

71-66

A28/12

NBL

Cairns

66-61

A31/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

78-76

A05/01

NBL

Townsville

82-78

A11/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

72-71

H17/01

NBL

Adelaide

84-66

+18

A20/01

NBL

Sydney

95-76

+19

H24/01

NBL

29-16

25-21

19-10

21-17

11-24

20-15

17-14

14-22

18-18

33-19

21-15

25-24

14-28

14-21

19-12

24-5

16-8

19-16

19-20

12-17

16-20

27-22

19-14

16-20

16-23

14-22

29-20

23-13

14-14

16-23

23-16

19-18

18-18

20-20

24-10

22-18

29-20

19-26

18-10

151.0Avg total

80.1Scored

70.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	78.1	71.1	149.2	+7.1	84%
Season at home (9)	83.1	72.1	155.2	+11.0	89%
Season away (10)	73.6	70.1	143.7	+3.5	80%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	70.9	151.0	+9.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	73.4	155.6	+8.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	85.8	90.8	176.5	-5.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	81.3	71.6	152.9	+9.7	91%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	18.8	36.5	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	20.4	37.1	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.3	64%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.4	18.6	37.9	+0.8	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	19.9	42.1	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	24.4	24.9	49.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.8	36.7	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.1	17.8	33.9	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	17.1	35.6	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	14.8	17.6	32.4	-2.8	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	19.9	42.9	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	19.6	22.5	42.1	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	64%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

39-36

A25/11

NBL

Cairns

35-42

-7

A02/12

NBL

Perth

28-39

-11

A07/12

NBL

Perth

28-42

-14

H14/12

NBL

Sydney

22-33

-11

A15/12

NBL

Melbourne United

40-38

H31/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

42-43

-1

H05/01

NBL

Cairns

42-40

H11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

37-30

A17/01

NBL

Townsville

38-49

-11

A19/01

NBL

74.3Avg total

35.1Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	37.5	75.0	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.2	38.7	80.9	+3.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.9	36.5	70.4	-2.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	39.2	74.3	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	40.0	79.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.2	39.8	78.0	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.9	35.6	73.6	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	34.8	37.4	72.2	-2.6	20%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne United

54-37

+17

H30/11

NBL

Sydney

31-39

-8

A08/12

NBL

Cairns

51-37

+14

H13/12

NBL

Adelaide

28-49

-21

A28/12

NBL

Cairns

35-24

+11

A31/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-42

A05/01

NBL

Townsville

30-45

-15

A11/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

30-37

-7

H17/01

NBL

Adelaide

38-38

A20/01

NBL

Sydney

58-40

+18

H24/01

NBL

78.6Avg total

39.8Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	40.5	82.9	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.2	39.8	85.0	+5.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	41.2	81.0	-1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	38.8	78.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	40.4	80.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	44.0	47.4	91.4	-3.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	41.7	38.0	79.8	+3.7	68%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	16.6	34.0	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	16.2	35.7	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.9	16.9	32.8	-1.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	16.6	34.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.9	17.4	35.3	+0.5	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.3	16.4	33.7	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.0	15.2	32.2	+1.8	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	15.7	36.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.2	40.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.5	16.2	35.8	+3.3	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.7	38.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	19.2	39.2	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.2	35.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.3	20.4	38.6	-2.1	45%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.0	16.4	33.4	+0.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.0	37.2	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	16.4	35.8	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.8	35.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.0	17.3	37.3	+2.7	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	35.3	72.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.6	35.3	74.9	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.6	35.3	69.9	-0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	33.8	69.5	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	35.4	68.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.2	37.7	73.9	-1.5	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.3	34.7	73.0	+3.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	34.0	31.6	65.6	+2.4	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	35.4	74.4	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	37.2	77.6	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	33.8	71.6	+4.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	32.1	72.4	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	33.0	75.4	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	37.8	40.4	78.1	-2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	39.5	33.5	73.1	+6.0	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
17/01/13	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	72-71
05/01/13	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	76-78
16/02/12	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	82-74
11/02/12	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	80-64
11/11/11	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	63-81
09/10/11	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	82-98
27/02/11	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	104-81
03/02/11	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	80-76
17/12/10	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	85-89
19/11/10	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	57-73

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/13	A	Townsville	74-82
17/01/13	A	New Zealand Breakers	71-72
11/01/13	H	Cairns	81-94 OT
05/01/13	H	New Zealand Breakers	76-78
31/12/12	H	Melbourne United	72-80 OT
15/12/12	A	Sydney	63-70 OT
14/12/12	H	Perth	78-75
07/12/12	A	Perth	68-80
02/12/12	A	Cairns	66-76
25/11/12	A	Melbourne United	74-66

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/01/13	H	Sydney	95-76
20/01/13	A	Adelaide	84-66
17/01/13	H	Illawarra Hawks	72-71
11/01/13	A	Townsville	82-78
05/01/13	A	Illawarra Hawks	78-76
31/12/12	A	Cairns	66-61
28/12/12	A	Adelaide	71-66
13/12/12	H	Cairns	97-76
08/12/12	A	Sydney	62-75
30/11/12	H	Melbourne United	94-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2012-13

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	47%
Home	WWLLL	62%
Away	LLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	47%	62%	33%
Points / game	73.8	80.4	68.0
Allowed / game	72.2	74.4	70.2
Point differential	+1.6	+6.0	-2.2
Avg total	146.0	154.8	138.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	38%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	18%	25%	11%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2012-13

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	84%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	84%	89%	80%
Points / game	78.1	83.1	73.6
Allowed / game	71.1	72.1	70.1
Point differential	+7.1	+11.0	+3.5
Avg total	149.2	155.2	143.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	56%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (7)	100% (3)	100% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	South All Stars	1	1	0	100%	134.0	114.0	+20.0
2	New Zealand Breakers	19	16	3	84%	78.1	71.1	+7.1
3	Perth	17	13	4	76%	77.9	68.4	+9.5
4	Sydney	20	10	10	50%	74.5	77.8	-3.3
5	Illawarra Hawks	17	8	9	47%	73.8	72.2	+1.6
6	Melbourne United	16	6	10	38%	73.9	76.7	-2.8
7	Cairns	17	6	11	35%	74.1	76.9	-2.8
8	Adelaide	18	6	12	33%	74.9	77.7	-2.8
9	Townsville	18	6	12	33%	73.2	79.6	-6.4
10	North All Stars	1	0	1	0%	114.0	134.0	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	19	24	23	8	74
New Zealand Breakers	22	27	19	23	91

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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