Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 87-69

21-20 26-9 25-19 15-21

Position#3

Record12-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game94.9

Allowed / game87.7

Illawarra Hawks 🏆

New Zealand Breakers

Position#4

Record11-8

FormWLWLL

Points / game84.3

Allowed / game81.6

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

New Zealand Breakers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

96-90

H25/11

NBL

Townsville

108-70

108

+38

H28/11

NBL

Melbourne United

102-87

102

+15

H03/12

NBL

Cairns

97-82

+15

H09/12

NBL

Cairns

101-103 OT

101

103

-2

A11/12

NBL

Sydney

102-83

102

+19

H18/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

107-83

107

+24

A20/12

NBL

Townsville

98-74

+24

A31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

96-97

-1

A07/01

NBL

Sydney

114-90

114

+24

A09/01

NBL

24-22

26-25

20-22

26-21

34-14

27-16

20-20

27-20

30-28

29-18

23-22

20-19

27-18

23-25

24-19

23-20

20-23

20-30

13-17

27-10

29-31

29-20

25-17

19-15

34-21

25-26

29-22

19-14

32-14

19-19

23-19

24-22

23-19

23-24

23-36

27-18

34-20

23-25

32-21

25-24

188.0Avg total

102.1Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	94.9	87.7	182.6	+7.2	60%
Season at home (9)	99.1	86.7	185.8	+12.4	78%
Season away (11)	91.5	88.5	179.9	+3.0	45%
Last 10 (10)	102.1	85.9	188.0	+16.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	103.4	85.4	188.8	+18.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	79.9	83.7	163.6	-3.8	30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	92.4	91.4	183.8	+1.0	38%
vs Weaker (12)	96.6	85.2	181.8	+11.4	75%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

86-74

+12

A19/11

NBL

Melbourne United

80-69

+11

H22/11

NBL

Perth

80-86

-6

A27/11

NBL

Perth

99-78

+21

H02/12

NBL

Townsville

86-75

+11

A05/12

NBL

Sydney

96-84

+12

H11/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

83-107

107

-24

H20/12

NBL

Sydney

93-83

+10

A27/12

NBL

Cairns

66-73

-7

A31/12

NBL

Adelaide

81-87

-6

H08/01

NBL

19-17

18-23

20-14

29-20

23-22

9-13

19-17

29-17

18-16

15-28

21-23

26-19

25-31

29-17

15-16

30-14

28-15

13-19

18-25

27-16

14-21

23-24

26-14

33-25

21-34

26-25

22-29

14-19

16-17

22-21

32-18

23-27

17-18

9-11

18-21

22-23

23-25

18-28

20-12

20-22

166.6Avg total

85.0Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	84.3	81.6	165.8	+2.7	58%
Season at home (10)	87.8	80.3	168.1	+7.5	80%
Season away (9)	80.3	83.0	163.3	-2.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	81.6	166.6	+3.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	86.8	170.6	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	83.4	84.1	167.4	-0.7	47%
vs Weaker (13)	87.8	79.5	167.3	+8.4	77%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Illawarra HawksNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	22.3	46.1	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.7	23.5	49.2	+2.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.4	21.4	43.7	+1.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.7	21.0	49.7	+7.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	21.0	51.4	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	25.9	23.8	49.6	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	26.6	22.4	49.0	+4.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.0	41.2	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.1	21.8	43.9	+0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.1	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.9	43.7	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.8	21.5	46.4	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	20.4	41.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	22.8	47.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	26.0	22.4	48.4	+3.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.6	22.6	46.2	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.2	40.4	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.4	21.9	41.2	-2.5	41%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.5	23%	-

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

50-47

H25/11

NBL

Townsville

61-30

+31

H28/11

NBL

Melbourne United

59-46

+13

H03/12

NBL

Cairns

50-43

H09/12

NBL

Cairns

40-53

-13

A11/12

NBL

Sydney

58-51

H18/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

59-47

+12

A20/12

NBL

Townsville

51-33

+18

A31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

46-43

A07/01

NBL

Sydney

57-45

+12

A09/01

NBL

96.9Avg total

53.1Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	43.2	89.8	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	50.5	45.1	95.6	+5.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.7	41.7	85.4	+2.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.1	43.8	96.9	+9.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.2	43.8	98.0	+10.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.3	38.6	76.9	-0.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	51.9	46.1	98.0	+5.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (12)	50.2	45.0	95.2	+5.2	58%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

37-40

-3

A19/11

NBL

Melbourne United

32-35

-3

H22/11

NBL

Perth

33-44

-11

A27/11

NBL

Perth

54-48

H02/12

NBL

Townsville

41-34

A05/12

NBL

Sydney

37-45

-8

H11/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-59

-12

H20/12

NBL

Sydney

38-38

A27/12

NBL

Cairns

26-29

-3

A31/12

NBL

Adelaide

41-53

-12

H08/01

NBL

81.1Avg total

38.6Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	42.1	83.6	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.2	43.4	87.6	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.0	40.5	78.5	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	42.5	81.1	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	44.8	82.6	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	41.4	43.7	85.1	-2.3	41%	-
vs Weaker (13)	41.6	40.1	81.7	+1.5	54%	-

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.1	19.2	43.3	+4.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	21.5	44.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	23.0	49.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.4	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.9	38.4	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	18.2	37.9	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.1	20.5	38.5	-2.4	24%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.2	16.9	38.2	+4.3	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	23.5	44.2	-2.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	18.3	42.0	+5.4	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	22.7	42.1	-3.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	20.4	44.0	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.2	20.4	44.6	+3.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	20.2	45.5	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.9	76%	-
vs Weaker (13)	25.0	22.5	47.5	+2.5	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.9	84.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.8	42.8	87.5	+2.0	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.3	41.2	81.5	-0.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	39.8	86.7	+7.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	41.6	90.8	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.7	43.5	84.2	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.5	45.2	85.8	-4.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.7	38.2	82.9	+6.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.3	82.4	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.8	38.6	82.5	+5.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.2	40.2	82.3	+2.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	39.1	85.5	+7.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	42.0	88.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.7	39.2	79.9	+1.5	41%	-
vs Weaker (13)	46.2	39.4	85.6	+6.8	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illawarra Hawks wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/15	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	83-107
14/10/15	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	96-75
11/01/15	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	84-86
08/01/15	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	98-91 OT
14/11/14	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	71-55
26/10/14	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	77-79
21/02/14	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	88-68
23/01/14	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	106-101
03/11/13	Illawarra Hawks v New Zealand Breakers	89-97
10/10/13	New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks	92-73

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/16	A	Sydney	114-90
07/01/16	A	Melbourne United	96-97
31/12/15	A	Townsville	98-74
20/12/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	107-83
18/12/15	H	Sydney	102-83
11/12/15	A	Cairns	101-103 OT
09/12/15	H	Cairns	97-82
03/12/15	H	Melbourne United	102-87
28/11/15	H	Townsville	108-70
25/11/15	H	Sydney	96-90

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/16	H	Adelaide	81-87
31/12/15	A	Cairns	66-73
27/12/15	A	Sydney	93-83
20/12/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	83-107
11/12/15	H	Sydney	96-84
05/12/15	A	Townsville	86-75
02/12/15	H	Perth	99-78
27/11/15	A	Perth	80-86
22/11/15	H	Melbourne United	80-69
19/11/15	A	Sydney	86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	60%
Home	WWWWW	78%
Away	LWWLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	60%	78%	45%
Points / game	94.9	99.1	91.5
Allowed / game	87.7	86.7	88.5
Point differential	+7.2	+12.4	+3.0
Avg total	182.6	185.8	179.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	56%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	58%
Home	WWWLL	80%
Away	WLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	58%	80%	33%
Points / game	84.3	87.8	80.3
Allowed / game	81.6	80.3	83.0
Point differential	+2.7	+7.5	-2.7
Avg total	165.8	168.1	163.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	60%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	22	15	7	68%	86.2	84.1	+2.1
2	Perth	21	13	8	62%	83.5	80.3	+3.2
3	Illawarra Hawks	20	12	8	60%	94.9	87.7	+7.2
4	New Zealand Breakers	19	11	8	58%	84.3	81.6	+2.7
5	Adelaide	19	10	9	53%	86.7	85.6	+1.2
6	Cairns	21	9	12	43%	80.4	83.3	-3.0
7	Townsville	21	7	14	33%	76.2	83.6	-7.4
8	Sydney	21	5	16	24%	85.1	90.6	-5.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illawarra Hawks	21	26	25	15	87
New Zealand Breakers	20	9	19	21	69

← all games of the day

Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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