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Illinois (Chi.) vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 66-67
32-36 34-31
Position#303
Record7-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game62.5
vs
Position#343
Record3-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#90
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H11/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A15/11
NCAA
Aurora
#645
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
70-40
70
40
+30
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A26/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H01/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A09/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H13/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-25
48-46
36-37
36-30
45-24
54-24
34-21
36-19
46-37
43-42
29-24
28-34
36-30
28-39
25-19
30-30
37-31
31-39
47-33
42-35
136.8Avg total
74.9Scored
61.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.462.5135.9+10.864%
Season at home (6)79.361.0140.3+18.367%
Season away (5)66.264.4130.6+1.860%
Last 10 (10)74.961.9136.8+13.070%
Last 5 (5)66.662.8129.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.872.8137.5-8.018%
vs Similar (10)70.167.5137.6+2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)76.068.5144.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#112
L
56-88
56
88
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#510
W
104-63
104
63
+41
H14/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
100-81
100
81
+19
A19/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H23/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A25/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H09/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
17-48
39-40
31-34
40-51
56-24
48-39
50-41
50-40
38-24
29-42
33-33
47-57
29-38
36-29
40-40
42-56
36-36
39-40
34-37
23-43
154.9Avg total
75.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.779.2154.9-3.530%
Season at home (3)82.068.3150.3+13.767%
Season away (7)73.083.9156.9-10.914%
Last 10 (10)75.779.2154.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)71.881.8153.6-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.379.2149.5-8.921%
vs Similar (14)74.176.7150.9-2.636%
vs Weaker (2)90.564.0154.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -4.4-4.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -4.4-4.4
Illinois (Chi.)Incarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#90
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#41
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A15/11
NCAA
Aurora
#645
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H19/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#238
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A26/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H01/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
25-19
25
19
+6
A09/12
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H16/12
NCAA
65.4Avg total
37.3Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.765.3-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.930.365.2+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)30.335.165.4-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.328.165.4+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)34.827.462.2+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.834.264.1-4.435%-
vs Similar (10)35.731.367.0+4.470%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)34.531.065.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#112
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A07/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#510
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H14/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A19/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H23/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A25/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H09/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
36.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.970.2-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.133.268.2+1.946%-
Last 30 away (17)33.738.071.7-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)36.435.571.9+0.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.871.2-2.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.137.069.1-4.929%-
vs Similar (14)35.335.871.1-0.543%-
vs Weaker (2)42.529.071.5+13.550%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HWestern Michigan89-68
13/12/23HWisc. Green Bay68-70
09/12/23AJacksonville State55-49
01/12/23HIllinois State64-69
27/11/23ANC Greensboro57-58
26/11/23AGeorge Washington89-79
24/11/23HMiddle Tenn. St.70-40
19/11/23HAurora99-48
15/11/23ALoyola Chicago72-67
11/11/23HUALR86-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23ARice57-80
09/12/23HNorthern Arizona75-76
02/12/23ABethune-Cookman82-96
26/11/23AJacksonville State65-67
25/11/23AUTSA Roadrunners80-90
23/11/23HJacksonville State67-66
19/11/23AArkansas-Pine Bluff100-81
14/11/23HSchreiner Mountaineers104-63
11/11/23ATulsa71-85
07/11/23ATexas56-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW64%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game73.479.366.2
Allowed / game62.561.064.4
Point differential+10.8+18.3+1.8
Avg total135.9140.3130.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %30%67%14%
Points / game75.782.073.0
Allowed / game79.268.383.9
Point differential-3.5+13.7-10.9
Avg total154.9150.3156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1211192%88.270.8+17.3
2 Drake1211192%78.865.9+12.8
3 Evansville1210283%82.570.5+12.0
4 Belmont139469%81.179.2+1.9
5 Illinois (Chi.)117464%73.462.5+10.8
6 Southern Illinois117464%76.265.9+10.3
7 Illinois State117464%67.065.5+1.5
8 Bradley116555%71.871.1+0.7
9 Northern Iowa125742%77.974.7+3.2
10 Valparaiso124833%66.870.2-3.4
11 Murray State113827%71.872.1-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1210283%80.257.8+22.5
2 Texas A&M-CC116555%78.367.3+11.0
3 Stephen F. Austin116555%74.570.5+4.0
4 TX A&M Commerce126650%76.973.5+3.4
5 Lamar115645%83.278.5+4.7
6 New Orleans115645%80.076.2+3.8
7 Nicholls State114736%73.677.6-4.0
8 SE Louisiana124833%66.372.8-6.5
9 Incarnate Word103730%75.779.2-3.5
10 UTRGV123925%73.479.6-6.2
11 Houston Christian102820%71.483.6-12.2
12 Northwestern St.1221017%70.380.7-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)323466
Incarnate Word363167
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