PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UTSA Roadrunners vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 90-80
33-33 57-47
Position#314
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#343
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UTSA Roadrunners v Incarnate Word
25 Nov 2023
UTSA90
INCA80
28 Nov 2022
UTSA68
INCA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTSA Roadrunners winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
66-106
66
106
-40
A24/02
NCAA
Florida International
#255
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
78-68 OT
78
68
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
76-102
76
102
-26
A11/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A18/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-45
34-61
42-56
53-35
38-37
40-36
33-42
38-30
28-28
37-37
30-54
46-48
40-42
42-48
25-27
37-45
47-46
42-41
26-31
36-46
159.7Avg total
75.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.882.7157.5-7.833%
Season at home (2)70.072.5142.5-2.550%
Season away (4)77.287.8165.0-10.525%
Last 10 (10)75.983.8159.7-7.940%
Last 5 (5)74.285.6159.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)69.981.1151.0-11.319%
vs Similar ◀ (2)76.070.5146.5+5.550%
vs Weaker (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#318
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H24/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
56-88
56
88
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#510
W
104-63
104
63
+41
H14/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
100-81
100
81
+19
A19/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
33-35
33-39
41-45
29-26
37-45
40-27
39-48
32-43
32-38
17-48
39-40
31-34
40-51
56-24
48-39
50-41
50-40
38-24
29-42
152.9Avg total
75.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.676.6156.2+3.060%
Season at home (2)85.564.5150.0+21.0100%
Season away (3)75.784.7160.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)75.777.2152.9-1.540%
Last 5 (5)79.676.6156.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)65.978.5144.4-12.527%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.175.3150.4-0.245%
vs Weaker (4)88.865.0153.8+23.875%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -3.5-3.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -3.5-3.5
UTSA RoadrunnersIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A24/02
NCAA
Florida International
#255
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H03/03
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A09/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A11/11
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A18/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A21/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H24/11
NCAA
74.9Avg total
34.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.538.270.8-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.834.766.5-2.938%-
Last 30 away (17)33.140.974.1-7.818%-
Last 10 (10)34.140.874.9-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.640.073.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)31.738.470.0-6.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.032.569.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (1)47.046.093.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#318
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H24/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A07/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#510
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H14/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A19/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H23/11
NCAA
70.2Avg total
36.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.169.2-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.533.270.6+4.354%-
Last 30 away (17)31.536.668.2-5.135%-
Last 10 (10)36.234.070.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.272.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)30.335.565.8-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.535.971.5-0.455%-
vs Weaker (4)44.531.576.0+13.050%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UTSA Roadrunners wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
DateGameScore
29/11/22UTSA Roadrunners v Incarnate Word68-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23HJacksonville State62-77
21/11/23AHouston Christian89-87
18/11/23ATexas State62-72
15/11/23ALamar82-90
11/11/23AMinnesota76-102
07/11/23HWestern Illinois78-68 OT
09/03/23ARice71-72
03/03/23HCharlotte78-73
26/02/23AFlorida International95-91
24/02/23AFlorida Atlantic66-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HJacksonville State67-66
19/11/23AArkansas-Pine Bluff100-81
14/11/23HSchreiner Mountaineers104-63
11/11/23ATulsa71-85
07/11/23ATexas56-88
02/03/23ANorthwestern St.64-81
25/02/23HTX A&M Commerce79-75
24/02/23HNorthwestern St.66-71
18/02/23ANicholls State74-84
17/02/23AMcNeese State76-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game74.870.077.2
Allowed / game82.772.587.8
Point differential-7.8-2.5-10.5
Avg total157.5142.5165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%50%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game79.685.575.7
Allowed / game76.664.584.7
Point differential+3.0+21.0-9.0
Avg total156.2150.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State65183%80.369.0+11.3
2 Memphis65183%79.072.0+7.0
3 Tulsa54180%79.866.0+13.8
4 Tulane54180%86.474.0+12.4
5 Florida Atlantic54180%82.871.0+11.8
6 North Texas53260%67.459.8+7.6
7 Charlotte53260%63.058.2+4.8
8 Temple53260%75.070.4+4.6
9 UAB53260%70.269.4+0.8
10 East Carolina74357%78.774.0+4.7
11 South Florida42250%73.063.8+9.2
12 UTSA Roadrunners62433%74.882.7-7.8
13 Rice61517%75.583.7-8.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State75271%79.758.6+21.1
2 Stephen F. Austin64267%80.271.3+8.8
3 Incarnate Word53260%79.676.6+3.0
4 Lamar63350%83.775.2+8.5
5 Nicholls State73443%76.376.4-0.1
6 TX A&M Commerce73443%69.174.4-5.3
7 New Orleans52340%82.675.8+6.8
8 Texas A&M-CC62433%78.369.5+8.8
9 UTRGV62433%76.581.0-4.5
10 Northwestern St.61517%76.079.0-3.0
11 SE Louisiana61517%69.381.0-11.7
12 Houston Christian4040%72.293.5-21.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTSA Roadrunners335790
Incarnate Word334780
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.