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Illinois State vs Coastal Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 94-42
55-20 39-22
Position#96
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#127
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game63.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Coastal Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
35-36
35-43
44-45
34-23
28-30
38-23
32-31
18-41
45-35
31-31
37-41
34-32
42-33
26-40
41-47
42-34
40-46
48-21
45-27
142.1Avg total
73.0Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.270.4147.6+6.860%
Season at home (2)84.556.5141.0+28.0100%
Season away (3)72.379.7152.0-7.333%
Last 10 (10)73.069.1142.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)77.270.4147.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.570.5140.0-1.025%
vs Similar (13)76.876.2153.0+0.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)71.867.8139.6+3.967%
This opponent (Coastal Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coastal CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#68
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A04/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
121-44
121
44
+77
H08/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A15/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A22/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
33-50
36-35
44-39
24-27
35-34
29-29
34-37
34-32
37-44
68-12
53-32
37-30
35-36
31-36
36-38
44-36
40-28
41-30
34-28
142.4Avg total
75.8Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.763.7145.3+18.067%
Season at home (2)96.555.0151.5+41.5100%
Season away (4)74.268.0142.2+6.250%
Last 10 (10)75.866.6142.4+9.250%
Last 5 (5)83.861.2145.0+22.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.877.7142.5-12.99%
vs Similar (14)69.071.0140.0-2.036%
vs Weaker (5)86.658.8145.4+27.880%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.5+1.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +7.7+7.72nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +1.5+1.5
Illinois StateCoastal Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H21/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
34.1Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.432.768.2+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.530.467.9+7.181%-
Last 30 away (14)33.135.468.5-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.066.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.231.667.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.832.263.0-1.525%-
vs Similar (13)37.235.572.6+1.769%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.130.965.0+3.258%-
This opponent (Coastal Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coastal CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#68
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A04/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A04/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
68-12
68
12
+56
H08/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A15/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A22/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A23/11
NCAA
67.7Avg total
37.7Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.565.5+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.529.164.5+6.462%-
Last 30 away (17)31.235.166.3-3.835%-
Last 10 (10)37.730.067.7+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.228.873.0+15.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)28.836.465.2-7.518%-
vs Similar (14)31.631.262.8+0.450%-
vs Weaker (5)46.627.474.0+19.2100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
0
Coastal Carolina wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25HRockford University93-48
17/11/25ALong Beach State82-80
15/11/25AUSC67-87
09/11/25HCornell76-65
07/11/25AOhio68-72
07/03/25ABelmont63-76
06/03/25HMissouri State70-54
02/03/25HEvansville62-53
26/02/25ASouthern Illinois79-88
23/02/25AMissouri State70-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25ANorth Dakota75-58
22/11/25AWestern Illinois84-64
15/11/25AJacksonville State67-74
12/11/25HWinthrop72-66
08/11/25HVirginia-Lynchburg121-44
04/11/25AWestern Michigan71-76
04/03/25ASouthern Miss63-66
01/03/25HOld Dominion59-61
27/02/25HGeorgia State80-74
22/02/25ATroy66-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game77.284.572.3
Allowed / game70.456.579.7
Point differential+6.8+28.0-7.3
Avg total147.6141.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Coastal Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game81.796.574.2
Allowed / game63.755.068.0
Point differential+18.0+41.5+6.2
Avg total145.3151.5142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa550100%72.259.0+13.2
2 Belmont65183%78.569.7+8.8
3 Murray State54180%94.477.2+17.2
4 Valparaiso54180%70.271.6-1.4
5 Drake64267%78.863.0+15.8
6 Illinois (Chi.)64267%82.271.3+10.8
7 Indiana State64267%72.770.5+2.2
8 Southern Illinois53260%85.871.4+14.4
9 Illinois State53260%77.270.4+6.8
10 Evansville63350%73.368.2+5.2
11 Bradley52340%73.270.6+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall54180%87.081.6+5.4
2 Texas State75271%74.065.4+8.6
3 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
4 Coastal Carolina64267%81.763.7+18.0
5 Appalachian State64267%72.866.2+6.7
6 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
7 Troy74357%92.985.1+7.7
8 James Madison63350%76.276.0+0.2
9 Georgia Southern63350%85.586.8-1.3
10 Arkansas State63350%79.385.3-6.0
11 Old Dominion73443%75.174.7+0.4
12 Georgia State61517%64.074.0-10.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette61517%59.275.7-16.5
14 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State553994
Coastal Carolina202242
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