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USC vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 87-67
40-26 47-41
Position#153
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game73.5
USC 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois State
USA
Position#96
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#35
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H27/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H06/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A09/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
A13/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A14/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H04/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
114-83
114
83
+31
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
44-51
39-44
46-51
38-52
44-35
34-39
27-43
47-35
45-26
27-39
36-51
41-30
32-43
35-35
36-41
37-31
57-33
55-37
59-46
164.5Avg total
83.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)104.073.5177.5+30.5100%
Season at home (2)104.073.5177.5+30.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.081.5164.5+1.540%
Last 5 (5)87.880.4168.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.476.4147.8-5.031%
vs Similar (11)83.177.9161.0+5.255%
vs Weaker (3)97.068.3165.3+28.7100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H20/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-40
45-44
33-40
43-45
35-27
47-44
35-32
35-36
35-43
44-45
34-23
28-30
38-23
32-31
18-41
45-35
31-31
37-41
34-32
42-33
143.9Avg total
72.3Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.068.5140.5+3.550%
Season at home (1)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)68.072.0140.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)72.371.6143.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)67.864.0131.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.570.5140.0-1.025%
vs Similar (16)77.877.8155.5+0.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)71.264.7135.9+6.570%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +1.4+1.4
USCIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#35
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A23/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H27/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H06/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A13/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H04/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H09/11
NCAA
75.9Avg total
38.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.472.5+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.634.473.0+4.265%-
Last 30 away (13)35.036.871.8-1.815%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.975.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.473.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)33.336.669.9-3.231%-
vs Similar (11)38.634.673.3+4.045%-
vs Weaker (3)51.032.383.3+18.7100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
NCAA
65.7Avg total
32.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.769.0+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.931.868.7+5.275%-
Last 30 away (14)33.535.969.4-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.265.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.030.061.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.832.263.0-1.525%-
vs Similar (16)37.236.673.8+0.762%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.129.763.8+4.460%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
USC wins
0
Illinois State wins
No previous meetings.
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HManhattan114-83
04/11/25HCal Poly94-64
14/03/25APurdue71-76
13/03/25ARutgers97-89 OT
09/03/25AUCLA63-90
06/03/25HWashington92-61
01/03/25AOregon61-82
27/02/25HOhio State82-87
23/02/25ARutgers85-95
21/02/25AMaryland71-88
Illinois Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HCornell76-65
07/11/25AOhio68-72
07/03/25ABelmont63-76
06/03/25HMissouri State70-54
02/03/25HEvansville62-53
26/02/25ASouthern Illinois79-88
23/02/25AMissouri State70-68
20/02/25HBradley82-71
15/02/25AIndiana State76-85
13/02/25HDrake77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game104.0104.0-
Allowed / game73.573.5-
Point differential+30.5+30.5-
Avg total177.5177.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.076.068.0
Allowed / game68.565.072.0
Point differential+3.5+11.0-4.0
Avg total140.5141.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois330100%102.367.3+35.0
2 Indiana330100%99.766.0+33.7
3 Northwestern330100%85.354.0+31.3
4 USC220100%104.073.5+30.5
5 Wisconsin330100%93.063.7+29.3
6 Nebraska330100%83.756.3+27.3
7 Iowa220100%89.063.5+25.5
8 Michigan220100%103.081.0+22.0
9 Ohio State330100%95.774.3+21.3
10 Penn State330100%81.060.7+20.3
11 Rutgers330100%79.061.7+17.3
12 Purdue330100%85.369.3+16.0
13 UCLA330100%79.066.3+12.7
14 Michigan State330100%76.065.0+11.0
15 Oregon330100%70.063.7+6.3
16 Minnesota32167%80.764.3+16.3
17 Washington32167%82.366.0+16.3
18 Maryland32167%75.765.0+10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa330100%73.756.3+17.3
2 Illinois (Chi.)32167%87.367.3+20.0
3 Southern Illinois32167%88.368.7+19.7
4 Murray State32167%94.779.7+15.0
5 Drake32167%81.767.7+14.0
6 Belmont32167%72.380.3-8.0
7 Valparaiso32167%64.377.7-13.3
8 Evansville42250%72.864.0+8.8
9 Illinois State21150%72.068.5+3.5
10 Indiana State42250%76.580.0-3.5
11 Bradley31233%71.767.0+4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC404787
Illinois State264167
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