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Illinois State vs Charlotte Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-69
43-34 36-35
Position#96
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game65.7
vs
Position#216
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game71.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
94-42
94
42
+52
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-43
44-45
34-23
28-30
38-23
32-31
18-41
45-35
31-31
37-41
34-32
42-33
26-40
41-47
42-34
40-46
48-21
45-27
55-20
39-22
141.9Avg total
75.4Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.065.7145.7+14.367%
Season at home (3)87.751.7139.3+36.0100%
Season away (3)72.379.7152.0-7.333%
Last 10 (10)75.466.5141.9+8.960%
Last 5 (5)82.464.4146.8+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.570.5140.0-1.025%
vs Similar (13)76.876.2153.0+0.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)73.666.2139.8+7.367%
This opponent (Charlotte) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CharlotteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#36
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A07/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Rice
#281
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A12/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H04/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H12/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Shaw Bears
#379
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
31-42
38-39
42-44
23-34
41-27
27-29
32-35
45-37
47-39
33-22
37-43
19-29
36-33
32-44
44-40
37-30
26-35
39-40
44-39
142.0Avg total
70.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.271.8145.0+1.350%
Season at home (4)75.070.5145.5+4.575%
Season away (2)69.574.5144.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)70.671.4142.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)69.471.0140.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.977.3147.2-7.411%
vs Similar (9)70.270.7140.9-0.456%
vs Weaker (1)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +0.3+0.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +0.3+0.3
Illinois StateCharlotte
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#270
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
55-20
55
20
+35
H23/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
36.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.232.468.6+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.929.868.7+9.181%-
Last 30 away (14)33.135.468.5-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.130.866.9+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.029.470.4+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.832.263.0-1.525%-
vs Similar (13)37.235.572.6+1.769%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)35.930.266.1+5.758%-
This opponent (Charlotte) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CharlotteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#36
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A07/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H09/03
NCAA
Rice
#281
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A13/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H04/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H08/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H12/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Shaw Bears
#379
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H23/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
32.6Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.035.667.6-3.623%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.435.168.5-1.638%-
Last 30 away (14)30.436.366.6-5.97%-
Last 10 (10)32.633.766.3-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.065.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.035.566.5-4.516%-
vs Similar (9)33.135.969.0-2.833%-
vs Weaker (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
0
Charlotte wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HCoastal Carolina94-42
21/11/25HRockford University93-48
17/11/25ALong Beach State82-80
15/11/25AUSC67-87
09/11/25HCornell76-65
07/11/25AOhio68-72
07/03/25ABelmont63-76
06/03/25HMissouri State70-54
02/03/25HEvansville62-53
26/02/25ASouthern Illinois79-88
Charlottelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HShaw Bears83-79
21/11/25AAppalachian State63-65
16/11/25AVirginia Tech76-84
12/11/25HDavidson55-62
08/11/25HTennessee Tech70-65
04/11/25HIndiana State92-76
13/03/25AFlorida Atlantic59-64
12/03/25ARice64-61
09/03/25HUTSA Roadrunners80-83
07/03/25ANorth Texas64-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game80.087.772.3
Allowed / game65.751.779.7
Point differential+14.3+36.0-7.3
Avg total145.7139.3152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Charlotte
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game73.275.069.5
Allowed / game71.870.574.5
Point differential+1.3+4.5-5.0
Avg total145.0145.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont87188%81.568.4+13.1
2 Northern Iowa76186%70.458.4+12.0
3 Drake64267%78.863.0+15.8
4 Illinois State64267%80.065.7+14.3
5 Valparaiso64267%67.870.3-2.5
6 Murray State85362%89.480.5+8.9
7 Illinois (Chi.)74357%81.073.7+7.3
8 Indiana State74357%72.771.1+1.6
9 Bradley84450%75.671.0+4.6
10 Southern Illinois73443%80.073.1+6.9
11 Evansville83538%69.873.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa76186%83.068.4+14.6
2 UAB86275%86.170.0+16.1
3 Florida Atlantic75271%80.072.0+8.0
4 North Texas75271%71.163.1+8.0
5 Wichita State64267%79.064.0+15.0
6 Tulane64267%76.879.3-2.5
7 UTSA Roadrunners74357%77.165.9+11.3
8 Temple74357%79.376.6+2.7
9 South Florida63350%94.381.0+13.3
10 Charlotte63350%73.271.8+1.3
11 Rice93633%75.673.3+2.2
12 Memphis62433%74.075.3-1.3
13 East Carolina72529%67.780.6-12.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State433679
Charlotte343569
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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