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Illinois State vs Eastern Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 89-78
49-41 40-37
Position#96
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#313
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game84.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eastern Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
94-42
94
42
+52
H23/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-23
32-31
18-41
45-35
31-31
37-41
34-32
42-33
26-40
41-47
42-34
40-46
48-21
45-27
55-20
39-22
43-34
36-35
33-36
39-29
142.2Avg total
76.4Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.966.0144.9+12.975%
Season at home (5)82.857.8140.6+25.0100%
Season away (3)72.379.7152.0-7.333%
Last 10 (10)76.465.8142.2+10.670%
Last 5 (5)84.060.8144.8+23.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.570.5140.0-1.025%
vs Similar (13)76.275.2151.4+0.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)73.467.0140.4+6.467%
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A25/02
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
122-60
122
60
+62
H07/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H11/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
62-92
62
92
-30
A13/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A19/11
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-32
27-27
44-39
42-42
41-30
26-48
60-18
62-42
36-37
43-50
27-45
35-47
34-53
44-40
38-53
45-42
35-33
36-49
28-37
49-46
159.0Avg total
78.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.784.6166.3-2.914%
Season at home (4)90.281.2171.5+9.025%
Season away (3)70.389.0159.3-18.70%
Last 10 (10)78.081.0159.0-3.020%
Last 5 (5)74.289.0163.2-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.682.6156.1-9.022%
vs Similar (9)74.380.0154.3-5.733%
vs Weaker (12)85.474.2159.6+11.275%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -2.4-2.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -2.4-2.4
Illinois StateEastern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A15/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/11
NCAA
Rockford University
#590
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
55-20
55
20
+35
H23/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H27/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
36.8Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.868.9+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.730.569.2+8.275%-
Last 30 away (14)33.135.468.5-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.831.268.0+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.229.073.2+15.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.832.263.0-1.525%-
vs Similar (13)36.435.872.2+0.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.530.767.2+5.858%-
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Eastern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A25/02
NCAA
North Florida
#228
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A04/03
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
60-18
60
18
+42
H07/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H11/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A13/11
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A19/11
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H22/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H29/11
NCAA
74.8Avg total
37.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.273.8-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.736.975.6+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)34.637.572.1-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.774.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.444.276.6-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.141.675.7-7.433%-
vs Similar (9)36.936.473.3+0.433%-
vs Weaker (12)38.434.472.8+4.067%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
0
Eastern Kentucky wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HFurman72-65
27/11/25HCharlotte79-69
23/11/25HCoastal Carolina94-42
21/11/25HRockford University93-48
17/11/25ALong Beach State82-80
15/11/25AUSC67-87
09/11/25HCornell76-65
07/11/25AOhio68-72
07/03/25ABelmont63-76
06/03/25HMissouri State70-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HWofford77-83
25/11/25ANorthern Kentucky71-82
22/11/25HMercer83-95
19/11/25AKent State78-93
13/11/25AVanderbilt62-92
11/11/25HWestern Kentucky79-87
07/11/25HMidway122-60
04/03/25AJacksonville Dolphins67-78
27/02/25ANorth Florida86-81
25/02/25AJacksonville Dolphins55-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%100%33%
Points / game78.982.872.3
Allowed / game66.057.879.7
Point differential+12.9+25.0-7.3
Avg total144.9140.6152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eastern Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game81.790.270.3
Allowed / game84.681.289.0
Point differential-2.9+9.0-18.7
Avg total166.3171.5159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa87188%74.055.4+18.6
2 Belmont108280%82.470.4+12.0
3 Illinois State86275%78.966.0+12.9
4 Drake96367%80.864.4+16.3
5 Murray State96367%88.877.3+11.4
6 Valparaiso85362%70.469.0+1.4
7 Southern Illinois95456%80.073.4+6.6
8 Indiana State95456%75.870.7+5.1
9 Bradley95456%74.369.8+4.6
10 Illinois (Chi.)84450%78.672.4+6.2
11 Evansville83538%69.873.0-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Georgia85362%78.479.8-1.4
2 Florida Gulf Coast95456%86.982.8+4.1
3 Lipscomb95456%79.175.6+3.6
4 Austin Peay84450%79.669.2+10.4
5 Bellarmine84450%79.078.0+1.0
6 North Alabama84450%74.576.1-1.6
7 Central Arkansas94544%74.273.3+0.9
8 Queens Royals94544%83.783.8-0.1
9 Stetson103730%69.478.4-9.0
10 North Florida82625%83.684.0-0.4
11 Eastern Kentucky71614%81.784.6-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State494089
Eastern Kentucky413778
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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