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Illinois State vs Northern Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-59
30-26 32-33
Position#240
Record5-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game66.6
vs
Position#177
Record5-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A02/03
NCAA
Lourdes
#415
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
41-25
28-44
34-31
38-29
37-27
34-46
37-34
34-24
35-37
32-24
29-28
30-37
42-37
21-39
28-35
30-36
39-28
35-33
41-39
133.7Avg total
67.6Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)67.866.6134.4+1.162%
Season at home (4)70.260.2130.5+10.0100%
Season away (4)65.273.0138.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)67.666.1133.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)65.467.2132.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.674.7140.3-9.119%
vs Similar ◀ (11)66.666.0132.6+0.655%
vs Weaker (2)70.557.0127.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#107
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A08/03
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A17/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A07/11
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A10/11
NCAA
DePauw
#402
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A19/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H22/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H30/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
71-55
71
55
+16
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
30-31
27-30
25-33
21-45
36-29
35-41
32-34
44-27
41-41
31-45
35-45
41-30
47-43
28-34
44-30
29-23
48-36
26-25
45-30
138.0Avg total
69.8Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.969.8142.6+3.162%
Season at home (4)80.566.0146.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)65.273.5138.8-8.225%
Last 10 (10)69.868.2138.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)74.868.2143.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.472.6140.0-5.240%
vs Similar ◀ (13)68.465.7134.1+2.762%
vs Weaker (11)71.159.2130.3+11.982%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +3.1+3.1
Illinois StateNorthern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#365
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Lourdes
#415
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/12
NCAA
65.3Avg total
31.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.035.066.0-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.331.763.0-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)30.838.269.0-7.420%-
Last 10 (10)31.334.065.3-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.633.863.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)30.237.868.0-7.619%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.432.463.7-1.045%-
vs Weaker (2)32.529.562.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Northern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#107
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A17/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A07/11
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A10/11
NCAA
DePauw
#402
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A19/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H22/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H30/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#360
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A02/12
NCAA
64.5Avg total
31.5Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.030.263.2+2.970%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.227.863.0+7.392%-
Last 30 away (17)31.431.963.4-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)31.533.064.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.031.462.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.233.267.4+1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.230.263.4+3.177%-
vs Weaker (11)31.329.160.4+2.273%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
1
Northern Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
15/12/19Northern Kentucky v Illinois State79-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HMurray State76-72
01/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)69-64
22/11/23AWright State49-74
21/11/23AHigh Point72-74
20/11/23HLong Beach State61-52
16/11/23HEastern Illinois69-61
12/11/23ASt. Louis Billikens71-80
07/11/23HLourdes75-56
02/03/23ANorthern Iowa62-75
26/02/23HEvansville72-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AIUPUI71-55
30/11/23HRobert Morris77-59
25/11/23HLIU Sharks72-64
22/11/23HTexas A&M-CC88-73
19/11/23ACincinnati66-90
15/11/23HDePauw85-68
10/11/23AWashington67-75
07/11/23AMiddle Tenn. St.57-74
17/03/23AHouston52-63
08/03/23ACleveland State63-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game67.870.265.2
Allowed / game66.660.273.0
Point differential+1.1+10.0-7.8
Avg total134.4130.5138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northern Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game72.980.565.2
Allowed / game69.866.073.5
Point differential+3.1+14.5-8.2
Avg total142.6146.5138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State98189%87.472.8+14.7
2 Drake87188%79.869.8+10.0
3 Evansville97278%82.271.4+10.8
4 Southern Illinois86275%78.265.4+12.9
5 Bradley96367%72.770.8+1.9
6 Belmont96367%82.280.4+1.8
7 Illinois (Chi.)85362%74.462.6+11.8
8 Illinois State85362%67.866.6+1.1
9 Valparaiso94544%69.869.9-0.1
10 Murray State73443%77.073.4+3.6
11 Northern Iowa82625%75.475.2+0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 IPFW98189%88.467.6+20.9
2 Youngstown State96367%76.670.6+6.0
3 Northern Kentucky85362%72.969.8+3.1
4 Cleveland State106460%74.767.9+6.8
5 Oakland105550%72.472.3+0.1
6 Wisc. Green Bay84450%62.864.5-1.8
7 Wright State83538%81.480.9+0.5
8 Wisc. Milwaukee83538%74.277.2-3.0
9 IUPUI93633%66.077.0-11.0
10 Robert Morris92722%68.674.7-6.1
11 Detroit9090%61.676.3-14.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State303262
Northern Kentucky263359
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