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Illinois State vs Southeast Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 85-64
42-28 43-36
Position#240
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#332
Record4-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southeast Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
49-74
49
74
-25
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-46
37-34
34-24
35-37
32-24
29-28
30-37
42-37
21-39
28-35
30-36
39-28
35-33
41-39
30-26
32-33
22-27
36-37
28-35
47-30
132.7Avg total
66.2Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)67.065.5132.5+1.564%
Season at home (7)68.061.3129.3+6.786%
Season away (4)65.273.0138.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)66.266.5132.7-0.360%
Last 5 (5)68.064.8132.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)64.173.7137.8-9.513%
vs Similar (12)67.066.5133.5+0.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)70.557.0127.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#164
L
56-91
56
91
-35
A11/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H16/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
74-93
74
93
-19
H25/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A26/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
44-74
44
74
-30
A01/12
NCAA
Missouri Baptist
#461
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H03/12
NCAA
Harris-Stowe
#639
W
95-45
95
45
+50
H07/12
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Wilson College
#475
W
87-59
87
59
+28
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-55
35-36
28-39
29-37
27-27
43-41
29-51
45-42
25-35
31-37
17-38
27-36
48-29
36-27
50-20
45-25
39-41
41-48
37-26
50-33
142.6Avg total
70.3Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.073.7143.7-3.736%
Season at home (6)77.866.2144.0+11.767%
Season away (5)60.682.8143.4-22.20%
Last 10 (10)70.372.3142.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)78.064.6142.6+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)63.182.2145.4-19.10%
vs Similar (13)77.678.0155.6-0.462%
vs Weaker (7)88.675.3163.9+13.386%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +2.0+2.0
Illinois StateSoutheast Missouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A22/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H10/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H17/12
NCAA
62.3Avg total
29.6Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.434.665.0-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.231.761.9-1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)30.638.068.6-7.421%-
Last 10 (10)29.632.762.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)29.031.460.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)29.237.166.3-7.920%-
vs Similar (12)30.832.863.7-2.042%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)32.529.562.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#164
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A11/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H16/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H21/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H25/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/11
NCAA
UMKC
#200
L
17-38
17
38
-21
A01/12
NCAA
Missouri Baptist
#461
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H03/12
NCAA
Harris-Stowe
#639
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H07/12
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/12
NCAA
Wilson College
#475
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H17/12
NCAA
68.2Avg total
32.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.037.372.4-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.134.371.3+2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)33.040.473.4-7.427%-
Last 10 (10)32.136.168.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.230.869.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.043.270.2-16.20%-
vs Similar (13)34.238.272.3-4.023%-
vs Weaker (7)43.433.176.6+10.386%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
0
Southeast Missouri State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HNorth Dakota St75-65
10/12/23HNorfolk State58-64
07/12/23HNorthern Kentucky62-59
03/12/23HMurray State76-72
01/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)69-64
22/11/23AWright State49-74
21/11/23AHigh Point72-74
20/11/23HLong Beach State61-52
16/11/23HEastern Illinois69-61
12/11/23ASt. Louis Billikens71-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HWilson College87-59
10/12/23AIPFW80-89
07/12/23HHarris-Stowe95-45
03/12/23HMissouri Baptist84-56
01/12/23AUMKC44-74
26/11/23AChattanooga Mocs56-72
25/11/23HEvansville74-93
21/11/23HCentral Arkansas70-68
16/11/23HEvansville57-76
11/11/23AButler56-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%86%25%
Points / game67.068.065.2
Allowed / game65.561.373.0
Point differential+1.5+6.7-7.8
Avg total132.5129.3138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW36%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game70.077.860.6
Allowed / game73.766.282.8
Point differential-3.7+11.7-22.2
Avg total143.7144.0143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1211192%88.270.8+17.3
2 Drake1211192%78.865.9+12.8
3 Evansville1210283%82.570.5+12.0
4 Belmont139469%81.179.2+1.9
5 Southern Illinois117464%76.265.9+10.3
6 Illinois State117464%67.065.5+1.5
7 Illinois (Chi.)127558%72.862.9+9.8
8 Bradley116555%71.871.1+0.7
9 Northern Iowa125742%77.974.7+3.2
10 Valparaiso124833%66.870.2-3.4
11 Murray State113827%71.872.1-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State139469%78.063.4+14.6
2 Siu Edwardsville127558%72.969.1+3.8
3 Tennessee State137654%76.871.8+5.0
4 Western Illinois137654%71.967.1+4.8
5 UT Martin137654%85.181.2+3.8
6 Eastern Illinois126650%72.863.5+9.2
7 UALR136746%78.880.2-1.4
8 Lindenwood125742%66.472.9-6.5
9 Tennessee Tech135838%70.876.9-6.1
10 Southeast Missouri State114736%70.073.7-3.7
11 Southern Indiana123925%66.269.7-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State424385
Southeast Missouri State283664
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