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Illinois vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-74
43-21 40-53
Position#100
Record13-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#191
Record12-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illinois v Northwestern
04 Feb 2026
ILLI84
NORT44
26 Jan 2025
ILLI83
NORT74
02 Jan 2024
ILLI96
NORT66
23 Feb 2023
ILLI66
NORT62
13 Feb 2022
ILLI73
NORT66
16 Feb 2021
ILLI73
NORT66
18 Jan 2020
ILLI75
NORT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H14/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
117-64
117
64
+53
H29/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
109-77
109
77
+32
A03/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A05/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
91-52
91
52
+39
H09/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
94-69
94
69
+25
A15/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A19/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
70-91
70
91
-21
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
34-35
37-32
43-45
60-24
57-40
45-38
64-39
42-31
39-46
45-21
46-31
38-35
34-47
60-32
34-37
36-36
42-44
35-38
35-53
159.1Avg total
85.6Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.969.2155.1+16.768%
Season at home (13)86.566.5153.0+19.969%
Season away (6)84.775.0159.7+9.767%
Last 10 (10)85.673.5159.1+12.160%
Last 5 (5)81.074.8155.8+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
vs Similar (13)84.774.5159.2+10.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.768.1155.8+19.587%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H15/12
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A05/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
A19/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-27
32-29
31-26
40-34
37-27
47-37
35-33
50-27
34-37
46-47
18-41
43-38
28-47
40-31
38-37
30-31
35-30
30-35
25-31
54-39
146.5Avg total
75.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.268.2142.4+6.163%
Season at home (12)76.164.1140.2+12.092%
Season away (7)71.075.1146.1-4.114%
Last 10 (10)75.071.5146.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)72.076.2148.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.871.6141.4-1.860%
vs Similar (18)72.469.9142.3+2.450%
vs Weaker (7)74.459.3133.7+15.186%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.0+11.01st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +6.4+6.4
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.0+11.01st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +6.4+6.4
IllinoisNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#23
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H14/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
60-24
60
24
+36
H29/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H09/01
NCAA
USC
#215
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A15/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H24/01
NCAA
74.6Avg total
42.8Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.832.473.2+8.480%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.033.075.0+9.180%-
Last 30 away (10)38.431.369.7+7.180%-
Last 10 (10)42.831.874.6+11.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.832.475.2+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.033.062.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (13)40.035.175.1+4.969%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.130.073.1+13.1100%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#100
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H15/12
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A05/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H12/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Michigan
#44
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A19/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H23/01
NCAA
64.1Avg total
30.5Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.830.662.4+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.531.165.6+3.571%-
Last 30 away (13)28.230.058.2-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)30.533.664.1-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)28.837.266.0-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)25.434.259.6-8.820%-
vs Similar (18)31.431.863.2-0.461%-
vs Weaker (7)37.325.062.3+12.3100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Illinois wins
3
Northwestern wins
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25HMaryland70-91
19/01/25AMichigan State78-80
15/01/25AIndiana94-69
11/01/25HUSC72-82
09/01/25HPenn State91-52
05/01/25AWashington81-77
03/01/25AOregon109-77
29/12/24HChicago State117-64
22/12/24AMissouri80-77
14/12/24HTennessee64-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25HIndiana79-70
19/01/25AMichigan76-80 OT
17/01/25HMaryland76-74 OT
12/01/25HMichigan State68-78
05/01/25APurdue61-79
03/01/25APenn State80-84
29/12/24HNortheastern85-60
21/12/24HDePaul84-64
15/12/24HGeorgia Tech71-60
07/12/24HIllinois70-66 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL68%
HomeLWWLL69%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game85.986.584.7
Allowed / game69.266.575.0
Point differential+16.7+19.9+9.7
Avg total155.1153.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%17%
Northwestern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW63%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %63%92%14%
Points / game74.276.171.0
Allowed / game68.264.175.1
Point differential+6.1+12.0-4.1
Avg total142.4140.2146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %21%25%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State1917289%81.768.1+13.6
2 Wisconsin2016480%82.570.3+12.2
3 Oregon2016480%77.970.3+7.6
4 Maryland2116576%83.465.4+18.0
5 Purdue2116576%77.567.5+10.0
6 Michigan1914574%83.570.6+12.9
7 UCLA2014670%75.664.5+11.1
8 Illinois1913668%85.969.2+16.7
9 Indiana2114767%77.173.1+4.0
10 Penn State2013765%83.872.0+11.8
11 Iowa2013765%86.878.3+8.4
12 Northwestern1912763%74.268.2+6.1
13 USC1912763%77.172.3+4.7
14 Nebraska2012860%75.371.0+4.3
15 Ohio State1911858%79.771.3+8.4
16 Minnesota2011955%69.868.7+1.1
17 Rutgers20101050%76.575.2+1.2
18 Washington1991047%71.472.3-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois434083
Northwestern215374
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