PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Michigan State vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-78
36-36 44-42
Position#17
Record15-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game67.1
Michigan State 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois
USA
Position#100
Record13-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Michigan State v Illinois
07 Feb 2026
MICH85
ILLI82
19 Jan 2025
MICH80
ILLI78
10 Feb 2024
MICH88
ILLI80
19 Feb 2022
MICH74
ILLI79
23 Feb 2021
MICH81
ILLI72
02 Jan 2020
MICH76
ILLI56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-34
39-48
42-30
48-42
41-31
48-21
31-30
46-28
42-29
44-40
37-24
43-38
37-29
32-33
42-13
46-41
47-28
31-40
46-36
44-49
151.4Avg total
84.1Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.867.1148.9+14.788%
Season at home (13)81.565.2146.8+16.385%
Season away (4)82.873.2156.0+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.167.3151.4+16.8100%
Last 5 (5)81.066.2147.2+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.377.3145.7-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.264.9134.1+4.462%
vs Weaker (19)80.366.6146.9+13.684%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#191
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H11/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H14/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
117-64
117
64
+53
H29/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
109-77
109
77
+32
A03/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A05/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
91-52
91
52
+39
H09/01
NCAA
USC
#215
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
94-69
94
69
+25
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-24
29-32
39-35
47-45
30-31
34-35
37-32
43-45
60-24
57-40
45-38
64-39
42-31
39-46
45-21
46-31
38-35
34-47
60-32
34-37
157.4Avg total
86.0Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.367.3154.6+20.076%
Season at home (12)87.864.5152.3+23.375%
Season away (5)86.074.0160.0+12.080%
Last 10 (10)86.071.4157.4+14.670%
Last 5 (5)89.471.4160.8+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.077.0129.0-25.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.274.1159.3+11.275%
vs Weaker (17)88.270.4158.6+17.882%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.4+12.41st half: +12.0+12.02nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +3.0+3.0
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.4+12.41st half: +12.0+12.02nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +3.0+3.0
Michigan StateIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A28/11
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#162
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-13
42
13
+29
H10/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A12/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/01
NCAA
69.2Avg total
40.8Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.467.9+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.630.967.4+5.767%-
Last 30 away (12)36.532.268.7+4.367%-
Last 10 (10)40.828.469.2+12.4100%-
Last 5 (5)41.826.067.8+15.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.037.368.3-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.830.863.5+2.062%-
vs Weaker (19)39.030.769.7+8.379%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#191
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H14/12
NCAA
Missouri
#89
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
60-24
60
24
+36
H29/12
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Penn State
#185
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H09/01
NCAA
USC
#215
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A15/01
NCAA
72.6Avg total
42.3Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.532.774.3+8.887%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.533.275.7+9.385%-
Last 30 away (10)39.631.871.4+7.890%-
Last 10 (10)42.330.372.6+12.090%-
Last 5 (5)46.031.477.4+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.028.051.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.335.075.3+5.375%-
vs Weaker (17)43.531.474.9+12.1100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Michigan State wins
4
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Michigan State v Illinois88-80
12/01/24Illinois v Michigan State71-68
14/01/23Illinois v Michigan State75-66
19/02/22Michigan State v Illinois74-79
26/01/22Illinois v Michigan State56-55
24/02/21Michigan State v Illinois81-72
12/02/20Illinois v Michigan State69-70
03/01/20Michigan State v Illinois76-56
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HPenn State90-85
12/01/25ANorthwestern78-68
10/01/25HWashington88-54
04/01/25AOhio State69-62
30/12/24HWestern Michigan80-62
21/12/24HFlorida Atlantic86-69
18/12/24HOakland77-58
07/12/24HNebraska89-52
05/12/24AMinnesota90-72
28/11/24ANorth Carolina94-91 OT
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25AIndiana94-69
11/01/25HUSC72-82
09/01/25HPenn State91-52
05/01/25AWashington81-77
03/01/25AOregon109-77
29/12/24HChicago State117-64
22/12/24AMissouri80-77
14/12/24HTennessee64-66
11/12/24HWisconsin86-80
07/12/24ANorthwestern66-70 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %88%85%100%
Points / game81.881.582.8
Allowed / game67.165.273.2
Point differential+14.7+16.3+9.5
Avg total148.9146.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%69%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%25%
Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %76%75%80%
Points / game87.387.886.0
Allowed / game67.364.574.0
Point differential+20.0+23.3+12.0
Avg total154.6152.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State1715288%81.867.1+14.7
2 Wisconsin1815383%82.470.3+12.1
3 Oregon1815383%78.269.9+8.3
4 Purdue1915479%77.267.4+9.8
5 Illinois1713476%87.367.3+20.0
6 Michigan1713476%84.969.1+15.8
7 Indiana1914574%77.572.5+4.9
8 Maryland1813572%84.064.4+19.6
9 Nebraska1712571%77.270.0+7.2
10 Penn State1812667%84.471.7+12.7
11 UCLA1812667%75.763.7+11.9
12 Iowa1812667%88.478.9+9.6
13 Northwestern1711665%73.867.4+6.5
14 USC1811761%77.072.3+4.7
15 Ohio State1810856%80.171.4+8.7
16 Rutgers1810856%76.874.6+2.2
17 Washington179853%72.172.2-0.1
18 Minnesota189950%69.268.8+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State364480
Illinois364278
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.