PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Duke vs NC State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 74-64
33-37 41-27
Position#7
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game59.3
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#293
Record9-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game66.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Duke v NC State
27 Jan 2025
DUKE74
NC S64
31 Mar 2024
DUKE64
NC S76
14 Mar 2024
DUKE69
NC S74
28 Feb 2023
DUKE71
NC S67
15 Jan 2022
DUKE88
NC S73
12 Mar 2020
DUKE v NC S
upcoming
02 Mar 2020
DUKE88
NC S69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NC State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#190
W
72-46
72
46
+26
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
82-56
82
56
+26
A21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
88-63
88
63
+25
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-21
44-25
25-16
43-31
41-36
41-20
37-27
51-38
41-32
48-30
34-24
42-23
44-36
42-42
50-26
39-28
40-34
48-29
35-22
28-34
137.5Avg total
80.1Scored
57.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.359.3139.6+21.089%
Season at home (13)81.559.2140.7+22.285%
Season away (6)77.859.5137.3+18.3100%
Last 10 (10)80.157.4137.5+22.7100%
Last 5 (5)80.459.6140.0+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)72.559.2131.8+13.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.261.0140.2+18.281%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#351
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A14/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H09/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A16/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-28
31-28
30-38
30-37
52-23
37-40
39-29
28-41
32-38
27-39
26-33
40-32
20-26
41-37
45-34
31-45
29-31
33-34
26-34
31-29
133.9Avg total
66.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.666.9137.5+3.747%
Season at home (14)72.764.1136.9+8.664%
Season away (5)64.674.6139.2-10.00%
Last 10 (10)66.367.6133.9-1.330%
Last 5 (5)64.467.0131.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.568.5134.9-2.038%
vs Similar (13)74.267.5141.6+6.769%
vs Weaker (4)86.567.5154.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +10.1+10.11st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +12.6+12.62nd half: -3.3-3.3
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +10.1+10.11st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +12.6+12.62nd half: -3.3-3.3
DukeNC State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#190
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H11/12
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H31/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A25/01
NCAA
64.9Avg total
37.5Scored
27.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.528.265.7+9.387%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.427.465.8+11.085%-
Last 30 away (10)35.829.965.7+5.990%-
Last 10 (10)37.527.464.9+10.1100%-
Last 5 (5)40.628.469.0+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)33.829.062.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)38.128.166.2+10.088%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#351
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A04/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H09/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A16/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H25/01
NCAA
64.8Avg total
33.4Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.432.166.5+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.630.966.4+4.756%-
Last 30 away (14)33.133.466.6-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)33.431.464.8+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)29.231.660.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)30.333.163.4-2.823%-
vs Similar (13)35.230.865.9+4.469%-
vs Weaker (4)45.533.078.5+12.575%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Duke wins
4
NC State wins
DateGameScore
31/03/24Duke v NC State64-76
14/03/24Duke v NC State69-74
05/03/24NC State v Duke64-79
01/03/23Duke v NC State71-67
05/01/23NC State v Duke84-60
15/01/22Duke v NC State88-73
13/02/21NC State v Duke53-69
03/03/20Duke v NC State88-69
20/02/20NC State v Duke88-66
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AWake Forest63-56
19/01/25ABoston College88-63
15/01/25HMiami (FL)89-54
11/01/25HNotre Dame86-78
08/01/25HPittsburgh76-47
04/01/25ASMU Mustangs89-62
31/12/24HVirginia Tech88-65
21/12/24AGeorgia Tech82-56
18/12/24HGeorge Mason68-47
11/12/24HIncarnate Word72-46
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HSMU Mustangs57-63
18/01/25HCalifornia62-65
16/01/25AVirginia Tech76-79
11/01/25HNorth Carolina61-63
09/01/25HNotre Dame66-65
04/01/25AWake Forest59-77
31/12/24AVirginia67-70
22/12/24HRider89-63
14/12/24AKansas60-75
11/12/24HCoppin State66-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %89%85%100%
Points / game80.381.577.8
Allowed / game59.359.259.5
Point differential+21.0+22.2+18.3
Avg total139.6140.7137.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%69%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
NC State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19145
Win %47%64%0%
Points / game70.672.764.6
Allowed / game66.964.174.6
Point differential+3.7+8.6-10.0
Avg total137.5136.9139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1917289%80.359.3+21.0
2 Clemson2117481%77.466.5+10.9
3 SMU Mustangs2015575%83.172.2+10.9
4 Louisville2015575%79.369.8+9.6
5 Wake Forest2015575%70.065.5+4.4
6 Stanford2014670%77.070.2+6.8
7 Pittsburgh1913668%80.270.9+9.3
8 Florida State2013765%77.870.9+6.9
9 North Carolina2113862%82.576.4+6.1
10 California2011955%76.275.5+0.7
11 Notre Dame1991047%74.870.5+4.3
12 NC State1991047%70.666.9+3.7
13 Georgia Tech2091145%74.773.5+1.2
14 Virginia2091145%61.964.5-2.6
15 Syracuse2091145%74.878.0-3.1
16 Boston College2091145%70.875.3-4.5
17 Virginia Tech2081240%69.572.9-3.5
18 Miami (FL)2041620%75.780.6-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke334174
NC State372764
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.