PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illinois vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-84
31-38 39-46
Position#35
Record22-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game69.0
Illinois
USA
vs
Michigan 🏆
USA
Position#6
Record26-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois v Michigan
27 Feb 2026
ILLI70
MICH84
13 Feb 2024
ILLI97
MICH68
02 Mar 2023
ILLI91
MICH87
14 Jan 2022
ILLI68
MICH53
11 Dec 2019
ILLI71
MICH62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H22/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A24/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A01/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
84-44
84
44
+40
H05/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
71-51
71
51
+20
H15/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
101-65
101
65
+36
A19/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-30
42-40
39-43
49-39
33-26
42-40
33-39
45-30
47-19
37-25
39-35
32-36
44-38
37-43
38-31
33-20
54-32
47-33
50-43
36-43
157.1Avg total
85.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.169.0154.2+16.179%
Season at home (18)86.266.3152.4+19.978%
Season away (10)83.374.0157.3+9.380%
Last 10 (10)85.271.9157.1+13.370%
Last 5 (5)87.677.6165.2+10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.077.5155.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (24)86.567.7154.2+18.883%
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H05/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A08/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A12/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
41-32
48-50
27-22
42-26
41-45
56-24
54-45
44-34
38-27
35-44
52-31
40-38
46-18
48-32
43-48
33-35
30-33
32-28
45-39
150.9Avg total
82.8Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)89.168.7157.8+20.593%
Season at home (17)93.166.8159.9+26.494%
Season away (11)83.071.6154.6+11.491%
Last 10 (10)82.868.1150.9+14.790%
Last 5 (5)80.869.2150.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.078.0143.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)85.069.3154.3+15.767%
vs Weaker (26)89.769.0158.7+20.796%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +7.7+7.7
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +7.7+7.7
IllinoisMichigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/01
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A24/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A01/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H05/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H11/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H15/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A19/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A22/02
NCAA
76.0Avg total
42.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.231.874.0+10.477%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.429.873.2+13.684%-
Last 30 away (11)40.035.375.3+4.764%-
Last 10 (10)42.433.676.0+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.880.8+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.539.074.5-3.517%-
vs Weaker (24)43.830.073.8+13.892%-
This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#104
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H24/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A31/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H05/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A17/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H25/02
NCAA
75.2Avg total
41.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.233.377.5+10.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.231.879.1+15.494%-
Last 30 away (13)40.235.275.4+4.946%-
Last 10 (10)41.134.175.2+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.473.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.030.059.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.334.374.7+6.033%-
vs Weaker (26)45.233.378.5+11.981%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Illinois wins
0
Michigan wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Michigan v Illinois73-93
14/02/24Illinois v Michigan97-68
19/01/24Michigan v Illinois73-88
03/03/23Illinois v Michigan91-87 OT
27/02/22Michigan v Illinois85-93
15/01/22Illinois v Michigan68-53
03/03/21Michigan v Illinois53-76
25/01/20Michigan v Illinois62-64
12/12/19Illinois v Michigan71-62
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AUCLA94-95 OT
19/02/26AUSC101-65
15/02/26HIndiana71-51
11/02/26HWisconsin90-92 OT
08/02/26AMichigan State82-85 OT
05/02/26HNorthwestern84-44
01/02/26ANebraska78-69
30/01/26HWashington75-66
24/01/26APurdue88-82
22/01/26HMaryland89-70
Michiganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HMinnesota77-67
21/02/26ADuke63-68
17/02/26APurdue91-80
14/02/26HUCLA86-56
12/02/26ANorthwestern87-75
08/02/26AOhio State82-61
05/02/26HPenn State110-69
31/01/26AMichigan State83-71
28/01/26HNebraska75-72
24/01/26HOhio State74-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL79%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWWLWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %79%78%80%
Points / game85.186.283.3
Allowed / game69.066.374.0
Point differential+16.1+19.9+9.3
Avg total154.2152.4157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %11%6%20%
Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW93%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWL91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %93%94%91%
Points / game89.193.183.0
Allowed / game68.766.871.6
Point differential+20.5+26.4+11.4
Avg total157.8159.9154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%82%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2826293%89.168.7+20.5
2 Nebraska2824486%78.565.4+13.1
3 Michigan State2823582%78.466.4+11.9
4 Illinois2822679%85.169.0+16.1
5 Purdue2822679%82.669.5+13.1
6 Iowa2820871%75.964.8+11.1
7 Wisconsin2819968%82.776.1+6.6
8 UCLA2819968%78.071.4+6.5
9 USC28181064%79.676.8+2.9
10 Indiana28171161%79.372.1+7.2
11 Ohio State28171161%79.573.1+6.4
12 Washington28141450%76.372.1+4.2
13 Minnesota28131546%70.868.0+2.8
14 Northwestern28121643%74.172.9+1.2
15 Oregon28111739%71.674.1-2.4
16 Penn State28111739%74.979.5-4.6
17 Rutgers28111739%70.375.8-5.5
18 Maryland28111739%70.977.4-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois313970
Michigan384684
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.