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Incarnate Word vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 92-64
39-36 53-28
Position#190
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#356
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game88.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas-Pine Bluff winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#334
L
61-81
61
81
-20
H17/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
H20/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A24/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A27/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
56-73
56
73
-17
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A07/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A05/11
NCAA
S'western (Texas)
#578
W
97-53
97
53
+44
H08/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
27-47
25-36
41-30
21-44
50-43
34-47
48-45
36-39
44-48
30-31
26-42
21-32
31-39
43-34
35-49
46-32
51-21
47-37
37-44
151.7Avg total
73.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.372.3158.7+14.067%
Season at home (2)90.567.0157.5+23.5100%
Season away (1)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)73.378.4151.7-5.120%
Last 5 (5)73.472.2145.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.676.4143.9-8.821%
vs Similar (11)72.481.6154.0-9.39%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.080.7162.7+1.367%
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas-Pine BluffUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A20/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#321
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H24/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A08/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
L
95-104
95
104
-9
A09/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
54-109
54
109
-55
A05/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#639
W
99-57
99
57
+42
H07/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
L
80-103
80
103
-23
A09/11
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
32-42
39-27
33-32
34-32
36-45
34-33
44-36
40-56
44-33
42-42
53-62
32-55
22-54
52-29
47-28
36-52
44-51
34-50
35-35
159.5Avg total
76.8Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.588.5164.0-13.025%
Season at home (1)99.057.0156.0+42.0100%
Season away (3)67.799.0166.7-31.30%
Last 10 (10)76.882.7159.5-5.930%
Last 5 (5)79.491.6171.0-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.697.8169.4-26.20%
vs Similar (12)73.476.5149.9-3.133%
vs Weaker (7)90.072.7162.7+17.386%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -2.8-2.8
Incarnate WordArkansas-Pine Bluff
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#334
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H20/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A24/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A27/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A07/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A05/11
NCAA
S'western (Texas)
#578
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H13/11
NCAA
70.3Avg total
33.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.970.1-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.934.170.1+1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)32.637.570.1-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)33.736.670.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.433.270.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.036.366.3-6.329%-
vs Similar (11)35.335.871.1-0.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.737.779.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Arkansas-Pine Bluff) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas-Pine BluffLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A20/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#321
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A08/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A05/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#639
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A09/11
NCAA
South Florida
#282
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A13/11
NCAA
78.7Avg total
37.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.876.6-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.534.172.6+4.458%-
Last 30 away (18)35.743.779.3-8.028%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.978.7-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.684.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.149.484.5-14.310%-
vs Similar (12)34.835.870.6-0.942%-
vs Weaker (7)42.735.077.7+7.771%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Incarnate Word wins
0
Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Arkansas-Pine Bluff v Incarnate Word81-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HPrairie View A&M84-81
08/11/24HS'western (Texas)97-53
05/11/24ACalifornia Baptist78-83
07/03/24ATexas A&M-CC52-71
05/03/24HSE Louisiana56-73
02/03/24HNew Orleans80-87
27/02/24ANicholls State82-92
24/02/24AMcNeese State71-87
20/02/24HTX A&M Commerce72-76 OT
17/02/24HNorthwestern St.61-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24ASouth Florida69-85
09/11/24ATulsa80-103
07/11/24HChampion Christian Tigers99-57
05/11/24ACincinnati54-109
09/03/24AAlcorn State95-104
08/03/24AJackson State84-89
02/03/24HMiss. Valley St.78-69
27/02/24HTexas Southern70-77
24/02/24HPrairie View A&M72-59
20/02/24AAlabama A&M Bulldogs67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game86.390.578.0
Allowed / game72.367.083.0
Point differential+14.0+23.5-5.0
Avg total158.7157.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game75.599.067.7
Allowed / game88.557.099.0
Point differential-13.0+42.0-31.3
Avg total164.0156.0166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Incarnate Word32167%86.372.3+14.0
2 UTRGV53260%86.476.0+10.4
3 Lamar21150%92.069.5+22.5
4 Stephen F. Austin42250%68.061.0+7.0
5 Nicholls State52340%70.270.0+0.2
6 McNeese State31233%82.769.7+13.0
7 SE Louisiana31233%74.071.7+2.3
8 Houston Christian31233%62.775.7-13.0
9 Texas A&M-CC41325%80.877.2+3.5
10 Northwestern St.41325%73.272.8+0.5
11 New Orleans41325%65.580.2-14.8
12 TX A&M Commerce41325%68.883.8-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs330100%109.068.0+41.0
2 Grambling St.31233%72.764.7+8.0
3 Prairie View A&M31233%83.788.7-5.0
4 Miss. Valley St.31233%49.781.0-31.3
5 Texas Southern41325%73.879.2-5.5
6 Bethune-Cookman41325%65.877.5-11.8
7 Arkansas-Pine Bluff41325%75.588.5-13.0
8 Southern Univ.3030%73.784.0-10.3
9 Alabama State2020%70.083.5-13.5
10 Jackson State4040%62.291.2-29.0
11 Alcorn State4040%53.086.8-33.8
12 Florida A&M3030%61.797.0-35.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word395392
Arkansas-Pine Bluff362864
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