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Incarnate Word vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 57-75
24-43 33-32
Position#344
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#40
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#319
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H28/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
L
45-67
45
67
-22
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H02/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A06/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
27-32
31-29
36-46
33-21
34-37
27-25
31-28
35-34
32-34
21-38
24-29
40-45
32-43
39-36
28-36
30-44
30-41
31-34
37-46
134.7Avg total
62.8Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)62.871.9134.7-9.120%
Last 5 (5)62.478.4140.8-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)65.275.1140.3-9.920%
vs Similar (8)65.067.5132.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (7)75.072.7147.7+2.343%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H30/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H05/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
77-67 OT
77
67
+10
H06/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A12/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
L
73-76 OT
73
76
-3
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-31
36-31
35-38
38-36
37-24
20-23
33-23
29-39
36-27
27-29
42-30
37-38
21-25
36-27
30-21
28-28
23-29
38-28
26-20
39-45
126.6Avg total
65.8Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)65.860.8126.6+5.070%
Last 5 (5)65.660.4126.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)67.866.9134.7+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)68.360.1128.4+8.289%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: +0.4+0.4
Incarnate WordTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#319
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Lamar
#280
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A04/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Lamar
#280
L
21-38
21
38
-17
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A06/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#319
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H10/03
NCAA
66.4Avg total
31.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.933.265.1-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.833.766.5-0.947%-
Last 30 away (13)30.832.563.3-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)31.734.766.4-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.471.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.333.363.7-3.040%-
vs Similar (8)30.632.162.8-1.562%-
vs Weaker (7)36.734.170.9+2.657%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H30/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H05/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H06/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A12/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
L
21-25
21
25
-4
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#130
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H07/03
NCAA
57.5Avg total
30.7Scored
26.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.828.360.1+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.127.561.6+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)29.529.158.5+0.460%-
Last 10 (10)30.726.857.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)28.425.053.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)31.328.860.1+2.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)32.128.060.1+4.172%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Incarnate Word wins
1
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
05/12/20Texas State v Incarnate Word72-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/21HHouston Christian68-80
06/03/21AAbilene Christian60-85
04/03/21AHouston Christian67-72
02/03/21HNew Orleans72-88
25/02/21HLamar45-67
11/02/21HNorthwestern St.67-68
06/02/21ATexas A&M-CC58-53
04/02/21ALamar67-58
31/01/21HAbilene Christian67-75
28/01/21HHouston Christian57-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21HAppalachian State73-76 OT
27/02/21HLouisiana Monroe61-57
26/02/21HLouisiana Monroe58-49
23/02/21AArkansas State57-52
13/02/21HUT Arlington79-68
12/02/21AUT Arlington63-56
06/02/21HUALR77-67 OT
05/02/21HUALR57-47
30/01/21HLouisiana Lafayette73-74
29/01/21HLouisiana Lafayette60-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference: no games played yet this season.
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia State110100%97.037.0+60.0
2 Georgia Southern110100%82.071.0+11.0
3 Appalachian State1010%53.065.0-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word243357
Texas State433275
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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