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Texas State vs Louisiana Lafayette Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-74
35-38 38-36
Position#44
Record11-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game62.3
vs
Position#86
Record12-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette
14 Jan 2026
TEXA59
LOUI54
30 Jan 2025
TEXA61
LOUI70
17 Jan 2024
TEXA68
LOUI86
21 Jan 2023
TEXA51
LOUI60
05 Mar 2022
TEXA72
LOUI79
15 Jan 2022
TEXA72
LOUI68
30 Jan 2021
TEXA73
LOUI74
29 Jan 2021
TEXA60
LOUI62
01 Feb 2020
TEXA71
LOUI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Lafayette winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H16/12
NCAA
Denver
#351
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A19/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#313
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
A02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A02/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A16/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-25
24-21
23-42
47-26
29-28
41-37
36-33
36-39
24-24
47-35
34-25
29-34
40-34
27-22
27-13
30-34
41-36
28-27
24-31
36-31
126.3Avg total
65.5Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)66.462.3128.7+4.169%
Season at home (5)67.858.4126.2+9.460%
Season away (11)65.764.1129.8+1.673%
Last 10 (10)65.560.8126.3+4.780%
Last 5 (5)63.257.4120.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.867.9135.6-0.150%
vs Weaker (22)69.961.5131.4+8.582%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#239
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Texas State
#44
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
H02/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H02/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H09/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
H09/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A16/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A16/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-18
39-47
33-36
39-36
24-24
35-47
29-31
37-33
42-32
26-36
36-40
50-51
42-26
26-25
27-31
54-37
41-29
36-45
31-24
31-36
143.2Avg total
73.3Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.371.3145.6+3.075%
Season at home (11)75.069.5144.5+5.582%
Season away (5)72.875.4148.2-2.660%
Last 10 (10)73.369.9143.2+3.470%
Last 5 (5)74.868.8143.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.177.5149.5-5.436%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.171.8147.9+4.376%
vs Weaker (1)90.075.0165.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -2.0-2.0
Texas StateLouisiana Lafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#331
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Denver
#351
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A19/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#313
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A02/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A16/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
27-13
27
13
+14
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H29/01
NCAA
59.6Avg total
30.5Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.528.561.0+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.227.061.2+7.262%-
Last 30 away (17)31.229.660.8+1.665%-
Last 10 (10)30.529.159.6+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)33.227.861.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.128.460.5+3.850%-
vs Weaker (22)32.728.561.2+4.268%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#239
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H20/12
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H02/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H02/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H09/01
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A16/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A16/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H23/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H23/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A29/01
NCAA
63.2Avg total
34.1Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.234.469.6+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.934.469.4+0.539%-
Last 30 away (12)35.634.369.9+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)34.129.163.2+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.430.065.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.036.571.5-1.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)34.132.566.6+1.647%-
vs Weaker (1)51.035.086.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Texas State wins
2
Louisiana Lafayette wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/21HLouisiana Lafayette60-62
23/01/21ALouisiana Monroe69-63
23/01/21ALouisiana Monroe57-47
16/01/21AUALR67-56
16/01/21AUALR63-59
02/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette71-59
02/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette77-83 OT
21/12/20ANorthern Arizona70-65
19/12/20ADenver70-68
16/12/20HTexas A&M-CC51-46
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/21ATexas State62-60
23/01/21HArkansas State77-74
23/01/21HArkansas State81-68
16/01/21AUT Arlington68-51
16/01/21AUT Arlington86-91
09/01/21HUALR76-78 OT
09/01/21HUALR66-64
02/01/21HTexas State59-71
02/01/21HTexas State83-77 OT
20/12/20HMcNeese State75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16511
Win %69%60%73%
Points / game66.467.865.7
Allowed / game62.358.464.1
Point differential+4.1+9.4+1.6
Avg total128.7126.2129.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%20%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%9%
Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLWLWW82%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %75%82%60%
Points / game74.375.072.8
Allowed / game71.369.575.4
Point differential+3.0+5.5-2.6
Avg total145.6144.5148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %12%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Coastal Carolina1612475%83.967.3+16.6
2 Louisiana Lafayette1612475%74.371.3+3.0
3 Marshall139469%79.371.5+7.8
4 Texas State1611569%66.462.3+4.1
5 Appalachian State1812667%72.862.5+10.3
6 Georgia State128467%83.174.1+9.0
7 Old Dominion128467%68.668.5+0.1
8 James Madison138562%78.870.2+8.7
9 Georgia Southern1911858%73.467.5+5.8
10 South Alabama179853%77.172.5+4.6
11 Troy167944%63.367.2-3.9
12 Arkansas State146843%75.070.6+4.4
13 Southern Miss1771041%65.164.5+0.6
14 Louisiana Monroe1641225%65.370.2-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State353873
Louisiana Lafayette383674
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