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Independiente de Oliva vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 77-79
24-17 16-21 6-22 31-19
Position#17
Record5-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Position#1
Record13-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game76.2
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Independiente DSC
Other2024-25
Meetings · Independiente de Oliva v Boca Juniors
12 Jan 2027
INDE v BOCA
upcoming
13 Oct 2025
INDE82
BOCA87
28 Jan 2025
INDE77
BOCA79
10 Jan 2024
INDE74
BOCA97
17 Mar 2023
INDE70
BOCA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Independiente de Oliva winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
74avg 71
A14/11
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
87-92
87
92
-5
75avg 71
H16/11
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 71
H28/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
67avg 71
H30/11
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
84-87
84
87
-3
77avg 71
A07/12
Liga A
Penarol
#12
L
93-107
93
107
-14
88avg 71
H19/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
93-100
93
100
-7
81avg 71
H21/12
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
95-88
95
88
+7
89avg 71
A13/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
60-85
60
85
-25
42avg 71
A15/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
69-85
69
85
-16
65avg 71
A17/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
27-26
19-21
26-23
26-12
16-42
18-19
27-19
35-19
22-18
15-16
23-33
20-28
13-19
28-23
19-21
19-24
27-29
23-18
15-16
21-27
24-20
21-29
27-31
25-23
21-27
24-19
23-31
29-21
14-20
26-23
26-24
19-23
20-16
8-12
13-34
12-14
19-30
20-22
18-19
175.3Avg total
84.3Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.088.3172.3-4.329%
Season at home (8)88.891.6180.4-2.925%
Season away (9)79.885.3165.1-5.633%
Last 10 (10)84.391.0175.3-6.720%
Last 5 (5)82.093.0175.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.487.9167.3-8.58%
vs Similar (15)82.987.8170.7-4.920%
vs Weaker (2)83.578.5162.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Ferro
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
100avg 75
A04/12
Liga A
Argentino
#20
L
60-61
60
61
-1
51avg 75
A06/12
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
54avg 75
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
92-71
92
71
+21
97avg 75
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Platense
#16
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 75
H21/12
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
48avg 75
A14/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
83-63
83
63
+20
82avg 75
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#2
W
90-75
90
75
+15
80avg 75
A18/01
Super Cup
La Union
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
96avg 75
H21/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
88avg 75
A26/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
25-25
22-26
22-14
10-18
15-24
11-12
24-7
22-20
13-13
15-21
19-16
22-22
33-14
18-23
19-12
26-14
16-14
24-16
19-29
21-27
14-30
12-20
14-19
22-17
24-14
16-18
21-14
21-13
21-20
21-24
27-18
29-27
23-22
20-21
25-21
26-23
14-25
27-12
23-26
159.2Avg total
82.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.776.2157.9+5.576%
Season at home (7)85.171.6156.7+13.6100%
Season away (10)79.379.4158.7-0.160%
Last 10 (10)82.476.8159.2+5.670%
Last 5 (5)84.282.2166.4+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.083.0148.0-18.00%
vs Similar (16)79.376.1155.4+3.281%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.974.5159.4+10.573%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +3.7+3.7
Independiente de OlivaBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A14/11
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/11
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H28/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H30/11
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A07/12
Liga A
Penarol
#12
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H19/12
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H21/12
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/01
Liga A
Regatas
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/01
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A17/01
Liga A
88.1Avg total
42.4Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.985.5-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.243.488.6+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)38.444.482.8-6.019%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.788.1-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.285.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.843.181.8-4.323%-
vs Similar (15)43.545.288.7-1.740%-
vs Weaker (2)45.539.585.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A04/12
Liga A
Argentino
#20
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A06/12
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Platense
#16
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H21/12
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A14/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A18/01
Super Cup
La Union
#18
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H21/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/01
Liga A
82.4Avg total
42.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.778.4+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.031.873.8+10.283%-
Last 30 away (18)39.941.681.4-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.982.4+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.686.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.045.080.0-10.050%-
vs Similar (16)37.937.175.1+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.737.583.3+8.282%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.8
53.7%
53.8%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.1
31.7%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.012.2
76.2%
71.7%12.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Independiente de Oliva wins
4
Boca Juniors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25ASan Martin69-85
15/01/25ARegatas60-85
13/01/25ALa Union95-88
21/12/24HObras Sanitarias93-100
19/12/24HPenarol93-107
07/12/24AAtenas84-87
30/11/24HQuimsa80-91
28/11/24HArgentino95-86
16/11/24HFerro87-92
14/11/24AUnion De Santa Fe87-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25AInstituto de Cordoba90-86
21/01/25HLa Union97-91
18/01/25AQuimsa90-75
15/01/25AToros del Chiriqui83-63
14/01/25AFlamengo61-96
21/12/24HPlatense85-73
16/12/24HToros del Chiriqui92-71
15/12/24AFlamengo69-70
06/12/24AArgentino60-61
04/12/24AFerro97-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game84.088.879.8
Allowed / game88.391.685.3
Point differential-4.3-2.9-5.6
Avg total172.3180.4165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %76%100%60%
Points / game81.785.179.3
Allowed / game76.271.679.4
Point differential+5.5+13.6-0.1
Avg total157.9156.7158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors1713476%81.776.2+5.5
2 Instituto de Cordoba1813572%79.869.3+10.5
3 Riachuelo1712571%83.575.3+8.2
4 Obras Sanitarias1812667%82.378.4+3.9
5 Obera TC1610662%83.179.5+3.6
6 Quimsa1811761%85.176.5+8.6
7 Olimpico1811761%79.880.0-0.2
8 Atenas1810856%78.178.7-0.6
9 Regatas179853%79.279.6-0.5
10 Union De Santa Fe179853%77.181.7-4.6
11 Penarol189950%82.081.2+0.8
12 San Martin178947%73.673.5+0.1
13 Ferro1881044%80.784.1-3.3
14 Gimnasia1981142%81.277.9+3.3
15 San Lorenzo1981142%75.278.1-2.9
16 Platense1861233%78.981.4-2.6
17 Zarate1861233%70.381.1-10.8
18 La Union1961332%84.088.1-4.1
19 Independiente de Oliva1751229%84.088.3-4.3
20 Argentino1731418%73.984.1-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Independiente de Oliva241663177
Boca Juniors1721221979
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