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Independiente de Oliva vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 93-107
21-27 24-20 21-29 27-31
Position#17
Record4-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
Position#12
Record5-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.1
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Independiente DSC
Other2024-25
Meetings · Independiente de Oliva v Penarol
14 Jan 2027
INDE v PENA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
INDE102
PENA107
18 Dec 2024
INDE93
PENA107
01 Dec 2023
INDE83
PENA75
01 Nov 2022
INDE83
PENA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Independiente de Oliva winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliva
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
87-83
87
83
+4
72avg 71
A15/10
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
72-71
72
71
+1
69avg 71
A18/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
62avg 71
H01/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 71
H08/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 71
A12/11
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
74avg 71
A14/11
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
87-92
87
92
-5
75avg 71
H16/11
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 71
H28/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
67avg 71
H30/11
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
84-87
84
87
-3
77avg 71
A07/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
22-23
14-16
23-21
16-25
18-17
20-10
18-19
19-18
18-24
17-23
16-22
24-21
22-30
20-21
22-26
21-27
28-16
20-17
12-23
15-19
27-26
19-21
26-23
26-12
16-42
18-19
27-19
35-19
22-18
15-16
23-33
20-28
13-19
28-23
19-21
19-24
27-29
23-18
15-16
169.8Avg total
83.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.886.3171.2-1.533%
Season at home (6)87.387.7175.0-0.333%
Season away (6)82.385.0167.3-2.733%
Last 10 (10)83.186.7169.8-3.630%
Last 5 (5)86.689.0175.6-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.183.7162.8-4.617%
vs Similar (16)82.886.1168.9-3.325%
vs Weaker (2)83.578.5162.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#1
L
60-91
60
91
-31
44avg 68
A19/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
63avg 68
A09/10
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
65avg 68
A12/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
78-97
78
97
-19
69avg 68
H15/10
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
85-83
85
83
+2
75avg 68
A22/10
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
82-87
82
87
-5
73avg 68
A24/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
66avg 68
A26/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
82-71
82
71
+11
-38avg 68
H12/11
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
87-61
87
61
+26
82avg 68
H27/11
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
84-65
84
65
+19
81avg 68
H14/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
14-22
26-26
7-17
23-16
19-23
15-16
20-22
23-15
9-15
25-23
18-19
25-23
15-24
15-25
23-25
20-22
14-23
22-18
29-20
23-21
20-25
17-17
22-24
15-24
26-20
20-20
20-19
22-19
16-16
19-26
25-10
21-9
21-17
17-15
28-20
32-18
19-19
12-11
21-17
159.0Avg total
79.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.878.1159.9+3.756%
Season at home (4)82.873.5156.2+9.275%
Season away (5)81.081.8162.8-0.840%
Last 10 (10)79.679.4159.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)83.273.4156.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.474.7146.1-3.354%
vs Similar (14)83.176.5159.6+6.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.780.7161.3+0.067%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
Independiente de OlivaPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A15/10
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A18/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H01/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H08/11
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A12/11
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A14/11
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/11
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H28/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H30/11
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A07/12
Liga A
89.6Avg total
43.6Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.184.7-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.740.984.6+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.384.8-5.913%-
Last 10 (10)43.646.089.6-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.291.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.341.379.7-3.033%-
vs Similar (16)43.544.988.4-1.438%-
vs Weaker (2)45.539.585.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A19/06
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/10
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A12/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H15/10
Liga A
Argentino
#20
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A22/10
Liga A
Zarate
#19
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H12/11
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H27/11
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H14/12
Liga A
78.7Avg total
39.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.378.4+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.976.0+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.780.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.778.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.037.680.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.637.775.3-0.146%-
vs Similar (14)43.238.581.7+4.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)36.340.376.7-4.033%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Independiente de Oliva wins
1
Penarol wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AAtenas84-87
30/11/24HQuimsa80-91
28/11/24HArgentino95-86
16/11/24HFerro87-92
14/11/24AUnion De Santa Fe87-89
12/11/24AObera TC81-83
08/11/24HSan Lorenzo88-98
01/11/24HInstituto de Cordoba70-87
18/10/24AZarate72-71
15/10/24APlatense87-83
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HRegatas84-65
27/11/24HSan Martin87-61
12/11/24HObras Sanitarias82-71
26/10/24ABoca Juniors81-83
24/10/24AZarate82-87
22/10/24AArgentino85-83
15/10/24HObera TC78-97
12/10/24APlatense75-72
09/10/24AFerro82-84 OT
19/06/24AQuimsa60-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game84.887.382.3
Allowed / game86.387.785.0
Point differential-1.5-0.3-2.7
Avg total171.2175.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game81.882.881.0
Allowed / game78.173.581.8
Point differential+3.7+9.2-0.8
Avg total159.9156.2162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Obera TC1210283%85.478.5+6.9
2 Riachuelo1310377%82.374.2+8.1
3 Instituto de Cordoba129375%84.171.7+12.4
4 Boca Juniors1410471%79.874.6+5.1
5 Olimpico128467%82.079.2+2.8
6 Quimsa138562%83.775.2+8.5
7 Obras Sanitarias106460%80.677.9+2.7
8 Atenas148657%80.278.5+1.7
9 Penarol95456%81.878.1+3.7
10 Regatas137654%79.982.2-2.2
11 Union De Santa Fe147750%75.881.6-5.8
12 Gimnasia125742%78.677.8+0.8
13 La Union135838%83.587.5-4.1
14 San Lorenzo114736%72.578.7-6.3
15 Ferro145936%79.585.2-5.7
16 Independiente de Oliva124833%84.886.3-1.5
17 San Martin124833%69.874.8-5.0
18 Platense113827%81.980.7+1.2
19 Zarate113827%72.583.7-11.2
20 Argentino121118%72.284.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Independiente de Oliva2124212793
Penarol27202931107
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