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Flamengo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:40
Final 96-61
27-21 30-14 20-12 19-14
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game63.7
Flamengo 🏆
vs
Boca Juniors
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeChampions League Americas· Maracanãzinho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Flamengo v Boca Juniors
20 Apr 2025
FLAM83
BOCA57
14 Jan 2025
FLAM96
BOCA61
15 Dec 2024
FLAM70
BOCA69
16 Dec 2023
FLAM62
BOCA80
12 Mar 2022
FLAM79
BOCA72
10 Dec 2021
FLAM88
BOCA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 81
H30/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 81
A03/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
87avg 81
H07/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#4
W
70-69
70
69
+1
61avg 81
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
102avg 81
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 81
H20/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
89-75
89
75
+14
92avg 81
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 81
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
81-60
81
60
+21
74avg 81
H29/12
NBB
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
96-50
96
50
+46
99avg 81
A13/01
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
14-17
23-21
12-24
29-28
26-23
24-25
19-22
23-26
18-13
26-17
23-28
20-22
13-13
21-15
16-19
23-13
18-17
34-17
24-25
16-20
39-15
21-27
18-17
30-18
18-27
27-10
14-20
21-20
14-24
25-8
22-37
19-11
21-17
23-17
18-15
18-12
30-14
26-18
22-6
164.3Avg total
88.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.363.7152.0+24.7100%
Season at home (2)84.570.5155.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)96.050.0146.0+46.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.176.2164.3+11.980%
Last 5 (5)88.470.6159.0+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)70.372.2142.5-1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.470.0156.4+16.588%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
75avg 73
A06/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
78-59
78
59
+19
75avg 73
H09/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
83-67
83
67
+16
82avg 73
A14/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 73
A18/11
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
66-64
66
64
+2
64avg 73
H30/11
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
100avg 73
A04/12
Liga A
Argentino
#20
L
60-61
60
61
-1
51avg 73
A06/12
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
54avg 73
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
92-71
92
71
+21
97avg 73
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Platense
#16
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 73
H21/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
21-18
25-21
22-21
27-14
10-6
22-18
19-21
24-22
21-14
19-10
19-21
13-16
22-33
22-19
21-15
12-19
14-7
17-11
23-27
28-17
25-25
22-26
22-14
10-18
15-24
11-12
24-7
22-20
13-13
15-21
19-16
22-22
33-14
18-23
19-12
26-14
16-14
24-16
19-29
150.2Avg total
79.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.570.5151.0+10.050%
Season at home (1)92.071.0163.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)69.070.0139.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)79.171.1150.2+8.070%
Last 5 (5)80.671.4152.0+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)69.070.0139.0-1.00%
vs Similar (18)77.975.7153.7+2.272%
vs Weaker (11)81.673.6155.3+8.064%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
FlamengoBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H30/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A03/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H07/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#4
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H20/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H29/12
NBB
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A13/01
Champions League Americas
80.0Avg total
43.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.934.977.8+8.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.175.4+5.356%-
Last 30 away (14)45.834.880.6+11.086%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.980.0+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.680.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.235.770.8-0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.834.879.6+10.179%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A06/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H09/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A18/11
Liga A
San Martin
#10
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H30/11
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A04/12
Liga A
Argentino
#20
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A06/12
Liga A
Flamengo
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Toros del Chiriqui
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Platense
#16
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H21/12
Liga A
74.0Avg total
38.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.176.9+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.731.472.1+9.275%-
Last 30 away (18)39.240.980.1-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)38.935.174.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.278.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.033.068.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (18)38.237.275.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker (11)42.937.480.3+5.564%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.4
54.5%
49.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.2
36.7%
33.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
71.9%15.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.8
54.0%
49.4%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.1
30.7%
33.9%27.4
🏀 Free throws13.911.0
79.3%
71.9%11.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWLWWWWWWL
Boca Juniors
WWLLWWLWWW
#1
League position
#4
+17.0
Net rating
+2.5
117.2
Offensive rating
99.6
100.3
Defensive rating
97.1
54.8%
Effective FG%
50.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.1%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.7%
3-point %
30.7%
61.8%
Assist %
75.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 99.6Defence100.3 · 97.1Shooting54.8% · 50.2%3-point %36.7% · 30.7%Ball care16.2% · 17.1%Off. rebounds33.2% · 19.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Flamengo   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Flamengo wins
2
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Flamengo v Boca Juniors70-69
10/02/24Boca Juniors v Flamengo79-87
18/01/24Boca Juniors v Flamengo62-65
16/12/23Flamengo v Boca Juniors62-80
12/03/22Flamengo v Boca Juniors79-72
30/01/22Boca Juniors v Flamengo71-68
10/12/21Flamengo v Boca Juniors88-66
25/11/10Boca Juniors v Flamengo70-80
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25AToros del Chiriqui96-50
29/12/24HMogi81-60
27/12/24HSao Jose82-89
23/12/24APaulistano89-75
20/12/24HBauru94-79
17/12/24HToros del Chiriqui99-72
15/12/24HBoca Juniors70-69
07/12/24HBrasilia90-84
03/12/24APato110-103 OT
30/11/24HMinas70-81
Boca Juniorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HPlatense85-73
16/12/24HToros del Chiriqui92-71
15/12/24AFlamengo69-70
06/12/24AArgentino60-61
04/12/24AFerro97-82
30/11/24HSan Martin66-64
18/11/24ASan Lorenzo78-83
14/11/24AGimnasia83-67
09/11/24HObras Sanitarias78-59
06/11/24AObera TC83-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.384.596.0
Allowed / game63.770.550.0
Point differential+24.7+14.0+46.0
Avg total152.0155.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boca Juniors
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.592.069.0
Allowed / game70.571.070.0
Point differential+10.0+21.0-1.0
Avg total151.0163.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo330100%88.363.7+24.7
2 Franca440100%85.873.5+12.2
3 Minas440100%80.569.8+10.8
4 Boca Juniors21150%80.570.5+10.0
5 Instituto de Cordoba42250%79.279.2+0.0
6 Bigua31233%69.776.0-6.3
7 Quimsa3030%70.778.7-8.0
8 Leones Quilpue4040%70.082.2-12.2
9 Toros del Chiriqui3030%64.395.7-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2730201996
Boca Juniors2114121461
← all games of the day
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