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Flamengo vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:40
Final 70-69
20-22 13-13 21-15 16-19
Position#1
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Flamengo 🏆
vs
Boca Juniors
Position#4
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions League Americas· Maracanãzinho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Flamengo v Boca Juniors
20 Apr 2025
FLAM83
BOCA57
14 Jan 2025
FLAM96
BOCA61
15 Dec 2024
FLAM70
BOCA69
16 Dec 2023
FLAM62
BOCA80
12 Mar 2022
FLAM79
BOCA72
10 Dec 2021
FLAM88
BOCA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
78-56
78
56
+22
72avg 80
A29/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 80
A01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
84-55
84
55
+29
86avg 80
H04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
75-77
75
77
-2
66avg 80
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
95-77
95
77
+18
101avg 80
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
91-67
91
67
+24
88avg 80
H13/11
NBB
Franca
#2
W
88-65
88
65
+23
85avg 80
H16/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 80
H30/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 80
A03/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
87avg 80
H07/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
25-11
14-9
18-13
18-20
20-16
25-25
24-16
22-14
27-16
21-15
14-10
18-25
18-13
17-20
22-19
30-18
29-21
13-14
23-24
22-16
24-14
18-14
27-23
22-22
24-22
25-12
17-9
21-19
14-17
23-21
12-24
29-28
26-23
24-25
19-22
23-26
18-13
26-17
23-28
161.0Avg total
86.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.874.2161.0+12.680%
Last 5 (5)89.880.0169.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)74.076.5150.5-2.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.069.3154.3+15.891%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#4
L
67-97
67
97
-30
59avg 74
A19/10
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 74
A22/10
Liga A
Penarol
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
87avg 74
H26/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
75avg 74
A06/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
78-59
78
59
+19
75avg 74
H09/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
83-67
83
67
+16
82avg 74
A14/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 74
A18/11
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
66-64
66
64
+2
64avg 74
H30/11
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
100avg 74
A04/12
Liga A
Argentino
#20
L
60-61
60
61
-1
51avg 74
A06/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
13-29
21-20
15-25
22-20
23-23
16-16
19-16
24-15
20-26
20-20
19-20
15-21
21-18
25-21
22-21
27-14
10-6
22-18
19-21
24-22
21-14
19-10
19-21
13-16
22-33
22-19
21-15
12-19
14-7
17-11
23-27
28-17
25-25
22-26
22-14
10-18
15-24
11-12
24-7
152.5Avg total
77.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.575.0152.5+2.570%
Last 5 (5)76.871.4148.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)77.975.7153.7+2.272%
vs Weaker (12)81.271.4152.6+9.867%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
FlamengoBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A29/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H13/11
NBB
Franca
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H16/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H30/11
NBB
Pato
#14
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A03/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H07/12
NBB
82.8Avg total
45.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.134.978.0+8.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.835.375.1+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)46.534.580.9+12.087%-
Last 10 (10)45.137.782.8+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.084.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)36.436.873.1-0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.634.279.8+11.486%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#4
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A19/10
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A22/10
Liga A
Penarol
#12
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H26/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A06/11
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H09/11
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A18/11
Liga A
San Martin
#10
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H30/11
Liga A
Ferro
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A04/12
Liga A
Argentino
#20
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A06/12
Liga A
76.7Avg total
37.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.677.7+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.232.572.7+7.767%-
Last 30 away (18)40.140.981.1-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.076.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)38.237.275.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker (12)43.138.281.2+4.958%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.3
56.1%
49.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.9
33.4%
33.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.516.1
78.5%
71.9%16.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.0
51.1%
49.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.5
31.0%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.211.2
78.8%
71.9%11.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWLWWWLWWW
Boca Juniors
LWWLWWWWWL
#1
League position
#4
+18.0
Net rating
-1.6
115.8
Offensive rating
97.3
97.8
Defensive rating
98.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
48.8%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.8%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.4%
3-point %
31.0%
66.9%
Assist %
71.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 97.3Defence97.8 · 98.9Shooting53.4% · 48.8%3-point %33.4% · 31.0%Ball care15.0% · 17.8%Off. rebounds30.7% · 21.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Flamengo   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Flamengo wins
2
Boca Juniors wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Boca Juniors v Flamengo79-87
18/01/24Boca Juniors v Flamengo62-65
16/12/23Flamengo v Boca Juniors62-80
12/03/22Flamengo v Boca Juniors79-72
30/01/22Boca Juniors v Flamengo71-68
10/12/21Flamengo v Boca Juniors88-66
25/11/10Boca Juniors v Flamengo70-80
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HBrasilia90-84
03/12/24APato110-103 OT
30/11/24HMinas70-81
16/11/24HFranca88-65
13/11/24HBotafogo91-67
11/11/24HUniao Corinthians95-77
07/11/24ASao Paulo75-77
04/11/24HCaxias do Sul84-55
01/11/24AUnifacisa87-77
29/10/24ACearense78-56
Boca Juniorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24AArgentino60-61
04/12/24AFerro97-82
30/11/24HSan Martin66-64
18/11/24ASan Lorenzo78-83
14/11/24AGimnasia83-67
09/11/24HObras Sanitarias78-59
06/11/24AObera TC83-81
26/10/24HPenarol83-81
22/10/24ARiachuelo80-75
19/10/24AQuimsa67-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Boca Juniors
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas220100%78.566.5+12.0
2 Franca110100%81.076.0+5.0
3 Bigua21150%66.071.5-5.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba1010%76.081.0-5.0
5 Quimsa2020%71.578.0-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2013211670
Boca Juniors2213151969
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