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Indiana State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 53-43
31-29 22-14
Position#122
Record14-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game66.8
vs
Position#277
Record9-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Indiana State v Evansville
30 Jan 2027
INDI v EVAN
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
INDI69
EVAN72
19 Feb 2025
INDI74
EVAN79
03 Jan 2024
INDI87
EVAN73
02 Mar 2023
INDI97
EVAN58
29 Dec 2022
INDI91
EVAN63
08 Feb 2022
INDI56
EVAN65
05 Mar 2021
INDI53
EVAN43
17 Feb 2021
INDI87
EVAN73
15 Jan 2020
INDI65
EVAN42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#211
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A27/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
35-33
31-29
40-30
34-29
26-28
30-24
37-31
25-28
36-29
35-31
32-39
37-35
39-35
39-32
48-41
38-16
20-27
18-39
40-31
129.4Avg total
67.4Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.866.8134.7+1.061%
Season at home (12)68.865.2134.0+3.775%
Season away (11)66.768.6135.4-1.945%
Last 10 (10)67.462.0129.4+5.480%
Last 5 (5)69.265.2134.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.972.4137.2-7.525%
vs Similar (18)65.764.4130.2+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)75.768.3144.0+7.3100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#279
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H31/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H02/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A07/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A17/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
33-25
24-33
34-18
27-36
28-32
17-30
41-39
35-37
35-39
32-39
41-48
30-47
41-38
35-31
28-43
37-42
44-48
38-30
34-33
138.6Avg total
67.1Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)65.770.3136.0-4.638%
Season at home (12)67.364.8132.2+2.567%
Season away (12)64.075.8139.8-11.88%
Last 10 (10)67.171.5138.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)72.079.8151.8-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)63.374.6137.9-11.36%
vs Similar (11)65.762.1127.8+3.673%
vs Weaker (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -0.4-0.4
Indiana StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#211
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H17/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
38-16
38
16
+22
A27/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
L
18-39
18
39
-21
A27/02
NCAA
61.7Avg total
32.1Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.531.062.5+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.129.461.4+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)30.932.963.7-2.043%-
Last 10 (10)32.129.661.7+2.580%-
Last 5 (5)33.430.664.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.632.261.9-2.625%-
vs Similar (18)32.230.262.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)32.031.063.0+1.067%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#279
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H31/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H02/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
17-30
17
30
-13
A07/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A17/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
31.2Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.733.563.2-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.929.760.6+1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)28.736.865.4-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)31.235.266.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.872.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.836.165.9-6.328%-
vs Similar (11)29.428.958.3+0.536%-
vs Weaker (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Indiana State wins
0
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21AValparaiso58-70
27/02/21AValparaiso58-43
17/02/21HEvansville87-73
14/02/21AEvansville76-70
07/02/21ANorthern Iowa67-70
06/02/21ANorthern Iowa61-57
01/02/21HBradley67-55
31/01/21HBradley60-57
26/01/21HSouthern Illinois71-59
26/01/21HSouthern Illinois69-66
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/21HMissouri State72-63
27/02/21HMissouri State81-90
23/02/21ADrake63-74
21/02/21ADrake71-85
17/02/21AIndiana State73-87
14/02/21HIndiana State70-76
07/02/21ALoyola Chicago58-69
06/02/21ALoyola Chicago55-68
02/02/21HValparaiso58-51
31/01/21HValparaiso70-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL61%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%75%45%
Points / game67.868.866.7
Allowed / game66.865.268.6
Point differential+1.0+3.7-1.9
Avg total134.7134.0135.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%42%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Evansville
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%67%8%
Points / game65.767.364.0
Allowed / game70.364.875.8
Point differential-4.6+2.5-11.8
Avg total136.0132.2139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2926390%81.868.7+13.1
2 Drake2724389%78.164.1+14.0
3 Indiana State2314961%67.866.8+1.0
4 Murray State26131350%76.466.9+9.5
5 Southern Illinois26121446%65.568.1-2.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)22101245%68.072.0-4.0
7 Bradley28121643%69.666.6+3.0
8 Northern Iowa25101540%69.571.2-1.6
9 Evansville2491538%65.770.3-4.6
10 Valparaiso27101737%65.468.0-2.6
11 Illinois State2571828%72.074.8-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State312253
Evansville291443
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