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Indiana State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-72
38-35 31-37
Position#311
Record8-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#362
Record4-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Indiana State v Evansville
30 Jan 2027
INDI v EVAN
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
INDI69
EVAN72
19 Feb 2025
INDI74
EVAN79
03 Jan 2024
INDI87
EVAN73
02 Mar 2023
INDI97
EVAN58
29 Dec 2022
INDI91
EVAN63
08 Feb 2022
INDI56
EVAN65
05 Mar 2021
INDI53
EVAN43
17 Feb 2021
INDI87
EVAN73
15 Jan 2020
INDI65
EVAN42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Eureka
#568
W
99-57
99
57
+42
H03/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
99-108 OT
99
108
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
H30/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
47-38
16-36
58-45
52-22
47-35
35-27
42-28
36-39
34-29
41-36
33-38
25-42
40-43
36-41
35-30
38-33
28-42
39-33
33-41
153.4Avg total
77.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.873.8149.6+1.950%
Season at home (7)84.368.0152.3+16.386%
Season away (9)69.178.3147.4-9.222%
Last 10 (10)77.675.8153.4+1.840%
Last 5 (5)76.684.4161.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.478.9148.3-9.525%
vs Similar (13)78.875.7154.5+3.154%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.669.0154.6+16.660%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#80
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H24/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A13/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
47-73
47
73
-26
A01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
30-38
33-32
31-20
32-36
47-44
29-41
29-41
30-41
48-42
27-29
38-37
35-31
33-45
28-46
19-27
18-34
30-28
30-42
39-37
136.6Avg total
63.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.772.8139.5-6.124%
Season at home (11)68.970.5139.4-1.527%
Season away (6)62.777.0139.7-14.317%
Last 10 (10)63.573.1136.6-9.610%
Last 5 (5)59.471.2130.6-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)67.174.7141.8-7.527%
vs Similar (2)56.569.5126.0-13.00%
vs Weaker (2)84.048.5132.5+35.5100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -8.1-8.12nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -1.5-1.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -8.1-8.12nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -1.5-1.5
Indiana StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A27/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A28/11
NCAA
Eureka
#568
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A21/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A02/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.836.772.5-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.433.570.9+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)34.439.573.9-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)34.434.669.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.538.269.7-6.725%-
vs Similar (13)38.336.174.4+2.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.634.874.4+4.860%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#80
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A13/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H17/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A30/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
18-34
18
34
-16
H04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H08/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
29.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.936.267.1-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.336.466.7-6.118%-
Last 30 away (13)31.735.967.6-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)29.137.266.3-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)27.636.464.0-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)30.637.067.5-6.419%-
vs Similar (2)24.537.061.5-12.50%-
vs Weaker (2)41.525.567.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Indiana State wins
2
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ADrake72-74
02/01/26ANorthern Iowa66-75
30/12/25HBelmont81-80 OT
21/12/25AIllinois State65-85
19/12/25HBradley99-108 OT
14/12/25AWisc. Milwaukee70-68
07/12/25HSouthern Indiana77-55
03/12/25HEureka99-57
28/11/25AAlcorn State74-81
27/11/25ALouisiana Tech73-75
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HMurray State69-79
04/01/26HNorthern Iowa48-62
01/01/26AIllinois State47-73
30/12/25ABradley68-76
21/12/25HDrake65-66
17/12/25HBelmont78-83
13/12/25ANotre Dame58-82
06/12/25AWestern Kentucky79-80
04/12/25HBall State64-52
24/11/25HCharleston59-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%86%22%
Points / game75.884.369.1
Allowed / game73.868.078.3
Point differential+1.9+16.3-9.2
Avg total149.6152.3147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %12%29%0%
Evansville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeWLLLL27%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %24%27%17%
Points / game66.768.962.7
Allowed / game72.870.577.0
Point differential-6.1-1.5-14.3
Avg total139.5139.4139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1714382%87.776.9+10.8
2 Belmont1814478%81.971.0+10.9
3 Illinois State1612475%79.465.9+13.4
4 Northern Iowa1612475%69.658.6+11.1
5 Bradley1711665%78.471.3+7.1
6 Drake168850%76.571.1+5.4
7 Indiana State168850%75.873.8+1.9
8 Valparaiso168850%71.369.8+1.5
9 Southern Illinois178947%76.873.4+3.4
10 Illinois (Chi.)1661038%76.172.6+3.4
11 Evansville1741324%66.772.8-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State383169
Evansville353772
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