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Valparaiso vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 70-58
39-18 31-40
Position#279
Record9-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#122
Record14-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Valparaiso v Indiana State
27 Jan 2027
VALP v INDI
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
VALP63
INDI62
15 Feb 2026
VALP76
INDI75
08 Jan 2025
VALP98
INDI95
21 Feb 2024
VALP64
INDI83
01 Jan 2023
VALP50
INDI68
05 Feb 2022
VALP79
INDI72
27 Feb 2021
VALP70
INDI58
26 Feb 2021
VALP43
INDI58
18 Jan 2020
VALP86
INDI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#277
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A14/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H23/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
18-34
43-35
34-45
36-24
38-33
30-37
22-39
39-27
31-30
33-39
27-35
29-26
23-28
34-39
32-26
26-30
38-37
16-38
27-20
125.5Avg total
60.9Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)65.268.4133.6-3.235%
Season at home (12)69.269.2138.4-0.142%
Season away (14)61.967.6129.5-5.829%
Last 10 (10)60.964.6125.5-3.730%
Last 5 (5)57.063.6120.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.872.5137.4-7.727%
vs Similar ◀ (15)63.368.8132.1-5.533%
vs Weaker (4)78.057.2135.2+20.8100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#311
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
36-34
34-33
35-33
31-29
40-30
34-29
26-28
30-24
37-31
25-28
36-29
35-31
32-39
37-35
39-35
39-32
48-41
38-16
20-27
130.8Avg total
69.0Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)68.366.7135.0+1.664%
Season at home (12)68.865.2134.0+3.775%
Season away (10)67.668.5136.1-0.950%
Last 10 (10)69.061.8130.8+7.290%
Last 5 (5)69.862.6132.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.972.4137.2-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (17)66.264.1130.3+2.171%
vs Weaker (4)73.569.8143.2+3.875%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +2.2+2.2
ValparaisoIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#277
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A02/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
16-38
16
38
-22
H27/02
NCAA
63.8Avg total
31.9Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.232.163.3-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.531.863.4-0.346%-
Last 30 away (17)30.932.263.2-1.341%-
Last 10 (10)31.931.963.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)27.634.462.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.032.362.3-2.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)30.533.764.2-3.133%-
vs Weaker (4)37.025.562.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#311
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H17/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
38-16
38
16
+22
A27/02
NCAA
63.2Avg total
34.1Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.730.862.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.129.461.4+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)31.232.463.6-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)34.129.163.2+5.090%-
Last 5 (5)34.828.463.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.632.261.9-2.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.029.662.6+3.471%-
vs Weaker (4)29.831.261.0-1.550%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valparaiso wins
2
Indiana State wins
DateGameScore
27/02/21Valparaiso v Indiana State43-58
29/02/20Indiana State v Valparaiso71-58
19/01/20Valparaiso v Indiana State86-77
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HIndiana State43-58
23/02/21HSouthern Illinois64-67
21/02/21ASouthern Illinois66-65
18/02/21ALoyola Chicago52-54
15/02/21ANorthern Iowa60-74
14/02/21ANorthern Iowa70-57
11/02/21HBradley52-76
07/02/21HDrake74-57
06/02/21HDrake77-80
02/02/21AEvansville51-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21AValparaiso58-43
17/02/21HEvansville87-73
14/02/21AEvansville76-70
07/02/21ANorthern Iowa67-70
06/02/21ANorthern Iowa61-57
01/02/21HBradley67-55
31/01/21HBradley60-57
26/01/21HSouthern Illinois71-59
26/01/21HSouthern Illinois69-66
17/01/21AIllinois State74-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %35%42%29%
Points / game65.269.261.9
Allowed / game68.469.267.6
Point differential-3.2-0.1-5.8
Avg total133.6138.4129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Indiana State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game68.368.867.6
Allowed / game66.765.268.5
Point differential+1.6+3.7-0.9
Avg total135.0134.0136.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2624292%78.864.0+14.8
2 Belmont2825389%81.968.9+13.0
3 Indiana State2214864%68.366.7+1.6
4 Murray State24131154%77.566.7+10.8
5 Southern Illinois23111248%66.368.2-2.0
6 Illinois (Chi.)22101245%68.072.0-4.0
7 Bradley26111542%69.966.5+3.4
8 Northern Iowa2381535%68.771.0-2.3
9 Evansville2381535%65.470.6-5.2
10 Valparaiso2691735%65.268.4-3.2
11 Illinois State2371630%71.874.4-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso393170
Indiana State184058
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