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Evansville vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 72-63
38-30 34-33
Position#277
Record8-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#50
Record16-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Evansville v Missouri State
29 Dec 2024
EVAN57
MISS40
13 Jan 2024
EVAN64
MISS74
12 Feb 2023
EVAN60
MISS66
26 Feb 2022
EVAN79
MISS88
27 Feb 2021
EVAN72
MISS63
26 Feb 2021
EVAN81
MISS90
18 Jan 2020
EVAN58
MISS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#234
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A17/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H31/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H02/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A07/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A17/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-49
34-37
37-27
33-25
24-33
34-18
27-36
28-32
17-30
41-39
35-37
35-39
32-39
41-48
30-47
41-38
35-31
28-43
37-42
44-48
139.2Avg total
65.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)65.470.6136.0-5.235%
Season at home (11)66.965.0131.9+1.964%
Season away (12)64.075.8139.8-11.88%
Last 10 (10)65.473.8139.2-8.420%
Last 5 (5)71.682.4154.0-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)63.075.2138.2-12.20%
vs Similar (11)65.762.1127.8+3.673%
vs Weaker (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#11
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H31/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
50-70
50
70
-20
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A06/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A07/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A18/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-44
38-34
16-41
30-31
26-42
24-28
36-36
38-31
42-34
30-28
24-21
41-32
44-24
36-34
39-29
33-28
36-22
32-31
42-37
48-44
134.1Avg total
69.0Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.566.5141.0+8.076%
Season at home (13)72.865.6138.5+7.269%
Season away (8)77.167.9145.0+9.288%
Last 10 (10)69.065.1134.1+3.970%
Last 5 (5)75.060.4135.4+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.572.0129.5-14.50%
vs Similar (11)77.966.9144.8+11.064%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.167.7145.8+10.492%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.6-7.61st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +2.9+2.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.6-7.61st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +2.9+2.9
EvansvilleMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#234
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A17/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H31/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H02/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
17-30
17
30
-13
A07/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A17/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/02
NCAA
66.6Avg total
29.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.634.063.5-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.630.861.4-0.236%-
Last 30 away (16)28.736.865.4-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)29.537.166.6-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.839.273.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)29.636.966.6-7.322%-
vs Similar (11)29.428.958.3+0.536%-
vs Weaker (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
16-41
16
41
-25
H31/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#311
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
24-21
24
21
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H13/02
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A18/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A27/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
34.0Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.432.169.5+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.230.267.5+7.076%-
Last 30 away (13)37.634.572.1+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.067.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.026.663.6+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.538.267.8-8.825%-
vs Similar (11)39.732.572.2+7.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.131.369.4+6.885%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Evansville wins
3
Missouri State wins
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HMissouri State81-90
23/02/21ADrake63-74
21/02/21ADrake71-85
17/02/21AIndiana State73-87
14/02/21HIndiana State70-76
07/02/21ALoyola Chicago58-69
06/02/21ALoyola Chicago55-68
02/02/21HValparaiso58-51
31/01/21HValparaiso70-52
17/01/21ABradley55-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21AEvansville90-81
18/02/21ASouthern Illinois68-53
14/02/21HBradley72-57
13/02/21HBradley80-58
11/02/21HSouthern Illinois65-53
07/02/21AIllinois State72-62
06/02/21AIllinois State74-67
02/02/21HLoyola Chicago50-70
31/01/21HLoyola Chicago46-72
28/01/21HDrake73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLWWLL64%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%64%8%
Points / game65.466.964.0
Allowed / game70.665.075.8
Point differential-5.2+1.9-11.8
Avg total136.0131.9139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Missouri State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %76%69%88%
Points / game74.572.877.1
Allowed / game66.565.667.9
Point differential+8.0+7.2+9.2
Avg total141.0138.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%46%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2624292%78.864.0+14.8
2 Belmont2825389%81.968.9+13.0
3 Indiana State2314961%67.866.8+1.0
4 Murray State24131154%77.566.7+10.8
5 Southern Illinois24111346%65.968.1-2.2
6 Illinois (Chi.)22101245%68.072.0-4.0
7 Bradley26111542%69.966.5+3.4
8 Northern Iowa2491538%69.771.6-1.9
9 Valparaiso27101737%65.468.0-2.6
10 Evansville2381535%65.470.6-5.2
11 Illinois State2471729%72.575.2-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2520580%74.958.9+16.0
2 Missouri State2116576%74.566.5+8.0
3 Louisiana Tech2519676%73.564.8+8.6
4 Western Kentucky2015575%74.170.0+4.1
5 Sam Houston St.2417771%80.671.0+9.6
6 Jacksonville State2517868%74.768.6+6.2
7 UTEP21111052%70.968.5+2.4
8 New Mexico State126650%70.966.2+4.7
9 Delaware147750%67.066.4+0.6
10 Middle Tenn. St.1951426%63.570.3-6.8
11 Kennesaw State2351822%65.769.7-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville383472
Missouri State303363
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