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Indiana State vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-60
42-28 38-32
Position#84
Record12-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#289
Record9-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Indiana State v Illinois (Chi.)
01 Mar 2026
INDI79
ILLI63
24 Feb 2024
INDI88
ILLI73
07 Jan 2023
INDI80
ILLI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
105-68
105
68
+37
H27/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H01/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
88-61
88
61
+27
A03/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A08/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A17/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
91-63
91
63
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
51-24
54-44
42-34
33-39
58-28
30-33
39-28
35-43
36-40
41-37
36-37
50-55
29-35
28-32
39-22
52-41
36-24
32-26
47-29
29-38
150.5Avg total
80.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.969.9150.8+11.075%
Season at home (10)81.768.9150.6+12.880%
Season away (6)79.571.5151.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)80.570.0150.5+10.570%
Last 5 (5)75.667.8143.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.177.3145.4-9.114%
vs Similar (6)66.571.3137.8-4.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)79.769.8149.5+9.971%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A27/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
51-66
51
66
-15
H01/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
54-92
54
92
-38
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
45-79
45
79
-34
A31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-29
42-35
26-32
25-34
19-39
45-38
30-18
32-38
39-34
31-27
46-41
35-32
21-42
33-50
33-17
22-34
13-39
32-40
31-35
40-42
132.7Avg total
63.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.168.1135.2-1.056%
Season at home (9)69.963.6133.4+6.367%
Season away (7)63.674.0137.6-10.443%
Last 10 (10)63.169.6132.7-6.550%
Last 5 (5)61.274.4135.6-13.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.577.8143.3-12.317%
vs Similar (10)70.768.2138.9+2.560%
vs Weaker (8)78.166.6144.8+11.5100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -3.3-3.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: -0.4-0.42nd half: -3.3-3.3
Indiana StateIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H27/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
58-28
58
28
+30
A03/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A08/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H22/12
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A05/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
41.3Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.069.0+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.832.470.2+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)36.031.467.4+4.669%-
Last 10 (10)41.330.171.4+11.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.429.466.8+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.434.369.7+1.171%-
vs Similar (6)34.034.268.2-0.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.830.269.0+8.576%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H01/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A03/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
30-18
30
18
+12
A10/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H18/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
13-39
13
39
-26
A31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H05/01
NCAA
62.0Avg total
29.4Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.967.6-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.732.668.3+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)31.735.266.9-3.553%-
Last 10 (10)29.432.662.0-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)28.834.863.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.337.867.2-8.517%-
vs Similar (10)36.931.468.3+5.580%-
vs Weaker (8)36.231.167.4+5.188%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Indiana State wins
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23AIllinois State76-67
01/01/23AValparaiso68-50
30/12/22HEvansville91-63
22/12/22HNorthern Illinois57-67
17/12/22ADuquesne86-92
11/12/22ASouthern Indiana85-88 OT
08/12/22ASouthern Illinois74-71
03/12/22AMiami (FL)88-61
01/12/22HDrake75-73
27/11/22HTrinity (IL)105-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23HBelmont71-77
31/12/22ABradley45-79
29/12/22HIllinois State55-51
21/12/22ANorthwestern54-92
18/12/22HNortheastern81-73
14/12/22HPrairie View A&M70-61
10/12/22AWestern Michigan62-56
03/12/22ADrake64-77
01/12/22HMissouri State51-66
27/11/22AWisc. Green Bay78-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game80.981.779.5
Allowed / game69.968.971.5
Point differential+11.0+12.8+8.0
Avg total150.8150.6151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%17%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%67%43%
Points / game67.169.963.6
Allowed / game68.163.674.0
Point differential-1.0+6.3-10.4
Avg total135.2133.4137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1612475%80.969.9+11.0
2 Southern Illinois1612475%67.259.8+7.4
3 Drake1611569%71.963.3+8.6
4 Bradley1610662%68.659.2+9.3
5 Belmont1610662%74.271.4+2.8
6 Murray State159660%71.167.9+3.1
7 Illinois (Chi.)169756%67.168.1-1.0
8 Northern Iowa157847%69.666.1+3.5
9 Illinois State1661038%66.268.8-2.5
10 Valparaiso1661038%68.273.1-4.8
11 Evansville1641225%62.073.1-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State423880
Illinois (Chi.)283260
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