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Indiana State vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 88-73
45-29 43-44
Position#13
Record23-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#303
Record11-17
FormWWLLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Indiana State v Illinois (Chi.)
01 Mar 2026
INDI79
ILLI63
24 Feb 2024
INDI88
ILLI73
07 Jan 2023
INDI80
ILLI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-28
47-35
41-39
48-44
33-29
45-49
37-45
41-27
37-36
38-31
50-36
51-25
35-36
38-35
29-35
38-45
37-31
32-43
45-37
38-27
152.3Avg total
80.2Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.272.0156.2+12.282%
Season at home (13)87.865.9153.7+21.892%
Season away (15)81.277.3158.5+3.973%
Last 10 (10)80.272.1152.3+8.180%
Last 5 (5)78.670.0148.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)80.286.8167.0-6.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)85.070.3155.4+14.788%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#355
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H03/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H11/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H18/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-34
38-50
39-41
44-48
25-22
40-52
30-37
30-40
35-31
36-43
33-28
28-28
40-32
31-33
28-40
45-45
32-46
28-29
36-36
52-43
146.7Avg total
70.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.769.3139.0+0.439%
Season at home (15)73.568.6142.1+4.947%
Season away (13)65.370.2135.5-4.831%
Last 10 (10)70.975.8146.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)70.672.0142.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.570.2135.8-4.825%
vs Similar (14)69.669.8139.4-0.143%
vs Weaker (3)71.071.7142.7-0.733%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: -3.9-3.9
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: -3.9-3.9
Indiana StateIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A18/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A22/02
NCAA
72.1Avg total
36.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.434.275.6+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.030.872.8+11.293%-
Last 30 away (16)40.937.278.1+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.272.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.074.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.832.974.6+8.976%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#355
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H11/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H18/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
68.4Avg total
33.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.967.5+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.332.969.2+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)32.633.065.6-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)33.734.768.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.470.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.432.864.2-1.433%-
vs Similar (14)35.933.169.0+2.757%-
vs Weaker (3)37.735.373.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Indiana State wins
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24AValparaiso83-64
18/02/24ASouthern Illinois69-74
14/02/24HIllinois State67-80
10/02/24AMissouri State73-71
08/02/24HValparaiso101-61
03/02/24HDrake75-67
01/02/24ABelmont78-72
27/01/24HBradley95-86 OT
25/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)89-83
21/01/24AMurray State72-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HEvansville88-79
18/02/24HBelmont60-75
15/02/24ABradley73-85
11/02/24HNorthern Iowa71-65
08/02/24AIllinois State61-56
03/02/24HSouthern Illinois71-74
01/02/24AEvansville60-77
27/01/24ABelmont65-74
25/01/24HIndiana State83-89
20/01/24AValparaiso77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW82%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %82%92%73%
Points / game84.287.881.2
Allowed / game72.065.977.3
Point differential+12.2+21.8+3.9
Avg total156.2153.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%77%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW39%
HomeLLWLW47%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %39%47%31%
Points / game69.773.565.3
Allowed / game69.368.670.2
Point differential+0.4+4.9-4.8
Avg total139.0142.1135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2823582%84.272.0+12.2
2 Drake2923679%80.069.7+10.3
3 Bradley2819968%75.768.1+7.6
4 Southern Illinois28181064%72.967.1+5.8
5 Belmont29171259%77.877.2+0.6
6 Northern Iowa29161355%73.471.2+2.1
7 Evansville28151354%73.573.7-0.2
8 Illinois State28141450%67.268.2-0.9
9 Murray State29121741%71.069.1+1.9
10 Illinois (Chi.)28111739%69.769.3+0.4
11 Valparaiso2962321%68.075.5-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State454388
Illinois (Chi.)294473
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