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Illinois (Chi.) vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 55-51
33-17 22-34
Position#289
Record8-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#303
Record6-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Illinois (Chi.) v Illinois State
30 Jan 2027
ILLI v ILLI
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
ILLI83
ILLI56
05 Feb 2025
ILLI79
ILLI81
30 Nov 2023
ILLI64
ILLI69
28 Dec 2022
ILLI55
ILLI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#37
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A19/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#329
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H22/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A27/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
51-66
51
66
-15
H01/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
54-92
54
92
-38
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
25-46
36-32
41-39
45-34
44-32
36-29
42-35
26-32
25-34
19-39
45-38
30-18
32-38
39-34
31-27
46-41
35-32
21-42
33-50
139.6Avg total
69.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.567.9137.4+1.562%
Season at home (7)71.963.4135.3+8.471%
Season away (6)66.773.2139.8-6.550%
Last 10 (10)69.170.5139.6-1.460%
Last 5 (5)66.271.8138.0-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.377.5144.7-10.218%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.470.1142.6+2.356%
vs Weaker (10)78.667.3145.9+11.3100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#75
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H18/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A22/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
67-70 OT
67
70
-3
A02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H10/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A17/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
37-32
18-45
43-32
35-38
31-40
22-24
22-33
27-35
35-27
30-31
57-46
41-35
46-46
33-34
44-37
34-41
35-42
33-23
33-29
140.7Avg total
69.1Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)67.869.5137.3-1.646%
Season at home (6)75.370.3145.7+5.067%
Season away (7)61.468.7130.1-7.329%
Last 10 (10)69.171.6140.7-2.540%
Last 5 (5)77.272.8150.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.174.8143.9-5.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)64.565.8130.3-1.445%
vs Weaker (3)78.064.3142.3+13.767%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +1.9+1.9
Illinois (Chi.)Illinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#37
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A19/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#329
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H22/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H01/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A03/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
30-18
30
18
+12
A10/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H18/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A21/12
NCAA
67.2Avg total
33.8Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.767.9+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.933.068.9+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)32.934.267.1-1.456%-
Last 10 (10)33.833.467.2+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.865.8-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.836.867.6-6.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.333.070.3+4.378%-
vs Weaker (10)35.330.866.1+4.580%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#75
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H18/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
18-45
18
45
-27
A21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A22/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H04/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H10/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A17/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H20/12
NCAA
64.7Avg total
30.3Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.234.165.3-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.934.168.1-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)28.534.062.5-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)30.334.464.7-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.867.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)31.236.067.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)29.632.562.2-2.936%-
vs Weaker (3)36.729.366.0+7.3100%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
19/12/19Illinois State v Illinois (Chi.)67-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22ANorthwestern54-92
18/12/22HNortheastern81-73
14/12/22HPrairie View A&M70-61
10/12/22AWestern Michigan62-56
03/12/22ADrake64-77
01/12/22HMissouri State51-66
27/11/22AWisc. Green Bay78-64
22/11/22HHoly Cross89-66
21/11/22AStonehill77-71
19/11/22AFordham65-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22HChicago State66-52
17/12/22ABall State69-83
10/12/22HSiu Edwardsville77-71
08/12/22HEastern Michigan87-81
04/12/22HBelmont87-77
02/12/22AMurray State67-70 OT
23/11/22ARhode Island44-57
22/11/22AWestern Kentucky66-78
21/11/22ALSU61-77
18/11/22HNorthwestern St.67-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game69.571.966.7
Allowed / game67.963.473.2
Point differential+1.5+8.4-6.5
Avg total137.4135.3139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW46%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game67.875.361.4
Allowed / game69.570.368.7
Point differential-1.6+5.0-7.3
Avg total137.3145.7130.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1310377%75.865.0+10.8
2 Bradley139469%69.259.5+9.8
3 Indiana State139469%81.572.2+9.3
4 Southern Illinois139469%68.962.0+6.9
5 Belmont138562%77.273.0+4.2
6 Illinois (Chi.)138562%69.567.9+1.5
7 Murray State127558%72.069.8+2.2
8 Illinois State136746%67.869.5-1.6
9 Valparaiso136746%70.274.2-4.0
10 Northern Iowa125742%70.265.4+4.8
11 Evansville134931%62.070.5-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois (Chi.)332255
Illinois State173451
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